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Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2021

Summer internships at Flatiron Institute’s Center for Computational Mathematicsoriginal ↗
6 Dec 2021
Journals submit article with fake data, demonstrate that some higher education journal you’d never heard of is as bad as PNAS, Psychological Science, Lancet, etc etc etc. And an ice cream analogy:original ↗
6 Dec 2021
Being Aliveoriginal ↗
5 Dec 2021
DeclareDesignoriginal ↗
4 Dec 2021
They call him Dr. Manhattan because he updates in one dimension at a time.original ↗
4 Dec 2021
Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and futureoriginal ↗
3 Dec 2021
$original ↗
3 Dec 2021
When confidence intervals include unreasonable values . . . When confidence intervals include only unreasonable values . . .original ↗
2 Dec 2021
An interesting research problem at the intersection of graphical perception and comparative politics.original ↗
1 Dec 2021
Importance of understanding variation when considering how a treatment effect will scaleoriginal ↗
30 Nov 2021
Nudge! For reals.original ↗
30 Nov 2021
“Have we been thinking about the pandemic wrong? The effect of population structure on transmission”original ↗
29 Nov 2021
Design of Surveys in a Non-Probability Sampling World (my talk this Wed in virtual Sweden)original ↗
28 Nov 2021
A little correlation puzzle, leading to a discussion of the connections between intuition and brute forceoriginal ↗
27 Nov 2021
Open positions in the Columbia statistics departmentoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2021
“What, are you nuts? We don’t have time in AP Stats to explain to students what stats actually means. We have to just get them to grind through the computations.”original ↗
26 Nov 2021
Spufford: “Semi-bamboozled” and cookery vs. science (special Thanksgiving post)original ↗
25 Nov 2021
Scabies!original ↗
24 Nov 2021
Kelloggs in the house!original ↗
23 Nov 2021
Some unexpected insights from Dan Ariely’s Wall Street Journal’s advice column!original ↗
22 Nov 2021
Just another day at the sausage factory . . . It’s just funny how regression discontinuity analyses routinely produce these ridiculous graphs and the authors and journals don’t even seem to notice.original ↗
21 Nov 2021
Not so easy to estimate the effects of school mask requirements . . . how to think about this?original ↗
20 Nov 2021
Design choices and user experience in Stan and TensorFlow Probabilityoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2021
The connection between junk statistics and the lack of appreciation for variationoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2021
Drawing Maps of Model Space with Modular Stanoriginal ↗
19 Nov 2021
Fake drug studiesoriginal ↗
18 Nov 2021
Event frequencies and my dated MLB analogyoriginal ↗
18 Nov 2021
It’s so hard to compare the efficiency of MCMC samplersoriginal ↗
17 Nov 2021
Comparing bias and overfitting in learning from data across social psych and machine learningoriginal ↗
17 Nov 2021
An economist and his lonely belieforiginal ↗
17 Nov 2021
A forecasting error in law school admissions. Could this have been avoided?original ↗
16 Nov 2021
Simulation-based inference and approximate Bayesian computation in ecology and population geneticsoriginal ↗
15 Nov 2021
“A mix of obvious, perhaps useful, and somewhat absurd”original ↗
14 Nov 2021
“That Viral List of Top Baby Names Is BS”original ↗
13 Nov 2021
TFW you can add “Internationally exhibited” to your resumeoriginal ↗
12 Nov 2021
Webinar: The Current State and Evolution of Stanoriginal ↗
12 Nov 2021
Don’t Call Me Shirley, Mr. Feynman!original ↗
12 Nov 2021
Comparison of MCMC effective sample size estimatorsoriginal ↗
11 Nov 2021
Holland academic statistics horror storyoriginal ↗
11 Nov 2021
Smoking and Covidoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2021
Chevron, Donziger, and rationalityoriginal ↗
9 Nov 2021
A new idea for a science core course based entirely on computer simulationoriginal ↗
8 Nov 2021
Nooooooooooooo (another hopeless sex ratio study)original ↗
7 Nov 2021
Lying as kicking the can down the roadoriginal ↗
6 Nov 2021
Pendulum versus policy explanations of the 2021 electionsoriginal ↗
5 Nov 2021
Is There a Replication Crisis in Finance?original ↗
5 Nov 2021
Learn Stan, get a job doing Bayesian modeling. How cool is that??original ↗
5 Nov 2021
“Fast state, slow state: what’s the matter with Connecticut?”original ↗
4 Nov 2021
A quick fix in science communication: Switch from the present to the past tense. Here’s an example from New Zealand:original ↗
4 Nov 2021
Journalists and social scientists team up to discover that Census data is not perfectoriginal ↗
3 Nov 2021
General Social Survey releases new data!original ↗
3 Nov 2021
