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Aiming your gatling guns in the wrong direction. Shooting the messenger for something the messenger was never saying.

Andrew Gelman · published 27 August 2025

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5 Sept 2025
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5 Sept 2025
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dynamicecology.wordpress.com
This Friday linkfest can sing all the lyrics to “It’s the End of the World” (UPDATEDx3) Read at the source ↗
5 Sept 2025

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/bjps1993.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/polling-errors.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://sites.stat.columbia.edu/gelman/book/
sites.stat.columbia.edu
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/election_forecasting.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://www.thesupermodel.com/p/so-whats-it-going-to-be
thesupermodel.com
https://substack.com/@backofmind/note/c-78527346
substack.com
https://www.argmin.net/p/going-beyond-the-polls
argmin.net
https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-harris-could-beat-her-polls
natesilver.net
https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-harris-normal-polling-error-blowout/story?id=115283593
abcnews.go.com
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/polling_3.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://www.argmin.net/p/going-beyond-the-polls/comment/78526266
argmin.net
Elsewhere on statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu (5)