corpus.blog
41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a0d242-5742-7178-a3ae-254cc26357b4", "title": "If Books Could Kill podcast", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/17/if-books-could-kill-podcast/", "published_at": "2026-05-17T13:04:17+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d242-5742-7178-a3ae-254cc2cf44f1", "title": "Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/16/why-are-there-squares-everywhere-in-statistics-normal-variance/", "published_at": "2026-05-16T19:00:44+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d242-5742-7178-a3ae-254cc2de328d", "title": "Sean Manning’s lexicon", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/16/sean-mannings-lexicon/", "published_at": "2026-05-16T13:08:47+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d242-5742-7178-a3ae-254cc3da7e2c", "title": "When is it time for a Five-Year Plan?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/15/when-is-it-time-for-a-five-year-plan/", "published_at": "2026-05-15T13:59:36+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d108579d82", "title": "Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLM", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/14/alchemize-pymcs-model-to-replace-stan-pymc-etc-with-an-llm/", "published_at": "2026-05-14T19:00:41+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d108bdbf68", "title": "“As our daily lives involve ever more sophisticated computers, we will find that ascribing little thoughts to machines will be increasingly useful in understanding how to get the most good out of them” but “we must be careful not to ascribe properties to a machine that the particular machine doesn’t have”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/14/as/", "published_at": "2026-05-14T17:09:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d109b2839e", "title": "“DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/14/dc-conventional-wisdom-goes-down-to-defeat-in-state-after-state/", "published_at": "2026-05-14T13:32:52+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10a54c93f", "title": "Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallacies", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/13/recent-discoveries-on-the-persistence-of-statistical-fallacies/", "published_at": "2026-05-13T13:09:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10ac2c400", "title": "Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/12/survey-statistics-relevant-alternatives/", "published_at": "2026-05-12T20:00:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10b9d7dc8", "title": "The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilities", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/12/the-application-matters-medical-ethics-and-counterfactual-utilities/", "published_at": "2026-05-12T18:00:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10c68d15d", "title": "I’m on the EPA science advisory board.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/12/im-on-the-epa-science-advisory-board/", "published_at": "2026-05-12T13:50:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10cdfb5db", "title": "It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/11/it-kinda-makes-sense-for-you-to-know-about-700-people/", "published_at": "2026-05-11T13:05:05+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10d50efd7", "title": "Who wanted Trump to run in 2024?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/10/who-wanted-trump-to-run-in-2024/", "published_at": "2026-05-10T13:05:19+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10e18c0d6", "title": "More thoughts regarding comfortable, powerful people who seem willing or even eager to blow up the system.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/09/more-thoughts-regarding-comfortable-powerful-people-who-seem-willing-or-even-eager-to-blow-up-the-system/", "published_at": "2026-05-09T13:57:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10e968ece", "title": "“An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/08/an-axiomatic-foundation-for-decisions-with-counterfactual-utility/", "published_at": "2026-05-08T22:19:01+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10f93363e", "title": "The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/08/the-pick-the-winner-picker-heuristic-preference-for-categorically-correct-forecasts/", "published_at": "2026-05-08T13:48:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d10ff6a442", "title": "David W. Hogg on why we do astrophysics (in the face of LLMs and the lack of clinical value)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/07/david-hogg-on-why-we-do-astrophysics-in-the-face-of-llms-and-the-lack-of-clinical-value/", "published_at": "2026-05-07T19:00:54+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1107c7fb1", "title": "Overall, I remain a fan of Oliver Sacks.