Election updateoriginal ↗
2 Nov 2021
How do you measure success in an academic field such as astronomy?original ↗
2 Nov 2021
How different are causal estimation and decision-making?original ↗
1 Nov 2021
What can we learn from COVID burnout?original ↗
1 Nov 2021
Approximate leave-future-out cross validation for Bayesian time series modelsoriginal ↗
1 Nov 2021
“The Truants,” by William Barrettoriginal ↗
31 Oct 2021
“While critique is certainly an important part of improving scientific fields, we do not want to set a precedent or encourage submission of articles that only critique the methods used by others.”original ↗
30 Oct 2021
A survey of oldsters. Can someone explain why they do it this way?original ↗
30 Oct 2021
Bayesian approaches to differential gene expressionoriginal ↗
29 Oct 2021
Replicating the literature on meritocratic promotion in China, or It’s all about ethics in social science workfloworiginal ↗
29 Oct 2021
No, it’s not a “witch hunt”original ↗
28 Oct 2021
Is the accuracy of Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding bad news for privacy protection at the Census? Technically no, PR-wise probably.original ↗
27 Oct 2021
The Sheffield Graduate Certificate in Statisticsoriginal ↗
27 Oct 2021
An urgent puzzleoriginal ↗
26 Oct 2021
Estimating basketball shooting ability while it varies over timeoriginal ↗
26 Oct 2021
Writing negative blog postsoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2021
The Current State of Undergraduate Bayesian Education and Recommendations for the Futureoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2021
Rainy Day Women #13 & 36original ↗
24 Oct 2021
0/0 = . . . 0? That’s Australian math, mate!original ↗
23 Oct 2021
My slides and paper submissions for Prob Prog 2021original ↗
22 Oct 2021
How did the international public health establishment fail us on covid? By “explicitly privileging the bricks of RCT evidence over the odd-shaped dry stones of mechanistic evidence”original ↗
22 Oct 2021
I like Steven Pinker’s new book. Here’s why:original ↗
21 Oct 2021
New blog formattingoriginal ↗
20 Oct 2021
How does post-processed differentially private Census data affect redistricting? How concerned should we be about gerrymandering with the new DAS?original ↗
20 Oct 2021
Webinar: Kernel Thinning and Stein Thinningoriginal ↗
19 Oct 2021
Cross validation and model assessment comparing models with different likelihoods? The answer’s in Aki’s cross validation faq!original ↗
19 Oct 2021
American Causal Inference Conference 2022original ↗
18 Oct 2021
Found poetry 2021original ↗
18 Oct 2021
Suburban Dicksoriginal ↗
17 Oct 2021
“Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S”: Chernozhukov et al. respond to Lemoine’s critiqueoriginal ↗
16 Oct 2021
Standard Deviation by Katherine Heinyoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2021
I have some skepticism about this “Future Directions for Applying Behavioral Economics to Policy” projectoriginal ↗
14 Oct 2021
Why are goods stacking up at U.S. ports?original ↗
13 Oct 2021
As Seung-Whan Choi explains: Just about any dataset worth analyzing is worth reanalyzing. (The story of when I was “canceled” by Perspectives on Politics. OK, not really.)original ↗
13 Oct 2021
Can the “Dunning-Kruger effect” be explained as a misunderstanding of regression to the mean?original ↗
12 Oct 2021
Comments on a Nobel prize in economics for causal inferenceoriginal ↗
11 Oct 2021
Learning by confronting the contradictions in our statements/actions/beliefs (and how come the notorious Stanford covid contrarians can’t do it?)original ↗
11 Oct 2021
Oooh, I hate it when people call me “disingenuous”:original ↗
10 Oct 2021
Fun example of an observational study: Effect of crowd noise on home-field advantage in sportsoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2021
This is a wonderful graph, because it clearly reveals that . . .original ↗
8 Oct 2021
What’s a good supply demand model to study visualization equilibria in rideshare/taxi routing?original ↗
8 Oct 2021
The COVID wager: results are inoriginal ↗
7 Oct 2021
When to use ordered categorical regression?original ↗
7 Oct 2021
ProbProg 2021 is Oct 20–22 and registration is openoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2021
Gladwell!original ↗
6 Oct 2021
Pundits continue to push the white-men-are-dying story, even though the real change is occurring among women.original ↗
5 Oct 2021
If you put an o on understo, you’ll ruin my thunderstorm.original ↗
4 Oct 2021
Trash talkin’original ↗
3 Oct 2021
I can’t quite say I’m shocked that people aren’t more shocked about Harvard and the CDC’s latest misdeeds . . . but I’m disappointed that people aren’t more disappointed.original ↗
2 Oct 2021
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