Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts
Andrew Gelman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
2022
How many patents by African Americans were there in the “golden age of innovation,” 1870-1940?original ↗
6 Feb 2022
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a debunked research claim being recirculated in the news media — forever.original ↗
5 Feb 2022
4 Feb 2022
When it comes to error correction, Wikipedia is the worst form of government . . . except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.original ↗
2 Feb 2022
Excellent performance of machine learning algorithms in a major time series competition. And then what is the role of statistical modeling? Here’s the answer:original ↗
2 Feb 2022
Not only did this guy not hold the world record in the 100 meter or 110-yard dash for 35 years, he didn’t even run the 110-yard dash in 10.8 seconds, nor did he see a million patients, nor was he on the Michigan football and track teams, nor did Michigan even have a track team when he attended the university. It seems likely that he did know Jack Dempsey, though.original ↗
2 Feb 2022
A question about exercise 4.9 in Regression and Other Stories: My questioner asked for a Bayesian solution but in that case I was thinking of a simple classical approach based on linearly transforming a confidence intervaloriginal ↗
1 Feb 2022
Modeling and Poststratification for Descriptive and Causal Inference (my talk this Thursday at the CUNY Graduate School of Public Health & Health Policy)original ↗
31 Jan 2022
31 Jan 2022
30 Jan 2022
What is fame? The perspective from Niles, Michigan. Including an irrelevant anecdote about “the man who invented hedging”original ↗
28 Jan 2022
27 Jan 2022
26 Jan 2022
I’m skeptical of that claim that “Cash Aid to Poor Mothers Increases Brain Activity in Babies”original ↗
25 Jan 2022
How large a sample size does he actually need? He got statistical significance twice; isn’t that enough??original ↗
24 Jan 2022
23 Jan 2022
Controversies over high school math curriculum, a hope for the expectation of more parent involvement, despair over politicization, . . . the usual stuff.original ↗
23 Jan 2022
21 Jan 2022
17 Jan 2022
“Deep Maps model of the labor force: The impact of the current employment crisis on places and people”original ↗
17 Jan 2022
15 Jan 2022
Disbelief is not an option. You have no choice but to accept that the major conclusions of these studies are true.original ↗
15 Jan 2022
13 Jan 2022
“The Hitchhiker’s Guide to Responsible Machine Learning” and “Statistical Analysis Illustrated”original ↗
12 Jan 2022
12 Jan 2022
11 Jan 2022
The real problem of that nudge meta-analysis is not that it includes 12 papers by noted fraudsters; it’s the GIGO of it alloriginal ↗
10 Jan 2022
My new article, “Failure and success in political polling and election forecasting” . . . and the tangled yet uninteresting story of how it came to beoriginal ↗
8 Jan 2022
PNAS GIGO QRP WTF: This meta-analysis of nudge experiments is approaching the platonic ideal of junk scienceoriginal ↗
7 Jan 2022
Theranos built a unicorn, and we just built a better horse. You can get more money for a unicorn, even though—or especially because—unicorns don’t exist.original ↗
5 Jan 2022
5 Jan 2022
The gullibility connection: How do the “Joe Rogans” in the media decide where to be skeptical and where to be credulous? Remember the Chestertonian Principle.original ↗
3 Jan 2022
“I don’t want ‘crowd peer review’ or whatever you want to call it,” he said. “It’s just too burdensome and I’d rather have a more formal peer review process.”original ↗
2 Jan 2022
2021
A new approach to scientific publishing and reviewing based on distributed research contracts?original ↗
30 Dec 2021
28 Dec 2021
27 Dec 2021
“Unrepresentative big surveys significantly overestimated US vaccine uptake,” and the problem of generalizing from sample to populationoriginal ↗
26 Dec 2021
Patterns on the complex floor: A fun little example of simulation-based experimentation in mathematicsoriginal ↗
25 Dec 2021
The odd overlap of political left and right that’s associated with much of “neoliberal” social scienceoriginal ↗
24 Dec 2021
23 Dec 2021
The so-called “lucky golf ball”: The Association for Psychological Science promotes junk science while ignoring the careful, serious work of replicationoriginal ↗
20 Dec 2021
15 Dec 2021
15 Dec 2021
14 Dec 2021
12 Dec 2021
11 Dec 2021
Lying to people by associating health care with conspiracy theories—it’s a tradition. Here’s a horrible example from an old-school science fiction writer:original ↗
10 Dec 2021
8 Dec 2021