corpus.blog
56,966 blogs · [ { "id": "01a0d9df-6c5a-71e7-bb75-234053504da4", "title": "Campaign spending limits would reduce extinction risk (but spending limits might not accord with Constitutional principles)", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/09/21/campaing_spending_limits/", "published_at": "2026-09-21T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bb92-257b-7396-9217-65ec8b1085e0", "title": "Results from the Population Ethics Quiz", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/09/14/population_ethics_quiz_results/", "published_at": "2026-09-14T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c809bd885", "title": "Some things I wrote in my journal that might be fit for public consumption", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/09/07/journal_entries/", "published_at": "2026-09-07T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c80d0f4c9", "title": "Population ethics is a big deal, which is why I made this population ethics quiz", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/08/31/population_ethics_quiz/", "published_at": "2026-08-31T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c811ae882", "title": "Don't Treat AI's Skillset as Static", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/08/24/don't_treat_ai's_skillset_as_static/", "published_at": "2026-08-24T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c81411908", "title": "Reasons to Act on Your Best Guess: A Reply to the Challenge of Unawareness", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/08/17/unawareness_reply/", "published_at": "2026-08-17T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c82140117", "title": "On Democratizing ASI to Preserve Civil Liberties", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/08/10/on_democratizing_ASI/", "published_at": "2026-08-10T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c821abcfa", "title": "Links for August", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/08/03/links_for_august/", "published_at": "2026-08-03T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c829f1e15", "title": "Notes on the possibility of moral progress", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/07/27/notes_on_moral_progress/", "published_at": "2026-07-27T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c836a4c3b", "title": "Letting myself look foolish", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/07/20/letting_myself_look_foolish/", "published_at": "2026-07-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c83b982b4", "title": "Pausing AI at human level seems harder than pausing ASAP", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/07/13/pausing_AI_at_human_level_seems_hard/", "published_at": "2026-07-13T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8430bb71", "title": "Training AI to be better at correctness than persuasion", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/07/06/training_AI_to_be_better_at_correctness_than_persuasion/", "published_at": "2026-07-06T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c843860de", "title": "AI will make biological extinction risks worse before it makes them better", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/29/AI_will_make_biorisk_worse_before_making_it_better/", "published_at": "2026-06-29T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c84549273", "title": "Compare Your Company Stock to a Leveraged Index Fund", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/22/compare_employee_stock_leveraged_index/", "published_at": "2026-06-22T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c84abdc21", "title": "A frontier AI company should shut down", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/15/a_frontier_AI_company_should_shut_down/", "published_at": "2026-06-15T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c84eb8538", "title": "Science-driven stories are good for the same reason that character-driven stories are good", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/13/science-driven_stories/", "published_at": "2026-06-13T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c859ae3d8", "title": "How valuable are weak AI safety regulations?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/08/how_valuable_are_weak_AI_safety_regulations/", "published_at": "2026-06-08T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c85f7aff5", "title": "We Need Breadth-First AI Safety Plans", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/06/01/breadth-first_AI_safety_plans/", "published_at": "2026-06-01T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c86baf7b5", "title": "Sentient Welfare Across Three Futures", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/05/25/three_futures_sentient_welfare/", "published_at": "2026-05-25T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c86ff04f9", "title": "I sleep less when I exercise more", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/05/18/I_sleep_less_when_I_exercise_more/", "published_at": "2026-05-18T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c87ac394d", "title": "Donation Timing Under Uncertainty About AI Timelines", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/05/11/donation_timing_given_AI_timelines/", "published_at": "2026-05-11T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c88a2354c", "title": "Thoughts on investing for transformative AI", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/05/04/investing_for_transformative_ai/", "published_at": "2026-05-04T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c89135a59", "title": "I'm extremely worried that superintelligent AI will kill everyone", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/04/27/worried_about_ASI/", "published_at": "2026-04-27T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c895b149b", "title": "I was wrong: concentrated factor portfolios don't have alpha", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/04/20/I_was_wrong_concentrated_factor_portfolios_don't_have_alpha/", "published_at": "2026-04-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8a582a0f", "title": "Can AI make advancements in moral philosophy by writing proofs?