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/07/overall-i-remain-a-fan-of-oliver-sacks/", "published_at": "2026-05-07T13:10:33+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1110aa5e8", "title": "Handbook of Markov chain Monte Carlo, second edition", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/06/handbook-of-markov-chain-monte-carlo-second-edition/", "published_at": "2026-05-06T13:31:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1110d1cd2", "title": "Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is (still) hiring !", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/05/survey-statistics-blue-rose-research-is-still-hiring/", "published_at": "2026-05-05T20:00:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1112479a1", "title": "Is government policy actually “virtually unrelated to the desires of the low- and middle-income citizens”?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/05/53683/", "published_at": "2026-05-05T13:38:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11148ee73", "title": "Expanding the Stan User’s Guide", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/04/expanding-the-stan-users-guide/", "published_at": "2026-05-04T19:00:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1115ff90d", "title": "For once, some scientific fraudsters have to pay their money back to the government.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/04/for-once-some-scientific-fraudsters-have-to-pay-their-money-back-to-the-government/", "published_at": "2026-05-04T13:09:26+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d111d3b412", "title": "An economist writes: “the fulminations over the #1 pick seem overheated to me.”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/03/an-economist-writes-the-fulminations-over-the-1-pick-seem-overheated-to-me/", "published_at": "2026-05-03T13:21:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11277c77a", "title": "John Carlin says, “‘Identifying variables that independently predict…’ is not a well-defined research task”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/02/53001/", "published_at": "2026-05-02T13:29:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1133cc523", "title": "What advice do you have for this student who’s in his first year of college and interested in both statistics and political science?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/05/01/what-advice-do-you-have-for-this-student-whos-in-his-first-year-of-college-and-interested-in-both-statistics-and-political-science/", "published_at": "2026-05-01T13:14:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1136cbb43", "title": "A study is retracted after it turns out that its authors were misrepresented as “third-party experts” even though they were actually paid by the company?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/30/53020/", "published_at": "2026-04-30T13:51:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d114111c64", "title": "Show me science", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/29/show-me-science/", "published_at": "2026-04-29T16:27:26+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1141ec5ec", "title": "Taking one more swing at the foolish nudgelords who associate the Soviet Union with environmental protection", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/29/taking-one-more-swing-at-the-foolish-nudgelords-who-associate-the-soviet-union-with-environmental-protection/", "published_at": "2026-04-29T13:00:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1143adaaa", "title": "Survey Statistics: exploded logit !", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/28/survey-statistics-exploded-logit/", "published_at": "2026-04-28T20:00:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1150ea14c", "title": "Two Health Economists Walk into a Bar: What bothered me in that conversation of Jay Bhattacharya and Emily Oster", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/28/what-bothered-me-with-the-conversation-of-jay-bhattacharya-and-emily-oster/", "published_at": "2026-04-28T13:49:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11547e5dc", "title": "Hey! Try out the RMET (“the Reading the Mind in the Eyes test”).", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/27/hey-try-out-the-rmet-the-reading-the-mind-in-the-eyes-test/", "published_at": "2026-04-27T23:20:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11623747d", "title": "Should French pollsters be using Mister P?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/27/should-french-pollsters-be-using-mrp/", "published_at": "2026-04-27T13:41:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d116935853", "title": "Why isn’t it possible to play a fun and serious game of poker not for money?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/26/why-isnt-it-possible-to-play-a-fun-and-serious-game-of-poker-not-for-money/", "published_at": "2026-04-26T13:20:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d117360c09", "title": "He’s a music educator evaluating K–12 music education systems, and he wants someone to look at his measurements and statistics.