Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts
Andrew Gelman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
2021
The problem with p-hacking is not the “hacking,” it’s the “p” (or, Fisher is just fine on this one)original ↗
30 Sept 2021
PhD position at the University of Iceland: Improved 21st century projections of sub-daily extreme precipitation by spatio-temporal recalibrationoriginal ↗
30 Sept 2021
Hiring postdocs and research scientists at Flatiron Institute’s Center for Computational Mathematicsoriginal ↗
29 Sept 2021
29 Sept 2021
28 Sept 2021
“When Should Clinicians Act on Non–Statistically Significant Results From Clinical Trials?”original ↗
27 Sept 2021
“Ivermectin Research Has a Big Fraud Problem, Scientists Say Numerous studies suggesting ivermectin can treat or prevent covid-19 have dodgy data behind them, according to an international group of researchers.”original ↗
25 Sept 2021
20 Sept 2021
18 Sept 2021
“For a research assistant, do you think there is an ethical responsibility to inform your supervisor/principal investigator if they change their analysis plan multiple times during the research project in a manner that verges on p-hacking?”original ↗
18 Sept 2021
16 Sept 2021
Reassessing Nate Silver’s claim from last month that Democrats’ successful (in retrospect) 1-and-Done campaign against the California recall was “self-destructive . . . bad advice . . . a mistake”original ↗
16 Sept 2021
BREAKING: Benford’s law violations in California. Hollywood TV and movie franchises got some splainin to do!original ↗
16 Sept 2021
15 Sept 2021
“As you all know, first prize is a Cadillac El Dorado. Anyone wanna see second prize? Second prize is you’re governor of California. Third prize is you’re fired.”original ↗
14 Sept 2021
What’s the best way to interact with a computer? Do we want conversations, or do we want to poke it like a thing?original ↗
11 Sept 2021
8 Sept 2021
7 Sept 2021
6 Sept 2021
5 Sept 2021
4 Sept 2021
3 Sept 2021
“There are no equal opportunity infectors: Epidemiological modelers must rethink our approach to inequality in infection risk”original ↗
3 Sept 2021
He was fooled by randomness—until he replicated his study and put it in a multilevel framework. Then he saw what was (not) going on.original ↗
1 Sept 2021
There often seems to be an assumption that being in the elite and being an outsider are mutually exclusive qualities, but they’re not.original ↗
31 Aug 2021
30 Aug 2021
A study comparing young and middle-aged adults who got covid to similarly-aged people who were vaccinatedoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2021
Instead of comparing two posterior distributions, just fit one model including both possible explanations of the data.original ↗
29 Aug 2021
27 Aug 2021
Shots taken, shots returned regarding the Census’ motivation for using differential privacy (and btw, it’s not an algorithm)original ↗
27 Aug 2021
“Why do people prefer to share misinformation, even when they value accuracy and are able to identify falsehoods?”original ↗
24 Aug 2021
The horrible convoluted statistical procedures that are used to make decisions about something as important as Alzheimer’s treatmentsoriginal ↗
23 Aug 2021
22 Aug 2021
20 Aug 2021
19 Aug 2021
A scandal in Tedhemia: Noted study in psychology first fails to replicate (but is still promoted by NPR), then crumbles with striking evidence of data fraudoriginal ↗
19 Aug 2021
Coronavirus and Simpson’s paradox: Oldsters are more likely to be vaccinated and more likely to have severe infections, so you need to adjust for age when comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated peopleoriginal ↗
18 Aug 2021
Remote workshop happening today: “Bayesian Causal Inference for Real World Interactive Systems”original ↗
15 Aug 2021
14 Aug 2021
“What are your latest thoughts on how to use a posterior from a previous fit as the prior for a subsequent fit after collecting new data?”original ↗
13 Aug 2021
13 Aug 2021
How to convince yourself that multilevel modeling (or, more generally, any advanced statistical method) has benefits?original ↗
12 Aug 2021
Pathfinder: A parallel quasi-Newton algorithm for reaching regions of high probability massoriginal ↗
10 Aug 2021
Take the American Statistical Association’s “”How Well Do You Know Your Federal Data Sources?” quiz!original ↗
9 Aug 2021
Controversy over “Facial recognition technology can expose political orientation from naturalistic facial images”original ↗
9 Aug 2021
“Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the World Mortality Dataset”original ↗
7 Aug 2021
“Identifying airborne transmission as the dominant route for the spread of COVID-19” followuporiginal ↗
5 Aug 2021
3 Aug 2021
In which we learn through the logical reasoning of a 33-year-old book that B. H. Liddell Hart wasn’t all that.original ↗
2 Aug 2021