corpus.blog
41,554 blogs · 5,181,941 posts Claim your blog
Record · corpus.blog/posts/01a087a3-4d9c-7187-a01d-2d8c81411908

Reasons to Act on Your Best Guess: A Reply to the Challenge of Unawareness

mdickens.me · published 17 August 2026

A record is what was published and who pointed at it. The text of the post is not held here: read it at the source, or at its Wayback capture.

Read the post at mdickens.me Wayback capture
0blogs citing
First cited
—
Most recent
—
Rank this month
not ranked
External links
31
Words captured
6,495

Cited by

No blog we hold has cited this post yet.

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZQhThndgHNXEKFdSx/cluelessness-critiques-week-discussion-thread
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/rHqdsrieinyhM5KDv
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/eNEc3ZJ62eRMFvBjG/reasons-to-act-on-your-best-guess-a-reply-to-the-challenge
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NesgdEY6yPrE9wDap/cluelessness-summary-of-the-argument-why-it-matters-and-1
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NKx8sHcAyCiKT723b/should-you-go-with-your-best-guess-against-precise
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.03543
arxiv.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qZS8cgvY5YrjQ3JiR/2-why-intuitive-comparisons-of-large-scale-impact-are
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://gwern.net/doc/statistics/bayes/1950-good-probabilityandtheweighingofevidence.pdf
gwern.net
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldbach%27s_conjecture
en.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halting_problem
en.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M%C3%BCnchhausen_trilemma
en.wikipedia.org
https://www.lesswrong.com/w/parfits-hitchhiker
lesswrong.com
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LcjuHNxubQqCry9tT/vdt-a-solution-to-decision-theory
lesswrong.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skewes%27s_number
en.wikipedia.org
https://gwern.net/doc/math/2023-gowers.pdf
gwern.net
https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.18994
arxiv.org
https://conwaylife.com/wiki/Heavyweight_spaceship
conwaylife.com
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/in-continued-defense-of-non-frequentist
astralcodexten.com
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/rHqdsrieinyhM5KDv/p/NKx8sHcAyCiKT723b
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/rHqdsrieinyhM5KDv/p/pjc7w2r3Je7jgipYY
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann%E2%80%93Morgenstern_utility_theorem
en.wikipedia.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/rHqdsrieinyhM5KDv/p/a3hnfA9EnYm9bssTZ
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1609.03543
doi.org
https://metabolicpathways.stanford.edu/
metabolicpathways.stanford.edu
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/rHqdsrieinyhM5KDv/p/qZS8cgvY5YrjQ3JiR
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zMCHujoAdgiCYo7JN/should-you-go-with-your-best-guess-against-precise?commentId=ZTZLoFvc828EKh2pS
lesswrong.com
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2aooibAEDSdreCqrJ/announcing-cluelessness-critiques-competition
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://doi.org/10.67678/92a5q2vm
doi.org
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2410.18994
doi.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solomonoff%27s_theory_of_inductive_inference
en.wikipedia.org
https://proofwiki.org/wiki/ProofWiki:Jokes/Physicist_Mathematician_and_Engineer_Jokes/Burning_Hotel
proofwiki.org
Elsewhere on mdickens.me (1)