corpus.blog
41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eace2269", "title": "Fascist academics today and communist academics in the 1930s-1950s", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/17/fascist-academics-today-and-communist-academics-in-the-1930s-1950s/", "published_at": "2026-03-17T13:22:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eb7924f2", "title": "Another reason to hate on prediction markets", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/16/more-reasons-to-hate-on-prediction-markets/", "published_at": "2026-03-17T01:21:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ebde1bc5", "title": "“Which means that I’m qualified to write books on the topic and go on NPR regularly and give Ted talks and advise the government, but that’s about it.”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/16/which-means-that-im-qualified-to-write-books-on-the-topic-and-go-on-npr-regularly-and-give-ted-talks-and-advise-the-government-but-thats-about-it/", "published_at": "2026-03-16T13:51:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ebf4d34f", "title": "It’s . . . speciation time!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/15/its-speciation-time/", "published_at": "2026-03-15T13:17:15+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ecd2e9bd", "title": "The paradox of derivatives and integrals", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/14/the-paradox-of-derivatives-and-integrals/", "published_at": "2026-03-14T13:05:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ed00e04a", "title": "The Effect of High-Tech Statistical Analysis on the P-values of Top Researchers", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/13/the-effect-of-high-tech-statistical-analysis-on-the-p-values-of-top-researchers/", "published_at": "2026-03-14T00:55:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981edb5eea3", "title": "Being picky and careful pays off! (Utah redistricting story)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/13/court-ruling-appropriately-applies-our-research/", "published_at": "2026-03-13T13:20:09+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eddc737a", "title": "SparseNUTS: Preconditioning hierarchical models in HMC with a sparse “Laplace approximation” at the marginal mode", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/12/sparsenuts-precondition-hierarchical-hmc-sparse-laplace/", "published_at": "2026-03-12T19:00:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eeac6c97", "title": "Ted Williams and Me", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/12/ted-williams-and-me/", "published_at": "2026-03-12T17:47:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eee1cb89", "title": "CMU finally shows up in Epstein files", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/12/cmu-finally-shows-up-in-epstein-files/", "published_at": "2026-03-12T13:26:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58b49c94f", "title": "Postdoctoral research position at Princeton on psychological processes related to time (such as impatience and present bias) and their causes and political consequences.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/11/postdoctoral-research-position-at-princeton-on-psychological-processes-related-to-time-such-as-impatience-and-present-bias-and-their-causes-and-political-consequences/", "published_at": "2026-03-12T02:23:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58b682128", "title": "More UFO bullshit in our science-media-industrial complex. (Yeah, there’s a reason this blog has a Zombies category.)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/11/alienzzzz/", "published_at": "2026-03-11T13:28:07+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58ba4e923", "title": "Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is hiring again !", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/10/survey-statistics-blue-rose-research-is-hiring-again/", "published_at": "2026-03-10T20:00:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58c758e3d", "title": "New course on generative AI for behavioral science", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/10/new-course-on-generative-ai-for-behavioral-science/", "published_at": "2026-03-10T15:42:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58d707cc1", "title": "Salinger.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/10/salinger/", "published_at": "2026-03-10T13:43:05+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58e047b34", "title": "“The idea of Israel” . . . more generally, The idea of X, for different values of X", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/09/the-idea-of-israel-more-generally-the-idea-of-x-for-different-values-of-x/", "published_at": "2026-03-09T13:03:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58eddc80c", "title": "Authors of the class “Lorrie Moore”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/08/authors-of-the-class-lorrie-moore/", "published_at": "2026-03-08T13:24:44+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c58fa0846b", "title": "Bayesian inferences and frequentist evaluations", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/07/bayesian-inferences-and-frequentist-evaluations/", "published_at": "2026-03-07T15:03:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59048e18a", "title": "More on making a killing from prediction markets", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/06/killing/", "published_at": "2026-03-06T14:35:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c590591004", "title": "Making a killing from prediction markets", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/05/making-a-killing-from-prediction-markets/", "published_at": "2026-03-05T15:37:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c590a93d6e", "title": "Missing forecasts", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/04/missing-forecasts/", "published_at": "2026-03-05T00:28:38+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5911b1514", "title": "Ethics corner: “As a statistical consultant, if you’re a co-author on a substantive paper, is it your duty to ensure that all the possible statistical concerns you could imagine are addressed?”