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/25/hes-a-music-educator-evaluating-k-12-music-education-systems-and-he-wants-someone-to-look-at-his-measurements-and-statistics/", "published_at": "2026-04-25T18:42:07+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11785636f", "title": "Blogging and writing style", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/25/blogging-and-writing-style/", "published_at": "2026-04-25T13:35:38+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d117c2795c", "title": "Update on that un-published CDC report on covid vaccines", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/24/cdc-update/", "published_at": "2026-04-24T20:13:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11825caf2", "title": "Three things I forgot to say today at the National Academy of Sciences Workshop on Enhancing Scientific Integrity", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/24/three-things-i-forgot-to-say-today-at-the-national-academy-of-sciences-workshop-on-enhancing-scientific-integrity/", "published_at": "2026-04-24T19:38:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d119003aca", "title": "Trump 1 vs. Trump 2: The role of the two other branches of government (legislative and judicial)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/24/trump-1-vs-trump-2-the-role-of-the-other-branches-of-government/", "published_at": "2026-04-24T13:40:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11990a136", "title": "Probability theory corner: My favorite birthday-problem story", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/23/probability-theory-corner-my-favorite-birthday-problem-story/", "published_at": "2026-04-23T13:51:38+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11a17fb38", "title": "If that CDC report had just included some fake citations and some crazy dietary advice, the boss would surely have approved it for publication.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/22/if-the-authors-of-that-cdc-report-had-just-thrown-in-some-fake-citations-and-some-crazy-dietary-advice-the-boss-wouldve-approved-it-for-publication/", "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:30:45+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11aa87b97", "title": "Fraud and the false optimism of AI for science", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/22/fraud-and-the-false-optimism-of-ai-for-science/", "published_at": "2026-04-22T17:04:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11b627b9f", "title": "Postmodern anti-science attitudes?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/22/postmodern-anti-science-attitudes/", "published_at": "2026-04-22T13:09:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11c07348f", "title": "Survey Statistics: dCV for MRP ?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/21/survey-statistics-dcv-for-mrp/", "published_at": "2026-04-21T20:00:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11c09cc9d", "title": "Did Taylor Swift kill a bunch of people?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/21/did-taylor-swift-kill-a-bunch-of-people/", "published_at": "2026-04-21T13:09:22+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11c81a3c5", "title": "“I have seen the future of science. It is ruled by bitter competition instead of collaboration, pageantry instead of exploration. Bright minds beginning careers in science will be taught to debase their training for drudgerous pursuit of meaningless metrics. Those willing to toil over genuine questions will necessarily lose out to those that can furnish cheap answers. . . .”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/20/94/", "published_at": "2026-04-20T13:36:45+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11d126f6e", "title": "Eugene Wigner and the Moonies", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/19/eugene-wigner-and-the-moonies/", "published_at": "2026-04-19T13:45:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11d5b9de6", "title": "“Making Your Research Free May Cost You”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/18/making-your-research-free-may-cost-you/", "published_at": "2026-04-18T13:42:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11d68b61d", "title": "In ML, everyone’s Humpty Dumpty", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/17/in-ml-everyones-humpty-dumpty/", "published_at": "2026-04-17T20:44:49+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11dc29b8e", "title": "Fascinating 1981 interview with Morris Kline, author of the classic book, Mathematics: The Loss of Certainty", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/17/fascinating-1981-interview-with-morris-kline-author-of-the-classic-book-mathematics-the-loss-of-certainty/", "published_at": "2026-04-17T13:25:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11e4e0100", "title": "The Bayesian Workflow book is coming!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/16/the-bayesian-workflow-book-is-coming/", "published_at": "2026-04-16T13:58:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11f02b996", "title": "Can you hit a home run off of Paul Skenes?