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Record · corpus.blog/posts/01a07df2-5542-7181-a1fc-f1a77af3319d

The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine

Cold Takes · published 30 June 2022

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3blogs citing
First cited
12 Sept 2022
Most recent
7 Nov 2023
Rank this month
not ranked
External links
23
Words captured
3,537

Cited by 3 blogs in 3 posts

One row per blog, the most recently citing first. Each shows the blog's newest citing post; open a row for the others.

Blog
Newest citing post
Date
nunosempere.com1 post
Hurdles of using forecasting as a tool for making sense of AI progress Read at the source ↗
7 Nov 2023
blog.rossry.net1 post
Asimov on building robots without the First Law Read at the source ↗
9 May 2023
Dan Luu1 post
Futurist prediction methods and accuracy Read at the source ↗
12 Sept 2022

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/02/are-nuclear-weapons-or-rogue-ai-the-more-dangerous-existential-risk.html
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https://www.openphilanthropy.org/
openphilanthropy.org
https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/how-feasible-long-range-forecasting
openphilanthropy.org
https://twitter.com/ArbResearch
twitter.com
https://www.google.com/search?q=big+three+sci+fi
google.com
https://arbresearch.com/files/big_three.pdf
arbresearch.com
https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/efforts-improve-accuracy-our-judgments-and-forecasts
openphilanthropy.org
https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1d6DEM79aSDUkSR6SEsmr1uR_yYAEXUCM
drive.google.com
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MR3MIFxKyRUpU00OTg1__FMvPkTscA5JSUG_kGaGadc/edit?usp=sharing
docs.google.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world%27s_fairs
en.wikipedia.org
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docs.google.com
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docs.google.com
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kbA6T3xpxtko36GgP/assessing-kurzweil-the-results
lesswrong.com
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NcGBmDEe5qXB7dFBF/assessing-kurzweil-predictions-about-2019-the-results
lesswrong.com
https://www.openphilanthropy.org/evaluation-some-technology-forecasts-year-2000
openphilanthropy.org
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0040162518304438
sciencedirect.com
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0040162512002818
sciencedirect.com
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/hqkyaHLQhzuREcXSX/data-on-forecasting-accuracy-across-different-time-horizons
forum.effectivealtruism.org
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