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/04/as-a-statistical-consultant-if-youre-a-co-author-on-a-substantive-paper-is-it-your-duty-to-ensure-that-all-the-possible-statistical-concerns-you-could-imagine-are-addressed/", "published_at": "2026-03-04T14:31:13+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c591f39fb5", "title": "Survey Statistics: sampling-weighted loss", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/03/survey-statistics-sampling-weighted-loss/", "published_at": "2026-03-03T21:00:36+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59253b64c", "title": "“The inner workings of a scam”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/03/the-inner-workings-of-a-scam/", "published_at": "2026-03-03T14:17:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5929f903e", "title": "Olympic memories", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/02/in-commemoration-of-the-conclusion-of-the-2026-winter-olympics/", "published_at": "2026-03-02T14:19:20+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59316f685", "title": "Remembering David MacKay", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/01/remembering-david-mackay/", "published_at": "2026-03-01T14:44:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c594113d5b", "title": "Herrenvolk democracy and objections to ethnic political representation", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/28/thinking-about-objections-to-ethnic-political-representation/", "published_at": "2026-02-28T14:17:54+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c594c194cd", "title": "Hey! What the Froot was up with this Harvard website?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/27/hey-what-the-froot-is-up-with-this-harvard-website/", "published_at": "2026-02-27T14:02:06+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c594dd8ba9", "title": "Journalists and the people they interview: The individual contract and the social contract", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/26/journalists-and-the-people-they-interview-the-individual-contract-and-the-social-contract/", "published_at": "2026-02-26T14:30:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59583ccee", "title": "Axel F meets Samuel Beckett in The Lifestyles of the Rich and Tenured", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/25/axel-f-meets-samuel-beckett-in-the-worlds-most-pointless-conversation/", "published_at": "2026-02-25T14:30:51+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c596272d6e", "title": "Survey Statistics: sampling to assess data quality", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/24/survey-statistics-sampling-to-assess-data-quality/", "published_at": "2026-02-24T22:16:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c596541bfe", "title": "Edward Tufte on graphs as comparisons", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/24/tufte-on-graphs-as-comparisons/", "published_at": "2026-02-24T14:26:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5971b3c2c", "title": "Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for science", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/23/living-the-metascience-dream-or-nightmare-with-ai-for-science/", "published_at": "2026-02-23T22:05:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c597942f90", "title": "Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/23/hey-self-publishers-you-appear-to-be-getting-scammed/", "published_at": "2026-02-23T14:42:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c597a12349", "title": "“Giving less power to statistical power”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/22/giving-less-power-to-statistical-power/", "published_at": "2026-02-22T14:26:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5986f8bcf", "title": "Computing pi by flipping a coin", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/21/computing-pi-by-flipping-a-coin/", "published_at": "2026-02-21T21:32:35+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59874b106", "title": "Hey! I almost got scammed by Google.