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/04/13/can_AI_write_moral_philosophy_proofs/", "published_at": "2026-04-13T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8b1675a6", "title": "Pausing AI Is the Best Answer to Post-Alignment Problems", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/04/11/pause_for_post-alignment_problems/", "published_at": "2026-04-11T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8bf7da05", "title": "By Strong Default, ASI Will End Liberal Democracy", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/04/06/by_strong_default_ASI_will_end_liberal_democracy/", "published_at": "2026-04-06T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8c314e0a", "title": "The Future Will Be Weirder Than That", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/29/future_will_be_weirder_than_that/", "published_at": "2026-03-29T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8d232674", "title": "Which is better for sentient beings: an \"ethical\" AI or a corrigible AI?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/28/which_is_better_for_animals_value_lock-in_or_corrigibility/", "published_at": "2026-03-28T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8de30223", "title": "The resource-constraints argument for why aligned ASI wouldn't be bad for animals", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/27/resource_constraints_argument_why_aligned_AI_wouldn't_be_bad_for_animals/", "published_at": "2026-03-27T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8eb88f95", "title": "List of ideas for improving animal welfare in light of transformative AI", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/26/quick_ideas_animal_welfare_in_light_of_ASI/", "published_at": "2026-03-26T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8f99564f", "title": "I used to think aligned ASI would be good for all sentient beings; now I don't know what to think", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/25/I_used_to_think_aligned_ASI_would_be_good_for_sentient_beings/", "published_at": "2026-03-25T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8fc6b983", "title": "Cost-effectiveness model for AI alignment-to-animals vs. alignment-in-general", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/24/alignment-to-animals_BOTEC/", "published_at": "2026-03-24T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c8fd5b719", "title": "Which types of AI alignment research are most likely to be good for all sentient beings?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/23/which_types_of_alignment_research_are_good_for_all_sentient_beings/", "published_at": "2026-03-23T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c90039905", "title": "Worlds where we solve AI alignment on purpose don't look like the world we live in", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/20/worlds_where_we_solve_alignment_on_purpose/", "published_at": "2026-03-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c904e4f70", "title": "Value Investing in the Age of AGI", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/11/value_investing_agi/", "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c906e227b", "title": "The Structural Return Argument Against Value Investing", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/03/02/structural_return_argument_against_value_investing/", "published_at": "2026-03-02T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9097880f", "title": "Contra \"Time Series Momentum: Is It There?\"", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/02/04/contra_tsmom_is_it_there/", "published_at": "2026-02-04T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c90be7a16", "title": "If AI alignment is only as hard as building the steam engine, then we likely still die", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2026/01/10/if_alignment_is_as_hard_as_the_steam_engine/", "published_at": "2026-01-10T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9161bf4f", "title": "I'm wary of increasing government expertise on AI", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/12/21/government_expertise_on_AI/", "published_at": "2025-12-21T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c91fd17be", "title": "Rest in Peace Commento; Long Live Comentario", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/12/12/long_live_comentario/", "published_at": "2025-12-12T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c92c4cf1d", "title": "I need the Writing Style Guide people to figure out how to put a smiley face inside parentheses", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/12/11/smiley_inside_parentheses/", "published_at": "2025-12-11T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c932796b6", "title": "I did Inkhaven", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/30/inkhaven/", "published_at": "2025-11-30T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c93629f73", "title": "How do I know if I'm dreaming?