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/15/can-you-hit-a-home-run-off-of-paul-skenes/", "published_at": "2026-04-15T13:09:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d11f8ebe0b", "title": "Survey Statistics: irrelevant alternatives ?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/14/survey-statistics-irrelevant-alternatives/", "published_at": "2026-04-14T20:00:09+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-0dfa-70b7-b4bd-09d1202ee4ad", "title": "Epistemic Virtues for Science in the Age of Automation", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/14/epistemic-virtues-for-science-in-the-age-of-automation/", "published_at": "2026-04-14T14:00:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981d79b861f", "title": "How to report a N=12 study?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/14/how-to-report-a-n12-study/", "published_at": "2026-04-14T13:09:01+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981d8783da8", "title": "Which beliefs are considered acceptable and which are not?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/13/which-beliefs-are-considered-acceptable-and-which-are-not/", "published_at": "2026-04-13T13:39:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981d9120bdf", "title": "All graphs are comparisons, and the relevance of this principle to practical advice for producing better graphs", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/12/all-graphs-are-comparisons-and-the-relevance-of-this-principle-for-practical-advice-for-producing-better-graphs/", "published_at": "2026-04-12T13:12:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981d9a4eb42", "title": "“The FTC does not have our backs, that much is clear”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/11/the-ftc-does-not-have-our-backs-that-much-is-clear/", "published_at": "2026-04-11T22:14:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981da88bf13", "title": "Here’s a story from Australia: There were so many problems with the survey that the government didn’t release the data.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/11/heres-an-interesting-story-there-were-so-many-problems-with-the-survey-that-the-government-didnt-release-the-data/", "published_at": "2026-04-11T13:26:51+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dafbcdef", "title": "The internet of poop", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/10/the-internet-of-poop/", "published_at": "2026-04-10T13:04:29+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981db13bc8c", "title": "An application for training deep learning models in your browser", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/09/an-application-for-training-deep-learning-models-in-your-browser/", "published_at": "2026-04-09T13:42:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dbcd366e", "title": "Updike in Tehran", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/08/updike-in-tehran/", "published_at": "2026-04-08T13:42:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dbd0bd0e", "title": "Survey Statistics: improving with structure", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/07/survey-statistics-improving-with-structure/", "published_at": "2026-04-07T20:00:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dc3be25f", "title": "My talk at Stanford later this month: “What to do when your estimate is 1 standard error away from 0?”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/07/my-talk-at-stanford-later-this-month-what-to-do-when-your-estimate-is-1-standard-error-away-from-0/", "published_at": "2026-04-07T13:21:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dd3b7378", "title": "My (uninformed and completely speculative) theory about Jeff Bezos and the Washington Post", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/06/my-uninformed-and-completely-speculative-theory-about-jeff-bezos-and-the-washington-post/", "published_at": "2026-04-06T13:44:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dd939692", "title": "How do political organizations and politically-minded rich people translate money into media influence? Differently than they used to.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/05/how-do-political-organizations-and-politically-minded-rich-people-translate-money-into-media-influence/", "published_at": "2026-04-05T13:04:16+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dd9e53e6", "title": "Campus newspapers and what remains of journalism", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/04/campus-newspapers-and-what-remains-of-journalism/", "published_at": "2026-04-04T13:04:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981de81453c", "title": "I love the library–you never know what you’re gonna find there.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/03/im-a-big-fan-of-the-library-you-never-know-what-youre-gonna-find-there/", "published_at": "2026-04-03T13:00:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981de8efbd4", "title": "Is your model converging?