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/21/hey-i-almost-got-scammed-by-google/", "published_at": "2026-02-21T14:46:29+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c598dc0e68", "title": "From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connection", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/20/53257/", "published_at": "2026-02-20T14:54:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c599221773", "title": "What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral tradition", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/19/what-do-socrates-herb-simon-and-andrew-gelman-have-in-common-a-love-of-the-oral-tradition/", "published_at": "2026-02-19T20:00:16+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c599975665", "title": "The 80% power lie", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/19/the-80-power-lie/", "published_at": "2026-02-19T14:33:54+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59a03692b", "title": "Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stan", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/18/fitting-a-model-to-estimate-the-seats-votes-curve-back-in-the-bad-old-days-before-we-had-stan/", "published_at": "2026-02-18T14:33:42+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59a729b0c", "title": "Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratings", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/17/survey-statistics-gallups-presidential-approval-ratings/", "published_at": "2026-02-17T21:00:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59a921410", "title": "The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/17/the-atlantic-monthly-march-1947/", "published_at": "2026-02-17T14:31:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59ae64968", "title": "My online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am NY time at the Behind-the-Scenes seminar series: Russian Roulette and stochastic potential outcomes", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/16/my-online-talk-tues-24-feb-9am-russian-roulette-the-need-for-stochastic-potential-outcomes-when-utilities-depend-on-counterfactuals/", "published_at": "2026-02-16T23:05:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59b92882f", "title": "Hanging out: An observational study", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/16/hanging-out-an-observational-study/", "published_at": "2026-02-16T14:21:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59c4529e8", "title": "Funniest predatory-journal pitch ever", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/15/funniest-predatory-journal-pitch-ever/", "published_at": "2026-02-15T14:45:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59d11c9bb", "title": "The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisation", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/14/the-stupidity-the-criminal-vandalism-the-wanton-destruction-of-information-involved-in-dichotomisation/", "published_at": "2026-02-14T17:25:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59daab33a", "title": "What to do in 2026: Your statistics diary", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/14/what-to-do-in-2026-your-statistics-diary/", "published_at": "2026-02-14T14:04:06+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59e93061c", "title": "Our sanctimonious Epstein-associated overlords (Kenneth Starr edition)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/13/our-sanctimonious-overlords-kenneth-starr-edition/", "published_at": "2026-02-13T14:43:35+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59ea9fbed", "title": "What a multiverse good for anyway?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/12/what-a-multiverse-good-for-anyway/", "published_at": "2026-02-12T19:00:47+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59f55ed44", "title": "The New York Young Republican Club, but this time with no butt plugs or dildos", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/12/the-new-york-young-republican-club-but-this-time-with-no-butt-plugs-or-dildos/", "published_at": "2026-02-12T14:19:50+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c59f710cef", "title": "The fifth annual Cherry Blossom Prediction Competition is open!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/11/the-fifth-annual-cherry-blossom-prediction-competition-is-open/", "published_at": "2026-02-11T21:01:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a063053f", "title": "Sethi on “Betting on Geopolitical Violence”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/11/sethi-on-betting-on-geopolitical-violence/", "published_at": "2026-02-11T14:25:50+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a133706c", "title": "Survey Statistics: more on recalled vote", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/10/survey-statistics-more-on-recalled-vote/", "published_at": "2026-02-10T21:00:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a1da3c71", "title": "Some Open Problems in Probability that are Relevant to Applied Statistics (my talk this Wed noon at the Columbia statistics department student seminar)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/10/my-talk-this-wed-noon-at-the-columbia-statistics-department-student-seminar/", "published_at": "2026-02-10T14:06:35+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a2572c6e", "title": "A consensus–but it’s a consensus of uncertainty.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/09/a-consensus-but-its-a-consensus-of-uncertainty/", "published_at": "2026-02-09T14:45:47+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a263a3e0", "title": "Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein files", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/08/everything-i-ever-needed-to-know-in-life-i-learned-from-the-men-in-the-epstein-files/", "published_at": "2026-02-09T00:49:51+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a351dca1", "title": "Review of string theory book from 2004 brings up interesting questions regarding age-period-cohort effects in the sociology of science", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/08/review-of-string-theory-book-from-2004/", "published_at": "2026-02-08T14:49:15+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a3d7dd4d", "title": "Hey, here’s $100,000 down the drain!