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/which_dream_checks_work/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9444d2df", "title": "Prioritizing your objectives is better than grazing past them accidentally", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/prioritize_your_objectives/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c94d4a654", "title": "My Carlin-esque list of pet peeves", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/pet_peeves/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c94f7ff08", "title": "Not being awkward is NP-hard", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/not_being_awkward_is_NP-hard/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c951cbe68", "title": "Some little things I do to make life easier", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/little_things_I_do/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c95610d21", "title": "Kid me was bad at Magic: The Gathering", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/kid_me_was_bad_at_mtg/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c96376b17", "title": "Gaming keyboards are not good for gaming", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/gaming_keyboards/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c96af840d", "title": "Belief in expert mistakes", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/belief_in_expert_mistakes/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9774b6dd", "title": "TV is better when you trust the writers", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/TV_is_better_when_you_trust_the_writers/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c97b0a989", "title": "I like reborrowed words", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/29/I_like_reborrowed_words/", "published_at": "2025-11-29T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c987e20d9", "title": "Wartime ethics is weird", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/28/wartime_ethics/", "published_at": "2025-11-28T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c98d21d15", "title": "Alignment Bootstrapping Is Dangerous", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/27/alignment_bootstrapping_is_dangerous/", "published_at": "2025-11-27T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9984caea", "title": "Magic: The Gathering Arena decklists for people on a budget", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/26/mtg_arena_budget_decklists/", "published_at": "2025-11-26T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c99a381c2", "title": "How to Fix Quidditch", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/25/fixing_quidditch/", "published_at": "2025-11-25T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9a87dc09", "title": "I don't like having goals", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/24/goals/", "published_at": "2025-11-24T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9b211e3b", "title": "Some Curiosity Stoppers I've Heard", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/23/curiosity_stoppers/", "published_at": "2025-11-23T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9b338ae2", "title": "Where I Am Donating in 2025", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/22/where_i_am_donating_in_2025/", "published_at": "2025-11-22T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9bd3a28a", "title": "An unnecessarily long analysis of one line from The Princess Bride", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/21/inconceivable/", "published_at": "2025-11-21T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9bffcb6a", "title": "We won't solve post-alignment problems by doing research", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/20/research_wont_solve_non-alignment_problems/", "published_at": "2025-11-20T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9c394b71", "title": "Do Disruptive or Violent Protests Work?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/19/do_disruptive_protests_work/", "published_at": "2025-11-19T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9c600409", "title": "Why would God have a gender?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/18/god_gender/", "published_at": "2025-11-18T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9d3ca6e8", "title": "Not-Discovered-Here Syndrome", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/17/not_discovered_here_syndrome/", "published_at": "2025-11-17T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9d9ae21c", "title": "Knowing whether AI alignment is a one-shot problem is a one-shot problem", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/16/ai_meta_one_shot/", "published_at": "2025-11-16T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9d9db3d4", "title": "What If Ghosts Were Real?