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/02/is-your-model-converging/", "published_at": "2026-04-02T08:02:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981dea88263", "title": "Shameless plug alert: Win prizes by forecasting real healthcare data to help UK’s health service save lives", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/01/shameless-plug-alert-win-prizes-by-forecasting-real-healthcare-data-to-help-uks-health-service-save-lives/", "published_at": "2026-04-01T16:15:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981df929d45", "title": "Hey! Here’s a great money making opportunity using the lottery. And it’s endorsed by Google, Apple, Yahoo, Morningstar, and Microsoft!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/04/01/this-evil-lottery-scam-appears-to-be-aided-and-abetted-by-google-apple-yahoo-morningstar-msn-etc-etc/", "published_at": "2026-04-01T13:00:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e065dca5", "title": "Survey Statistics: design-based cross validation (dCV)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/31/survey-statistics-design-based-cross-validation-dcv/", "published_at": "2026-03-31T20:00:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e0b2d2f6", "title": "Black and white, gray and in between: What color is the media?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/31/black-and-white-gray-and-in-between-what-color-is-the-media/", "published_at": "2026-03-31T19:48:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e1ae4787", "title": "The point of yesterday’s post on the three ways of attacking a statistical problem", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/31/the-point-of-yesterdays-post-on-the-three-ways-of-attacking-a-statistical-problem/", "published_at": "2026-03-31T13:26:19+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e2232904", "title": "Looking for a postdoc to teach and develop Bayesian methods", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/31/looking-for-a-postdoc-to-teach-and-develop-bayesian-methods/", "published_at": "2026-03-31T08:30:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e2c962ca", "title": "These are the three ways of attacking a statistical problem (illustrated with the NFL example)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/30/these-are-the-three-ways-of-attacking-a-statistical-problem-illustrated-with-the-nfl-example/", "published_at": "2026-03-30T13:14:29+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e2f6f937", "title": "“12-dimensional chess”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/29/12-dimensional-chess/", "published_at": "2026-03-29T13:53:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e36c81e6", "title": "2026 American Causal Inference Conference", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/28/2026-american-causal-inference-conference/", "published_at": "2026-03-28T21:18:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e3fa6463", "title": "Should you include a list of retractions, corrections, and errors, along with a list of publications, on your CV?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/28/should-you-include-a-list-of-retractions-and-corrections-along-with-a-list-of-publications-on-your-cv/", "published_at": "2026-03-28T13:38:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e47dd1a1", "title": "Maybe one of the remaining ’72 Dolphins will read this one.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/27/maybe-one-of-the-remaining-72-dolphins-will-read-this-one/", "published_at": "2026-03-27T13:37:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e4af82dc", "title": "Frank Harrell on why and how to do Bayes for clinical trials and the recent FDA draft guidelines", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/26/frank-harrell-on-why-and-how-to-do-bayes-for-clinical-trials-and-the-recent-fda-draft-guidelines/", "published_at": "2026-03-26T20:44:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e4d4642c", "title": "Why and how to do Bayes for clinical trials: Our comments on the recent FDA draft guidance, and reactions to two comments by others", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/26/considering-some-anti-bayesian-arguments-in-the-context-of-fda-draft-guidance-for-the-use-of-bayesian-methods-in-clinical-trials/", "published_at": "2026-03-26T15:18:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e572f06e", "title": "What major works of literature were written after age of 85? 75? 65?!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/25/what-major-works-of-literature-were-written-after-age-of-85-75-65/", "published_at": "2026-03-26T01:55:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e603e5a7", "title": "Notation corner: When you have several different expressions that are mathematically equivalent, you don’t have to choose just one!