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/07/hey-heres-100000-down-the-drain/", "published_at": "2026-02-07T14:21:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d244-b262-72ad-9623-c9c5a4cbb69b", "title": "The anti-Bayesian is standing at the back window with a shotgun, scanning for priors coming over the hill, while a million assumptions just walk right into his house through the front door. (also, an interesting point by Yann LeCun in 2012 about human language)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/06/anti/", "published_at": "2026-02-06T14:54:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e5-71e2-ac7e-04f51ef8a401", "title": "Sunstein on Kissinger: No opinion on the whole war criminal thing, but the generosity that he showed when talking about Star Wars [the movie, not the weapons program] was “incomparable”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/05/sunstein-on-kissinger-no-opinion-on-the-whole-war-criminal-thing-but-the-generosity-that-he-showed-when-talking-about-star-wars-the-movie-not-the-weapons-program-was-incomparable/", "published_at": "2026-02-05T14:08:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5878f093", "title": "Softly, effectively, in the age of genAI", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/04/softly-effectively-in-the-age-of-genai/", "published_at": "2026-02-05T00:38:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5947a5f5", "title": "“Statistics is widely understood to provide a body of techniques for ‘modeling data.'”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/04/53165/", "published_at": "2026-02-04T14:17:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a59ab2120", "title": "Survey Statistics: 5 flavors of calibration", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/03/5-flavors-of-calibration/", "published_at": "2026-02-03T21:00:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a59ec8911", "title": "“Parallelizing MCMC Across the Sequence Length”: This one is really cool.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/03/parallelizing-mcmc-across-the-sequence-length-this-one-is-really-cool/", "published_at": "2026-02-03T14:09:13+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5aa7f9c8", "title": "Postdoc in Milan on scalability for high-dimensional Bayesian learning", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/02/postdoc-in-milan-on-scalability-for-high-dimensional-bayesian-learning/", "published_at": "2026-02-02T22:31:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5b176cca", "title": "A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problem", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/02/a-counterintuitive-example-where-a-strong-prior-pulls-an-estimate-in-the-wrong-direction/", "published_at": "2026-02-02T14:09:35+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5b59da2b", "title": "For God’s sake, don’t donate to the “International Peace Institute”! (unless you want to pay for corrupt assholes to fly first class around the world to give speeches about how everyone needs to tighten their belts)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/01/for-gods-sake-dont-donate-to-the-international-peace-institute-unless-you-want-to-pay-for-corrupt-assholes-to-fly-first-class-around-the-world-to-give-speeches-about-how-everyone-needs-to/", "published_at": "2026-02-01T14:15:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5bea3cd2", "title": "From the Mixed-Up Files of Jeffrey E. Epstein", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/31/from-the-mixed-up-files-of-jeffrey-e-epstein/", "published_at": "2026-02-01T02:05:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5cc785d5", "title": "The pantheon of celebrity billionaires", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/31/the-pantheon-of-celebrity-billionaires/", "published_at": "2026-01-31T14:00:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5d417f61", "title": "A Stan transpiler in Julia!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/30/a-stan-transpiler-in-julia/", "published_at": "2026-01-30T14:48:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5dab6d89", "title": "We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/29/were-looking-for-nominations-for-the-american-statistical-associations-excellence-in-statistical-reporting-award/", "published_at": "2026-01-29T23:28:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5dc3b1c7", "title": "Not quite adversarial collaboration", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/29/not-quite-adversarial-collaboration/", "published_at": "2026-01-29T14:07:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5e1db4a1", "title": "OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . .", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/28/ok-i-reread-that-classic-paper-by-paul-meehl-and/", "published_at": "2026-01-28T14:28:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5eb561bd", "title": "Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political information", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/postdoctoral-position-at-the-university-of-pennsylvania-on-the-study-of-political-information/", "published_at": "2026-01-28T01:43:01+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5f382f68", "title": "Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error II", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/survey-statistics-total-margin-of-error-ii/", "published_at": "2026-01-27T21:00:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a5f969f99", "title": "How the new era of CEO supervillains are trapped in their own ideology", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/facebook-and-the-inherent-incoherence-of-the-ideology-of-market-leading-tech-companies/", "published_at": "2026-01-27T14:27:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6080de75", "title": "Machine learning research is not serious research and therefore hallucinated references are not necessarily a big deal, agrees a prestigious group of machine learning researchers", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/machine-learning-research-is-not-serious-research-and-therefore-hallucinated-references-are-not-necessarily-a-big-deal-agrees-a-prestigious-group-of-machine-learning-researchers/", "published_at": "2026-01-27T00:19:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a60e3d810", "title": "Science vs. superstition and the pluralist’s dilemma", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/science-vs-superstition-and-the-pluralists-dilemma/", "published_at": "2026-01-26T14:50:36+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a61c57b8f", "title": "Post-doc positions in Finland", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/post-doc-positions-in-finland/", "published_at": "2026-01-26T08:35:51+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6253fa7a", "title": "The myth of wage compensation for hazardous work rears its ugly head: This NYT article has been engineered to annoy economist Peter Dorman.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/25/the-myth-of-wage-compensation-for-hazardous-work-rears-its-ugly-head-this-nyt-article-has-been-engineered-to-annoy-peter-dorman/", "published_at": "2026-01-25T14:02:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a630a3d71", "title": "“Harvard dean made $150,000 as witness in Tylenol suits”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/24/harvard-dean-made-150000-as-witness-in-tylenol-suits/", "published_at": "2026-01-24T14:17:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a63e77516", "title": "What’s the gender gap? Concerns about analyses using the Cooperative Election Study", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/23/concerns-about-analyses-using-the-cooperative-election-study/", "published_at": "2026-01-23T14:46:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a642feff7", "title": "A decision theorist walks into a seminar", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/22/a-decision-theorist-walks-into-a-seminar/", "published_at": "2026-01-22T21:44:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a64dd4dd4", "title": "This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/22/aking/", "published_at": "2026-01-22T14:15:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6591696d", "title": "What, a coincidence? What a coincidence!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/21/what-a-coincidence-what-a-coincidence/", "published_at": "2026-01-21T19:12:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6648db2e", "title": "200,000 comments", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/21/200000-comments/", "published_at": "2026-01-21T14:09:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a667d42a0", "title": "Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/survey-statistics-total-margin-of-error/", "published_at": "2026-01-20T21:00:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a67433953", "title": "Once more about the z-curve method", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/once-more-about-the-z-curve-method/", "published_at": "2026-01-20T17:55:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a680f4618", "title": "Two workflow challenges from 2012 that were solved as a byproduct of something else", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/two-workflow-challenges-from-2012-that-were-solved-as-a-byproduct-of-something-else/", "published_at": "2026-01-20T14:18:16+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6889d61a", "title": "Seeking feedback from clinicians on AI as diagnostic decision support", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/19/seeking-feedback-from-clinicians-on-ai-as-diagnostic-decision-support/", "published_at": "2026-01-19T20:56:41+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a68d461d9", "title": "Noem’s Razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by malice.