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/15/what_if_ghosts_were_real/", "published_at": "2025-11-15T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9dc806a3", "title": "In Defense of the NCIS Two-People-One-Keyboard Scene", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/14/NCIS/", "published_at": "2025-11-14T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9e0a4c3f", "title": "Epistemic Spot Check: Expected Value of Donating to Alex Bores's Congressional Campaign", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/13/spot_check_alex_bores/", "published_at": "2025-11-13T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9e8d117e", "title": "Ideas Too Short for Essays, Part 2", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/12/ideas_too_short_for_essays_part_2/", "published_at": "2025-11-12T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9f2f795a", "title": "Are Groot and Baby Groot the Same Person?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/11/baby_groot/", "published_at": "2025-11-11T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c9fb28efd", "title": "A Thesis Regarding The Impossibility Of Giving Accurate Time Estimates, Presented As An Experiment On Form In Which The Essay Solely Consists Of A Title; In Which The Thesis States That, If Task Times Follow A Pareto Distribution (With The Right Parameters), Then An Unknown Task Takes Infinite Time In Expectation; And Therefore, In The General Case, You Cannot Provide An Accurate Time Estimate Because Any Finite Estimate Provided Will Not Capture The Expected Value; And, More Precisely, Every Es", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/10/long_title/", "published_at": "2025-11-10T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca0942a6d", "title": "Upside Volatility Is Bad", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/09/upside_volatility_is_bad/", "published_at": "2025-11-09T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca101401e", "title": "Writing Your Representatives: A Cost-Effective and Neglected Intervention", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/08/call_or_write_your_representatives/", "published_at": "2025-11-08T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca13936f9", "title": "Things I Learned from College", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/07/things_I_learned_from_college/", "published_at": "2025-11-07T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca1744042", "title": "Cash Back", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/06/cash_back/", "published_at": "2025-11-06T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca182c3a4", "title": "How Can I Not Know Whether I'm Having a Good Experience?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/05/how_can_I_not_know_whether_I'm_having_a_good_experience/", "published_at": "2025-11-05T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca1b0669c", "title": "Do Small Protests Work?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/04/do_small_protests_work/", "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca2024b71", "title": "My Third Caffeine Self-Experiment", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/03/third_caffeine_self-experiment/", "published_at": "2025-11-03T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca2bfaaa1", "title": "Things I've Become More Confident About", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/02/things_ive_become_more_confident_about/", "published_at": "2025-11-02T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca385570d", "title": "Will Welfareans Get to Experience the Future?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/11/01/will_welfareans_get_to_experience_the_future/", "published_at": "2025-11-01T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca4163691", "title": "The Next-Gen LLM Might Pose an Existential Threat", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/10/15/next_gen_LLM_might_pose_existential_threat/", "published_at": "2025-10-15T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca5134eba", "title": "Mechanisms Rule Hypotheses Out, But Not In", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/10/08/mechanisms_rule_hypotheses_out_not_in/", "published_at": "2025-10-08T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca56efc17", "title": "How Much Does It Cost to Offset an LLM Subscription?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/10/04/cost_to_offset_LLM_subscription/", "published_at": "2025-10-04T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca64452dc", "title": "I made an Emacs extension that displays Magic: the Gathering card tooltips", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/10/03/mtg_emacs/", "published_at": "2025-10-03T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca6f9f022", "title": "AI Safety Landscape and Strategic Gaps", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/09/19/ai_safety_landscape/", "published_at": "2025-09-19T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca6fd34e7", "title": "Healthy Cooking Tips from a Lazy Person", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/08/29/lazy_cooking_tips/", "published_at": "2025-08-29T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca7835760", "title": "Doctor Strange Didn't See Only One Victory out of 14,000,605 Futures", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/07/25/doctor_strange/", "published_at": "2025-07-25T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca807f30c", "title": "Is it so much to ask for a nice reliable aggregated x-risk forecast?