Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts
Andrew Gelman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
2026
As a society, we are pretty good at transferring money to political pundits, but we’re not very good at nurturing the human capital they would need to correct their own mistakes.original ↗
26 Sept 2026
25 Sept 2026
It’s fine to use computer-generated survey responses—if you don’t care about the data anyway!original ↗
24 Sept 2026
Here’s a causal inference problem: where did the estimate of $64 million come from in “Blake Lively Says She Suffered $64 Million Financial Fallout From Justin Baldoni Conflict . . .”?original ↗
23 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026
“Phonics is a fad, but it’s also good, so we should do it anyway, even though it will probably disappoint people”original ↗
22 Sept 2026
20 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026
It’s satisfying to see the economics profession come around on some things (regression discontinuity analysis and so-called risk aversion)original ↗
16 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026
“Protection from inappropriate influence is a hallmark of scientific integrity” . . . not any more!original ↗
15 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026
14 Sept 2026
This is how we do modern frequentist statistics: Using fake-data simulation to understand what can happen in a studyoriginal ↗
14 Sept 2026
13 Sept 2026
Annals of hype: Did this discovery in 2012 mark “the discovery of the final laws of nature . . . a discontinuity in human intellectual history, the sharpest that has occurred since the beginning of modern science in the 17th century?”original ↗
12 Sept 2026
“Belief” is not something you have; rather, it’s a relationship between thought and action.original ↗
11 Sept 2026
When journals are slow to implement or enforce policies to manage sloppy, majority AI-authored papers, reviewers can and should push backoriginal ↗
10 Sept 2026
Why I still like Orwell’s “Politics and the English Language” essay (even though he gets some of the linguistics wrong)original ↗
10 Sept 2026
9 Sept 2026
Survey Statistics: Pew Research finds “No Easy Fix for Bogus Respondents in Online Opt-In Polls”original ↗
8 Sept 2026
Hey–here’s an R package for imputing Census data using iterative proportional fitting on available margins.original ↗
8 Sept 2026
Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)original ↗
6 Sept 2026
3 Sept 2026
2 Sept 2026
Yale med school prof tells his postdocs: Work extra hours at my command or you’re no better than “the guy who charges me by the hour to cut my lawn.”original ↗
2 Sept 2026
I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate.original ↗
31 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026
This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).original ↗
27 Aug 2026
(1) “Do you think the culture of research has genuinely changed since the replication crisis became widely discussed, or has it mostly generated new compliance rituals around pre-registration and open data while leaving the underlying incentive structure intact?, (2) Regarding Columbia University, “is there a statistical or social scientific way of understanding how institutions lose the ability to accurately perceive their own situation?”original ↗
26 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026
What contributions can academic statisticians make to sports analytics? (a discussion related to the launch of the new open-access Journal of Statistics and Data Science in Sports)original ↗
24 Aug 2026
23 Aug 2026
21 Aug 2026
One night in Uzbekistan: Why was this one data point so influential, and what should these researchers had done ahead of time to see this?original ↗
20 Aug 2026
What does it mean when different articles published by different people on the same topic have nearly identical titles? (“A novel nutritional supplement reduces postprandial glucose response in healthy individuals in a randomised, placebo-controlled, crossover clinical study”)original ↗
19 Aug 2026
The improvement in political analysis in the past 25 years, as demonstrated by excellent demonstrations of statistical workflow from Elliott Morris, Nate Silver, and Eli Mckown-Dawsonoriginal ↗
18 Aug 2026
18 Aug 2026
Frequentism for Bayesians: He wants to teach frequentist methods to engineering students with a strong Bayesian backgroundoriginal ↗
17 Aug 2026
15 Aug 2026
“Q collar” promoters have no shame, advertising their discredited research on social media using lying, cheating chatbotsoriginal ↗
14 Aug 2026
13 Aug 2026
Lots of detail on the continuing “Q collar” scandal and why we should probably be doing more coverage of that sort of science-adjacent medical scams and less on repulsively self-promoting but ultimately less harmful academic grifters.original ↗
13 Aug 2026
Computer scientists today are in the position of economists in the early 2000s and Freudian psychiatrists in the 1950soriginal ↗
11 Aug 2026
9 Aug 2026
“Denial, when you are not part of it, is actually a terrifying thing. One watches one’s fellow humans doing things that will damage themselves, while being wholly unable to help.”original ↗
8 Aug 2026
7 Aug 2026
6 Aug 2026
“In that era, undergrad males at Madison and elsewhere, had to take ROTC classes, and he kept intentionally failing them because he was very leftwing politically.”original ↗
4 Aug 2026
Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.”original ↗
4 Aug 2026
2 Aug 2026
Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effectoriginal ↗
1 Aug 2026
29 Jul 2026
28 Jul 2026
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse.original ↗
27 Jul 2026
People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar with Mormons.original ↗
26 Jul 2026