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/19/noems-razor-never-attribute-to-stupidity-that-which-is-adequately-explained-by-malice/", "published_at": "2026-01-19T14:19:19+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a69d1f7ba", "title": "Retroactively Validated Hype", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/18/retroactively-validated-hype/", "published_at": "2026-01-18T14:00:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a69d7443b", "title": "“Coding for humans: Best practices for writing software people can read”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/17/coding-for-humans-best-practices-for-writing-software-people-can-read/", "published_at": "2026-01-17T14:07:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6ad6a570", "title": "Don’t get any on you", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/dont-get-any-on-you/", "published_at": "2026-01-17T01:39:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6b4e1d69", "title": "More concerns about the z-curve method", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/more-concerns-about-the-z-curve-method/", "published_at": "2026-01-16T17:56:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6c0fba63", "title": "Some questions and ideas about initialization for ADVI", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/some-questions-and-ideas-about-initialization-for-advi/", "published_at": "2026-01-16T14:25:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6c166880", "title": "FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trials", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/15/fda-guidance-on-bayesian-clinical-trials/", "published_at": "2026-01-15T16:38:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6d0f7291", "title": "Horseshoe theory meets cost-benefit analysis. Horseshoe wins.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/15/horseshoe-theory-meets-cost-benefit-analysis-horseshoe-wins/", "published_at": "2026-01-15T14:51:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d245-65e6-72fd-93ff-bd8a6d3d5ab9", "title": "1 quick tip to improving student participation in your class (motivated by a principle in poker)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/14/1-quick-tip-to-improving-student-participation-in-your-class/", "published_at": "2026-01-14T14:23:07+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
Back to Andrew Gelman
Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts

Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2026

Fascist academics today and communist academics in the 1930s-1950soriginal ↗
17 Mar 2026
Another reason to hate on prediction marketsoriginal ↗
17 Mar 2026
“Which means that I’m qualified to write books on the topic and go on NPR regularly and give Ted talks and advise the government, but that’s about it.”original ↗
16 Mar 2026
It’s . . . speciation time!original ↗
15 Mar 2026
The paradox of derivatives and integralsoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2026
The Effect of High-Tech Statistical Analysis on the P-values of Top Researchersoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2026
Being picky and careful pays off! (Utah redistricting story)original ↗
13 Mar 2026
SparseNUTS: Preconditioning hierarchical models in HMC with a sparse “Laplace approximation” at the marginal modeoriginal ↗
12 Mar 2026
Ted Williams and Meoriginal ↗
12 Mar 2026
CMU finally shows up in Epstein filesoriginal ↗
12 Mar 2026
Postdoctoral research position at Princeton on psychological processes related to time (such as impatience and present bias) and their causes and political consequences.original ↗
12 Mar 2026
More UFO bullshit in our science-media-industrial complex. (Yeah, there’s a reason this blog has a Zombies category.)original ↗
11 Mar 2026
Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is hiring again !original ↗
10 Mar 2026
New course on generative AI for behavioral scienceoriginal ↗
10 Mar 2026
Salinger.original ↗
10 Mar 2026
“The idea of Israel” . . . more generally, The idea of X, for different values of Xoriginal ↗
9 Mar 2026
Authors of the class “Lorrie Moore”original ↗
8 Mar 2026
Bayesian inferences and frequentist evaluationsoriginal ↗
7 Mar 2026
More on making a killing from prediction marketsoriginal ↗
6 Mar 2026
Making a killing from prediction marketsoriginal ↗
5 Mar 2026
Missing forecastsoriginal ↗
5 Mar 2026
Ethics corner: “As a statistical consultant, if you’re a co-author on a substantive paper, is it your duty to ensure that all the possible statistical concerns you could imagine are addressed?”original ↗
4 Mar 2026
Survey Statistics: sampling-weighted lossoriginal ↗
3 Mar 2026
“The inner workings of a scam”original ↗
3 Mar 2026
Olympic memoriesoriginal ↗
2 Mar 2026
Remembering David MacKayoriginal ↗
1 Mar 2026
Herrenvolk democracy and objections to ethnic political representationoriginal ↗
28 Feb 2026
Hey! What the Froot was up with this Harvard website?original ↗
27 Feb 2026
Journalists and the people they interview: The individual contract and the social contractoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2026
Axel F meets Samuel Beckett in The Lifestyles of the Rich and Tenuredoriginal ↗
25 Feb 2026
Survey Statistics: sampling to assess data qualityoriginal ↗
24 Feb 2026
Edward Tufte on graphs as comparisonsoriginal ↗
24 Feb 2026
Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for scienceoriginal ↗
23 Feb 2026
Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed.original ↗
23 Feb 2026
“Giving less power to statistical power”original ↗
22 Feb 2026
Computing pi by flipping a coinoriginal ↗
21 Feb 2026
Hey! I almost got scammed by Google.original ↗
21 Feb 2026
From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connectionoriginal ↗
20 Feb 2026
What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral traditionoriginal ↗
19 Feb 2026
The 80% power lieoriginal ↗
19 Feb 2026
Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stanoriginal ↗
18 Feb 2026
Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratingsoriginal ↗
17 Feb 2026
The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947original ↗
17 Feb 2026
