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How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?

forethought.org · published 4 August 2025

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4blogs citing
First cited
7 Apr 2026
Most recent
21 Sept 2026
Rank this month
not ranked
External links
28
Words captured
9,900

Cited by

Blog
In the post
Date
tobyord.com
Swarm Scaling Read at the source ↗
21 Sept 2026
LessWrong
Data bottlenecks won’t prevent an intelligence explosion (but they will slow it down) Read at the source ↗
9 Sept 2026
Redwood Research
AI Futurism Reading List Read at the source ↗
2 Jul 2026
tecunningham.github.io
Definitions of Recursive Self-Improvement Read at the source ↗
5 Jun 2026
Redwood Research
Full automation of AI R&D probably yields a large speed up even without a software-only singularity Read at the source ↗
27 May 2026
tecunningham.github.io
An Apple-Picking Model of AI R&D Read at the source ↗
7 Apr 2026

Links from this post

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Host
https://pinecast.com/listen/a3a386f3-f4f2-4e79-9ee1-2ae509598c50
pinecast.com
https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/IdeaPF.pdf
web.stanford.edu
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/334739032_Stepping_on_toes_in_the_production_of_knowledge_a_meta-regression_analysis
researchgate.net
https://futuretech.mit.edu/news/what-drives-progress-in-ai-trends-in-compute
futuretech.mit.edu
https://epoch.ai/trends
epoch.ai
https://thoulden.github.io/Accelerated_AI_Progress/
thoulden.github.io
https://redwoodresearch.substack.com/p/what-does-10x-ing-effective-compute?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=2318730&post_id=166749974&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=jaafn&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
redwoodresearch.substack.com
https://epoch.ai/blog/do-the-returns-to-software-rnd-point-towards-a-singularity
epoch.ai
https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/what-a-compute-centric-framework-says-about-takeoff-speeds/
openphilanthropy.org
https://takeoffspeeds.com/
takeoffspeeds.com
https://ai-2027.com/research/takeoff-forecast
ai-2027.com
https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/most-ai-value-will-come-from-broad-automation-not-from-r-d
epoch.ai
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superintelligence:_Paths,_Dangers,_Strategies
en.wikipedia.org
https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf
intelligence.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jones_model
en.wikipedia.org
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xoX936hEvpxToeuLw/estimating-the-substitutability-between-compute-and
forum.effectivealtruism.org
https://github.com/thoulden/Accelerated_AI_Progress
github.com
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hMSuXTsEHvk4NG6pm/slow-corporations-as-an-intuition-pump-for-ai-r-and-d
lesswrong.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10494
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.04305
arxiv.org
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1IJ6Sr-gPeXdSJugFulwIpvavc0atjHGM82QjIfUSBGQ/edit?tab=t.0
docs.google.com
https://www.mcgill.ca/oss/article/student-contributors-did-you-know-general-science/unintelligent-design-recurrent-laryngeal-nerve
mcgill.ca
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genome
en.wikipedia.org
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en.wikipedia.org
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05812
arxiv.org
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1LSfKB54gs2t6-T0fzCaKqxtszUD2V2iUG5CdqFXpBsk/edit?tab=t.myepkk2wclag
docs.google.com
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2203.15556
arxiv.org
https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1kpl6B9MHkYUwLSSleOk02pAnpSGxE25H
colab.research.google.com
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