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/07/12/aggregated_x-risk_forecasts/", "published_at": "2025-07-12T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca8e593bf", "title": "Annual subscription discounts usually aren't worth it", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/07/07/annual_subscription_discounts/", "published_at": "2025-07-07T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca954d102", "title": "LLMs might already be conscious", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/07/05/LLMs_might_already_be_conscious/", "published_at": "2025-07-05T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8ca9ce5f13", "title": "In Which I Defend Fruit's Honor", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/06/08/defending_fruit's_honor/", "published_at": "2025-06-08T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8caa1a5095", "title": "Updates Digest: Inaugural Edition", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/05/30/inaugural_updates_digest/", "published_at": "2025-05-30T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8caac479cd", "title": "Against Ergodicity Economics", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/05/29/ergodicity/", "published_at": "2025-05-29T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8cab750f68", "title": "Let's take a moment to marvel at how bad the original USDA food pyramid was", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/05/21/food_pyramid/", "published_at": "2025-05-21T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8cac1f125e", "title": "Can you maintain lean mass in a calorie deficit?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/05/01/resistance_training_calorie_deficit/", "published_at": "2025-05-01T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8caca26672", "title": "Why would AI companies use human-level AI to do alignment research?", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/04/25/bootstrapped_alignment/", "published_at": "2025-04-25T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8cace56fff", "title": "Do Protests Work? A Critical Review", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/04/18/protest_outcomes_critical_review/", "published_at": "2025-04-18T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8cad9afa2e", "title": "The Triple-Interaction-Effects Argument", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/04/10/triple_interaction_effects/", "published_at": "2025-04-10T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8cadcef726", "title": "You can now read my reading notes", "url": "http://mdickens.me/2025/03/31/new_reading_notes/", "published_at": "2025-03-31T07:00:00+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
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mdickens.me

2026

Campaign spending limits would reduce extinction risk (but spending limits might not accord with Constitutional principles)original ↗
21 Sept 2026
Results from the Population Ethics Quizoriginal ↗
14 Sept 2026
Some things I wrote in my journal that might be fit for public consumptionoriginal ↗
7 Sept 2026
Population ethics is a big deal, which is why I made this population ethics quizoriginal ↗
31 Aug 2026
Don't Treat AI's Skillset as Staticoriginal ↗
24 Aug 2026
Reasons to Act on Your Best Guess: A Reply to the Challenge of Unawarenessoriginal ↗
17 Aug 2026
On Democratizing ASI to Preserve Civil Libertiesoriginal ↗
10 Aug 2026
Links for Augustoriginal ↗
3 Aug 2026
Notes on the possibility of moral progressoriginal ↗
27 Jul 2026
Letting myself look foolishoriginal ↗
20 Jul 2026
Pausing AI at human level seems harder than pausing ASAPoriginal ↗
13 Jul 2026
Training AI to be better at correctness than persuasionoriginal ↗
6 Jul 2026
AI will make biological extinction risks worse before it makes them betteroriginal ↗
29 Jun 2026
Compare Your Company Stock to a Leveraged Index Fundoriginal ↗
22 Jun 2026
A frontier AI company should shut downoriginal ↗
15 Jun 2026
Science-driven stories are good for the same reason that character-driven stories are goodoriginal ↗
13 Jun 2026
How valuable are weak AI safety regulations?original ↗
8 Jun 2026
We Need Breadth-First AI Safety Plansoriginal ↗
1 Jun 2026
Sentient Welfare Across Three Futuresoriginal ↗
25 May 2026
I sleep less when I exercise moreoriginal ↗
18 May 2026
Donation Timing Under Uncertainty About AI Timelinesoriginal ↗
11 May 2026
Thoughts on investing for transformative AIoriginal ↗
4 May 2026
I'm extremely worried that superintelligent AI will kill everyoneoriginal ↗
27 Apr 2026
I was wrong: concentrated factor portfolios don't have alphaoriginal ↗
20 Apr 2026
Can AI make advancements in moral philosophy by writing proofs?original ↗
13 Apr 2026
Pausing AI Is the Best Answer to Post-Alignment Problemsoriginal ↗
11 Apr 2026
By Strong Default, ASI Will End Liberal Democracyoriginal ↗
6 Apr 2026
The Future Will Be Weirder Than Thatoriginal ↗
29 Mar 2026
Which is better for sentient beings: an "ethical" AI or a corrigible AI?original ↗
28 Mar 2026
The resource-constraints argument for why aligned ASI wouldn't be bad for animalsoriginal ↗
27 Mar 2026
List of ideas for improving animal welfare in light of transformative AIoriginal ↗
26 Mar 2026
I used to think aligned ASI would be good for all sentient beings; now I don't know what to thinkoriginal ↗
25 Mar 2026
Cost-effectiveness model for AI alignment-to-animals vs. alignment-in-generaloriginal ↗