My online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am NY time at the Behind-the-Scenes seminar series: Russian Roulette and stochastic potential outcomesoriginal ↗
16 Feb 2026
Hanging out: An observational studyoriginal ↗
16 Feb 2026
Funniest predatory-journal pitch everoriginal ↗
15 Feb 2026
The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisationoriginal ↗
14 Feb 2026
What to do in 2026: Your statistics diaryoriginal ↗
14 Feb 2026
Our sanctimonious Epstein-associated overlords (Kenneth Starr edition)original ↗
13 Feb 2026
What a multiverse good for anyway?original ↗
12 Feb 2026
The New York Young Republican Club, but this time with no butt plugs or dildosoriginal ↗
12 Feb 2026
The fifth annual Cherry Blossom Prediction Competition is open!original ↗
11 Feb 2026
Sethi on “Betting on Geopolitical Violence”original ↗
11 Feb 2026
Survey Statistics: more on recalled voteoriginal ↗
10 Feb 2026
Some Open Problems in Probability that are Relevant to Applied Statistics (my talk this Wed noon at the Columbia statistics department student seminar)original ↗
10 Feb 2026
A consensus–but it’s a consensus of uncertainty.original ↗
9 Feb 2026
Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein filesoriginal ↗
9 Feb 2026
Review of string theory book from 2004 brings up interesting questions regarding age-period-cohort effects in the sociology of scienceoriginal ↗
8 Feb 2026
Hey, here’s $100,000 down the drain!original ↗
7 Feb 2026
The anti-Bayesian is standing at the back window with a shotgun, scanning for priors coming over the hill, while a million assumptions just walk right into his house through the front door. (also, an interesting point by Yann LeCun in 2012 about human language)original ↗
6 Feb 2026
Sunstein on Kissinger: No opinion on the whole war criminal thing, but the generosity that he showed when talking about Star Wars [the movie, not the weapons program] was “incomparable”original ↗
5 Feb 2026
Softly, effectively, in the age of genAIoriginal ↗
5 Feb 2026
“Statistics is widely understood to provide a body of techniques for ‘modeling data.'”original ↗
4 Feb 2026
Survey Statistics: 5 flavors of calibrationoriginal ↗
3 Feb 2026
“Parallelizing MCMC Across the Sequence Length”: This one is really cool.original ↗
3 Feb 2026
Postdoc in Milan on scalability for high-dimensional Bayesian learningoriginal ↗
2 Feb 2026
A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problemoriginal ↗
2 Feb 2026
For God’s sake, don’t donate to the “International Peace Institute”! (unless you want to pay for corrupt assholes to fly first class around the world to give speeches about how everyone needs to tighten their belts)original ↗
1 Feb 2026
From the Mixed-Up Files of Jeffrey E. Epsteinoriginal ↗
1 Feb 2026
The pantheon of celebrity billionairesoriginal ↗
31 Jan 2026
A Stan transpiler in Julia!original ↗
30 Jan 2026
We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.original ↗
29 Jan 2026
Not quite adversarial collaborationoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2026
OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . .original ↗
28 Jan 2026
Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political informationoriginal ↗
28 Jan 2026
Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error IIoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2026
How the new era of CEO supervillains are trapped in their own ideologyoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2026
Machine learning research is not serious research and therefore hallucinated references are not necessarily a big deal, agrees a prestigious group of machine learning researchersoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2026
Science vs. superstition and the pluralist’s dilemmaoriginal ↗
26 Jan 2026
Post-doc positions in Finlandoriginal ↗
26 Jan 2026
The myth of wage compensation for hazardous work rears its ugly head: This NYT article has been engineered to annoy economist Peter Dorman.original ↗
25 Jan 2026
“Harvard dean made $150,000 as witness in Tylenol suits”original ↗
24 Jan 2026
What’s the gender gap? Concerns about analyses using the Cooperative Election Studyoriginal ↗
23 Jan 2026
A decision theorist walks into a seminaroriginal ↗
22 Jan 2026
This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it.original ↗
22 Jan 2026
What, a coincidence? What a coincidence!original ↗
21 Jan 2026
200,000 commentsoriginal ↗
21 Jan 2026
Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Errororiginal ↗
20 Jan 2026
Once more about the z-curve methodoriginal ↗
20 Jan 2026
Two workflow challenges from 2012 that were solved as a byproduct of something elseoriginal ↗
20 Jan 2026
Seeking feedback from clinicians on AI as diagnostic decision supportoriginal ↗
19 Jan 2026
Noem’s Razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by malice.original ↗
19 Jan 2026
Retroactively Validated Hypeoriginal ↗
18 Jan 2026
“Coding for humans: Best practices for writing software people can read”original ↗
17 Jan 2026
Don’t get any on youoriginal ↗
17 Jan 2026
More concerns about the z-curve methodoriginal ↗
16 Jan 2026
Some questions and ideas about initialization for ADVIoriginal ↗
16 Jan 2026
FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trialsoriginal ↗
15 Jan 2026
Horseshoe theory meets cost-benefit analysis. Horseshoe wins.original ↗
15 Jan 2026
1 quick tip to improving student participation in your class (motivated by a principle in poker)original ↗
14 Jan 2026
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