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/25/notation-corner-when-you-have-several-different-expressions-that-are-mathematically-equivalent-you-dont-have-to-choose-just-one/", "published_at": "2026-03-25T13:34:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e67f5825", "title": "Survey Statistics: Individualism and the CV Noise Problem", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/24/survey-statistics-individualism-and-the-cv-noise-problem/", "published_at": "2026-03-24T20:30:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e72120cf", "title": "False claims in a widely-cited paper. No corrections. No consequences. Welcome to the Business School.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/24/false-claims-in-a-published-no-corrections-no-consequences-welcome-to-the-business-school/", "published_at": "2026-03-24T13:12:15+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e751ea03", "title": "How earthquake safe are Vancouver condos?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/23/how-earthquake-safe-are-vancouver-condos/", "published_at": "2026-03-23T13:58:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e80a047b", "title": "Space mirrors: Awesome solution to our energy problems, or ridiculous public relations stunt?", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/22/space-mirrors-awesome-solution-to-our-energy-problems-or-ridiculous-public-relations-stunt/", "published_at": "2026-03-22T13:02:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e8fbeba8", "title": "Claimed “100% sensitivity and specificity in differentiating autistic individuals from typically developing controls using retinal photographs” . . . yeah, right.", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/21/claimed-100-sensitivity-and-specificity-in-differentiating-autistic-individuals-from-typically-developing-controls-using-retinal-photographs-yeah-right/", "published_at": "2026-03-21T13:02:29+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e915d6d9", "title": "Nutpie: state-of-the-art mass matrix adaptation for HMC", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/20/nutpie-state-of-the-art-mass-matrix-adaptation-for-hmc/", "published_at": "2026-03-20T19:00:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e9ab213d", "title": "A data model is not just a “likelihood”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/20/a-data-model-is-not-just-a-likelihood/", "published_at": "2026-03-20T08:09:50+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981e9dd36f1", "title": "I don’t like the Wikipedia definition of Bayesian statistics. The Merriam-Webster definition is much better!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/19/i-disagree-with-the-wikipedia-definition-of-bayesian-statistics-the-merriam-webster-definition-is-much-better/", "published_at": "2026-03-19T13:36:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ea3cd873", "title": "New features in Stan Playground!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/18/new-features-in-stan-playground/", "published_at": "2026-03-18T13:29:47+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ea6804cc", "title": "Survey Statistics: individualism doesn’t work (even when weighted)", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/17/survey-statistics-individualism-doesnt-work-even-when-weighted/", "published_at": "2026-03-17T21:00:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eace2269", "title": "Fascist academics today and communist academics in the 1930s-1950s", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/17/fascist-academics-today-and-communist-academics-in-the-1930s-1950s/", "published_at": "2026-03-17T13:22:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981eb7924f2", "title": "Another reason to hate on prediction markets", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/16/more-reasons-to-hate-on-prediction-markets/", "published_at": "2026-03-17T01:21:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ebde1bc5", "title": "“Which means that I’m qualified to write books on the topic and go on NPR regularly and give Ted talks and advise the government, but that’s about it.”", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/16/which-means-that-im-qualified-to-write-books-on-the-topic-and-go-on-npr-regularly-and-give-ted-talks-and-advise-the-government-but-thats-about-it/", "published_at": "2026-03-16T13:51:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ebf4d34f", "title": "It’s . . . speciation time!", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/15/its-speciation-time/", "published_at": "2026-03-15T13:17:15+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ecd2e9bd", "title": "The paradox of derivatives and integrals", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/14/the-paradox-of-derivatives-and-integrals/", "published_at": "2026-03-14T13:05:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0d243-c1bb-713c-8ef7-a981ed00e04a", "title": "The Effect of High-Tech Statistical Analysis on the P-values of Top Researchers", "url": "https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/13/the-effect-of-high-tech-statistical-analysis-on-the-p-values-of-top-researchers/", "published_at": "2026-03-14T00:55:18+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
