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A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problem

Andrew Gelman · published 2 February 2026

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First cited: 6 Feb 2026
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dynamicecology.wordpress.com

A Friday linkfest is not a thing but an aggregation of billions of decisions, each made on the basis of incentives, opportunities and desires Read at the source ↗

6 Feb 2026

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