24 Mar 2026
Which types of AI alignment research are most likely to be good for all sentient beings?original ↗
23 Mar 2026
Worlds where we solve AI alignment on purpose don't look like the world we live inoriginal ↗
20 Mar 2026
Value Investing in the Age of AGIoriginal ↗
11 Mar 2026
The Structural Return Argument Against Value Investingoriginal ↗
2 Mar 2026
Contra "Time Series Momentum: Is It There?"original ↗
4 Feb 2026
If AI alignment is only as hard as building the steam engine, then we likely still dieoriginal ↗
10 Jan 2026

2025

I'm wary of increasing government expertise on AIoriginal ↗
21 Dec 2025
Rest in Peace Commento; Long Live Comentariooriginal ↗
12 Dec 2025
I need the Writing Style Guide people to figure out how to put a smiley face inside parenthesesoriginal ↗
11 Dec 2025
I did Inkhavenoriginal ↗
30 Nov 2025
How do I know if I'm dreaming?original ↗
29 Nov 2025
Prioritizing your objectives is better than grazing past them accidentallyoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
My Carlin-esque list of pet peevesoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Not being awkward is NP-hardoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Some little things I do to make life easieroriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Kid me was bad at Magic: The Gatheringoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Gaming keyboards are not good for gamingoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Belief in expert mistakesoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
TV is better when you trust the writersoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
I like reborrowed wordsoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2025
Wartime ethics is weirdoriginal ↗
28 Nov 2025
Alignment Bootstrapping Is Dangerousoriginal ↗
27 Nov 2025
Magic: The Gathering Arena decklists for people on a budgetoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2025
How to Fix Quidditchoriginal ↗
25 Nov 2025
I don't like having goalsoriginal ↗
24 Nov 2025
Some Curiosity Stoppers I've Heardoriginal ↗
23 Nov 2025
Where I Am Donating in 2025original ↗
22 Nov 2025
An unnecessarily long analysis of one line from The Princess Brideoriginal ↗
21 Nov 2025
We won't solve post-alignment problems by doing researchoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2025
Do Disruptive or Violent Protests Work?original ↗
19 Nov 2025
Why would God have a gender?original ↗
18 Nov 2025
Not-Discovered-Here Syndromeoriginal ↗
17 Nov 2025
Knowing whether AI alignment is a one-shot problem is a one-shot problemoriginal ↗
16 Nov 2025
What If Ghosts Were Real?original ↗
15 Nov 2025
In Defense of the NCIS Two-People-One-Keyboard Sceneoriginal ↗
14 Nov 2025
Epistemic Spot Check: Expected Value of Donating to Alex Bores's Congressional Campaignoriginal ↗
13 Nov 2025
Ideas Too Short for Essays, Part 2original ↗
12 Nov 2025
Are Groot and Baby Groot the Same Person?original ↗
11 Nov 2025
A Thesis Regarding The Impossibility Of Giving Accurate Time Estimates, Presented As An Experiment On Form In Which The Essay Solely Consists Of A Title; In Which The Thesis States That, If Task Times Follow A Pareto Distribution (With The Right Parameters), Then An Unknown Task Takes Infinite Time In Expectation; And Therefore, In The General Case, You Cannot Provide An Accurate Time Estimate Because Any Finite Estimate Provided Will Not Capture The Expected Value; And, More Precisely, Every Esoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2025
Upside Volatility Is Badoriginal ↗
9 Nov 2025
Writing Your Representatives: A Cost-Effective and Neglected Interventionoriginal ↗
8 Nov 2025
Things I Learned from Collegeoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2025
Cash Backoriginal ↗
6 Nov 2025
How Can I Not Know Whether I'm Having a Good Experience?original ↗
5 Nov 2025
Do Small Protests Work?original ↗
4 Nov 2025
My Third Caffeine Self-Experimentoriginal ↗
3 Nov 2025
Things I've Become More Confident Aboutoriginal ↗
2 Nov 2025
Will Welfareans Get to Experience the Future?original ↗
1 Nov 2025
The Next-Gen LLM Might Pose an Existential Threatoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2025
Mechanisms Rule Hypotheses Out, But Not Inoriginal ↗
8 Oct 2025
How Much Does It Cost to Offset an LLM Subscription?original ↗
4 Oct 2025
I made an Emacs extension that displays Magic: the Gathering card tooltipsoriginal ↗
3 Oct 2025
AI Safety Landscape and Strategic Gapsoriginal ↗
19 Sept 2025
Healthy Cooking Tips from a Lazy Personoriginal ↗
29 Aug 2025
Doctor Strange Didn't See Only One Victory out of 14,000,605 Futuresoriginal ↗
25 Jul 2025
Is it so much to ask for a nice reliable aggregated x-risk forecast?original ↗
12 Jul 2025
Annual subscription discounts usually aren't worth itoriginal ↗
7 Jul 2025
LLMs might already be consciousoriginal ↗
5 Jul 2025
In Which I Defend Fruit's Honororiginal ↗
8 Jun 2025
Updates Digest: Inaugural Editionoriginal ↗
30 May 2025
Against Ergodicity Economicsoriginal ↗
29 May 2025
Let's take a moment to marvel at how bad the original USDA food pyramid wasoriginal ↗
21 May 2025
Can you maintain lean mass in a calorie deficit?original ↗
1 May 2025
Why would AI companies use human-level AI to do alignment research?original ↗
25 Apr 2025
Do Protests Work? A Critical Revieworiginal ↗
18 Apr 2025
The Triple-Interaction-Effects Argumentoriginal ↗
10 Apr 2025
You can now read my reading notesoriginal ↗
31 Mar 2025
Next