Back to Andrew Gelman
Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts

Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2026

If Books Could Kill podcastoriginal ↗
17 May 2026
Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?original ↗
16 May 2026
Sean Manning’s lexiconoriginal ↗
16 May 2026
When is it time for a Five-Year Plan?original ↗
15 May 2026
Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLMoriginal ↗
14 May 2026
“As our daily lives involve ever more sophisticated computers, we will find that ascribing little thoughts to machines will be increasingly useful in understanding how to get the most good out of them” but “we must be careful not to ascribe properties to a machine that the particular machine doesn’t have”original ↗
14 May 2026
“DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State”original ↗
14 May 2026
Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallaciesoriginal ↗
13 May 2026
Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?original ↗
12 May 2026
The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilitiesoriginal ↗
12 May 2026
I’m on the EPA science advisory board.original ↗
12 May 2026
It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.original ↗
11 May 2026
Who wanted Trump to run in 2024?original ↗
10 May 2026
More thoughts regarding comfortable, powerful people who seem willing or even eager to blow up the system.original ↗
9 May 2026
“An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”original ↗
8 May 2026
The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecastsoriginal ↗
8 May 2026
David W. Hogg on why we do astrophysics (in the face of LLMs and the lack of clinical value)original ↗
7 May 2026
Overall, I remain a fan of Oliver Sacks.original ↗
7 May 2026
Handbook of Markov chain Monte Carlo, second editionoriginal ↗
6 May 2026
Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is (still) hiring !original ↗
5 May 2026
Is government policy actually “virtually unrelated to the desires of the low- and middle-income citizens”?original ↗
5 May 2026
Expanding the Stan User’s Guideoriginal ↗
4 May 2026
For once, some scientific fraudsters have to pay their money back to the government.original ↗
4 May 2026
An economist writes: “the fulminations over the #1 pick seem overheated to me.”original ↗
3 May 2026
John Carlin says, “‘Identifying variables that independently predict…’ is not a well-defined research task”original ↗
2 May 2026
What advice do you have for this student who’s in his first year of college and interested in both statistics and political science?original ↗
1 May 2026
A study is retracted after it turns out that its authors were misrepresented as “third-party experts” even though they were actually paid by the company?original ↗
30 Apr 2026
Show me scienceoriginal ↗
29 Apr 2026
Taking one more swing at the foolish nudgelords who associate the Soviet Union with environmental protectionoriginal ↗
29 Apr 2026
Survey Statistics: exploded logit !original ↗
28 Apr 2026
Two Health Economists Walk into a Bar: What bothered me in that conversation of Jay Bhattacharya and Emily Osteroriginal ↗
28 Apr 2026
Hey! Try out the RMET (“the Reading the Mind in the Eyes test”).original ↗
27 Apr 2026
Should French pollsters be using Mister P?original ↗
27 Apr 2026
Why isn’t it possible to play a fun and serious game of poker not for money?original ↗
26 Apr 2026
He’s a music educator evaluating K–12 music education systems, and he wants someone to look at his measurements and statistics.original ↗
25 Apr 2026
Blogging and writing styleoriginal ↗
25 Apr 2026
Update on that un-published CDC report on covid vaccinesoriginal ↗
24 Apr 2026
Three things I forgot to say today at the National Academy of Sciences Workshop on Enhancing Scientific Integrityoriginal ↗
24 Apr 2026
Trump 1 vs. Trump 2: The role of the two other branches of government (legislative and judicial)original ↗
24 Apr 2026
Probability theory corner: My favorite birthday-problem storyoriginal ↗
23 Apr 2026
If that CDC report had just included some fake citations and some crazy dietary advice, the boss would surely have approved it for publication.original ↗
22 Apr 2026
Fraud and the false optimism of AI for scienceoriginal ↗
22 Apr 2026
Postmodern anti-science attitudes?original ↗
22 Apr 2026
Survey Statistics: dCV for MRP ?original ↗
21 Apr 2026
Did Taylor Swift kill a bunch of people?original ↗
21 Apr 2026
“I have seen the future of science. It is ruled by bitter competition instead of collaboration, pageantry instead of exploration. Bright minds beginning careers in science will be taught to debase their training for drudgerous pursuit of meaningless metrics. Those willing to toil over genuine questions will necessarily lose out to those that can furnish cheap answers. . . .”original ↗
20 Apr 2026
Eugene Wigner and the Mooniesoriginal ↗
19 Apr 2026
