Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts
Andrew Gelman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
2020
“It just happens to be in the nature of knowledge that it cannot be conserved if it does not grow.”original ↗
11 Feb 2020
10 Feb 2020
6 Feb 2020
5 Feb 2020
How much of Trump’s rising approval numbers can be attributed to differential nonresponse? P.S. With more analysis of recent polls from Jacob Longoriginal ↗
5 Feb 2020
When I was asked, Who do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination?, this is how I responded . . .original ↗
5 Feb 2020
MRP Carmelo Anthony update . . . Trash-talking’s fine. But you gotta give details, or links, or something!original ↗
3 Feb 2020
Forget about multiple testing corrections. Actually, forget about hypothesis testing entirely.original ↗
1 Feb 2020
“It’s not just that the emperor has no clothes, it’s more like the emperor has been standing in the public square for fifteen years screaming, I’m naked! I’m naked! Look at me! And the scientific establishment is like, Wow, what a beautiful outfit.”original ↗
1 Feb 2020
31 Jan 2020
They added a hierarchical structure to their model and their parameter estimate changed a lot: How to think about this?original ↗
30 Jan 2020
29 Jan 2020
Causal inference in AI: Expressing potential outcomes in a graphical-modeling framework that can be fit using Stanoriginal ↗
28 Jan 2020
Which teams have fewer fans than their namesake? I pretty much like this person’s reasoning except when we get to the chargers and raiders.original ↗
26 Jan 2020
The latest Perry Preschool analysis: Noisy data + noisy methods + flexible summarizing = Big claimsoriginal ↗
24 Jan 2020
22 Jan 2020
20 Jan 2020
19 Jan 2020
Call for proposals for a State Department project on estimating the prevalence of human traffickingoriginal ↗
16 Jan 2020
Will decentralised collaboration increase the robustness of scientific findings in biomedical research? Some data and some causal questions.original ↗
15 Jan 2020
14 Jan 2020
How to get out of the credulity rut (regression discontinuity edition): Getting beyond whack-a-moleoriginal ↗
13 Jan 2020
Exciting postdoc opening in spatial statistics at Michigan: Coccidioides is coming, and only you can stop it!original ↗
9 Jan 2020
No, I don’t think that this study offers good evidence that installing air filters in classrooms has surprisingly large educational benefits.original ↗
9 Jan 2020
8 Jan 2020
6 Jan 2020
5 Jan 2020
Open forensic science, and some general comments on the problems of legalistic thinking when discussing open scienceoriginal ↗
4 Jan 2020
3 Jan 2020
1 Jan 2020
2019
31 Dec 2019
31 Dec 2019
30 Dec 2019
30 Dec 2019
30 Dec 2019
Do we still recommend average predictive comparisons? Click here to find the surprising answer!original ↗
29 Dec 2019
27 Dec 2019
26 Dec 2019
25 Dec 2019
Is it true that “Most polls misrepresent the Democratic electorate” and that this “skews the results”?original ↗
22 Dec 2019
“But when we apply statistical models, do we need to care about whether a model can retrieve the relationship between variables?”original ↗
22 Dec 2019
21 Dec 2019
External vs. internal validity of causal inference from natural experiments: The example of charter school lottery studiesoriginal ↗
20 Dec 2019
19 Dec 2019
Attempts at providing helpful explanations of statistics must avoid instilling misleading or harmful notions: ‘Statistical significance just tells us whether or not something definitely does or definitely doesn’t cause cancer’original ↗
18 Dec 2019
17 Dec 2019
16 Dec 2019
Postdoctoral research position on survey research with us at Columbia School of Social Workoriginal ↗
13 Dec 2019
13 Dec 2019