“Making Your Research Free May Cost You”original ↗
18 Apr 2026
In ML, everyone’s Humpty Dumptyoriginal ↗
17 Apr 2026
Fascinating 1981 interview with Morris Kline, author of the classic book, Mathematics: The Loss of Certaintyoriginal ↗
17 Apr 2026
The Bayesian Workflow book is coming!original ↗
16 Apr 2026
Can you hit a home run off of Paul Skenes?original ↗
15 Apr 2026
Survey Statistics: irrelevant alternatives ?original ↗
14 Apr 2026
Epistemic Virtues for Science in the Age of Automationoriginal ↗
14 Apr 2026
How to report a N=12 study?original ↗
14 Apr 2026
Which beliefs are considered acceptable and which are not?original ↗
13 Apr 2026
All graphs are comparisons, and the relevance of this principle to practical advice for producing better graphsoriginal ↗
12 Apr 2026
“The FTC does not have our backs, that much is clear”original ↗
11 Apr 2026
Here’s a story from Australia: There were so many problems with the survey that the government didn’t release the data.original ↗
11 Apr 2026
The internet of pooporiginal ↗
10 Apr 2026
An application for training deep learning models in your browseroriginal ↗
9 Apr 2026
Updike in Tehranoriginal ↗
8 Apr 2026
Survey Statistics: improving with structureoriginal ↗
7 Apr 2026
My talk at Stanford later this month: “What to do when your estimate is 1 standard error away from 0?”original ↗
7 Apr 2026
My (uninformed and completely speculative) theory about Jeff Bezos and the Washington Postoriginal ↗
6 Apr 2026
How do political organizations and politically-minded rich people translate money into media influence? Differently than they used to.original ↗
5 Apr 2026
Campus newspapers and what remains of journalismoriginal ↗
4 Apr 2026
I love the library–you never know what you’re gonna find there.original ↗
3 Apr 2026
Is your model converging?original ↗
2 Apr 2026
Shameless plug alert: Win prizes by forecasting real healthcare data to help UK’s health service save livesoriginal ↗
1 Apr 2026
Hey! Here’s a great money making opportunity using the lottery. And it’s endorsed by Google, Apple, Yahoo, Morningstar, and Microsoft!original ↗
1 Apr 2026
Survey Statistics: design-based cross validation (dCV)original ↗
31 Mar 2026
Black and white, gray and in between: What color is the media?original ↗
31 Mar 2026
The point of yesterday’s post on the three ways of attacking a statistical problemoriginal ↗
31 Mar 2026
Looking for a postdoc to teach and develop Bayesian methodsoriginal ↗
31 Mar 2026
These are the three ways of attacking a statistical problem (illustrated with the NFL example)original ↗
30 Mar 2026
“12-dimensional chess”original ↗
29 Mar 2026
2026 American Causal Inference Conferenceoriginal ↗
28 Mar 2026
Should you include a list of retractions, corrections, and errors, along with a list of publications, on your CV?original ↗
28 Mar 2026
Maybe one of the remaining ’72 Dolphins will read this one.original ↗
27 Mar 2026
Frank Harrell on why and how to do Bayes for clinical trials and the recent FDA draft guidelinesoriginal ↗
26 Mar 2026
Why and how to do Bayes for clinical trials: Our comments on the recent FDA draft guidance, and reactions to two comments by othersoriginal ↗
26 Mar 2026
What major works of literature were written after age of 85? 75? 65?!original ↗
26 Mar 2026
Notation corner: When you have several different expressions that are mathematically equivalent, you don’t have to choose just one!original ↗
25 Mar 2026
Survey Statistics: Individualism and the CV Noise Problemoriginal ↗
24 Mar 2026
False claims in a widely-cited paper. No corrections. No consequences. Welcome to the Business School.original ↗
24 Mar 2026
How earthquake safe are Vancouver condos?original ↗
23 Mar 2026
Space mirrors: Awesome solution to our energy problems, or ridiculous public relations stunt?original ↗
22 Mar 2026
Claimed “100% sensitivity and specificity in differentiating autistic individuals from typically developing controls using retinal photographs” . . . yeah, right.original ↗
21 Mar 2026
Nutpie: state-of-the-art mass matrix adaptation for HMCoriginal ↗
20 Mar 2026
A data model is not just a “likelihood”original ↗
20 Mar 2026
I don’t like the Wikipedia definition of Bayesian statistics. The Merriam-Webster definition is much better!original ↗
19 Mar 2026
New features in Stan Playground!original ↗
18 Mar 2026
Survey Statistics: individualism doesn’t work (even when weighted)original ↗
17 Mar 2026
Fascist academics today and communist academics in the 1930s-1950soriginal ↗
17 Mar 2026
Another reason to hate on prediction marketsoriginal ↗
17 Mar 2026
“Which means that I’m qualified to write books on the topic and go on NPR regularly and give Ted talks and advise the government, but that’s about it.”original ↗
16 Mar 2026
It’s . . . speciation time!original ↗
15 Mar 2026
The paradox of derivatives and integralsoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2026
The Effect of High-Tech Statistical Analysis on the P-values of Top Researchersoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2026
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