Record · corpus.blog/posts/01a11c31-8312-7196-a939-01c067955139
Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls
Astral Codex Ten · 13 January 2026 · 23 min read
A post on astralcodexten.com, published 13 January 2026, is cited by 2 distinct blogs to date (corpus.blog, measured 9 October 2026).
A record is what was published and who pointed at it. The text of the post is not held here: read it at the source, or at its Wayback capture.
2blogs citing
| Period | Blogs | Links |
|---|---|---|
| All time | 2 | 2 |
| Last 90 days | 0 | 0 |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 |
| Last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| First cited | 16 Jan 2026 |
|---|---|
| Latest citation | 16 Jan 2026 |
| Anchor phrases | 1 |
| External links | 45 |
| Words captured | 5,276 |
How it is described
The words blogs link this page with, by how many different blogs use them.
- scott alexander points out we now have lots of liquid prediction markets2 blogs
Cited by 2 blogs in 2 posts
One row per blog, the most recently citing first. Each shows the blog's newest citing post; open a row for the others.
Blog
Newest citing post
Date
The Zvi1 post
Monthly Roundup #38: January 2026
linked as “Scott Alexander points out we now have lots of liquid prediction markets”
Read at the source (opens in a new tab)16 Jan 2026
Monthly Roundup #38: January 2026
linked as “Scott Alexander points out we now have lots of liquid prediction markets”
Read at the source (opens in a new tab)16 Jan 2026
Links from this post
Link
Host
https://slate.com/technology/2026/01/maduro-prediction-market-polymarket-kalshi-app.html Who cites this page
slate.com
defirate.com
polymarket.com
uma.xyz
mrozi.substack.com
ivancryptoslav.substack.com
wired.com
archive.is
https://nypost.com/2026/01/07/business/polymarket-refuses-to-pay-bettors-who-wagered-us-would-invade-venezuela/ Who cites this page
nypost.com
https://www.sfgate.com/local/article/waymo-acknowledges-vehicle-sf-shop-cat-21131405.php Who cites this page
sfgate.com
https://www.reddit.com/r/polymarketkalshi/comments/1o51ixd/update_how_the_nobel_peace_prize_polymarket_leak/ Who cites this page
reddit.com
responsiblestatecraft.org
https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/01/coinbase-ceo-brian-armstrong-trolls-the-prediction-markets/ Who cites this page
techcrunch.com
https://www.businessinsider.com/coinbase-ceo-earnings-call-words-prediction-markets-bets-2025-12 Who cites this page
businessinsider.com
https://www.forbes.com/sites/boazsobrado/2025/12/04/alleged-insider-nets-1-million-on-polymarket-in-24-hours/ Who cites this page
forbes.com
https://www.npr.org/2026/01/05/nx-s1-5667232/polymarket-maduro-bet-insider-trading Who cites this page
npr.org
https://forecastingresearch.substack.com/p/ai-llm-forecasting-model-forecastbench-benchmark Who cites this page
forecastingresearch.substack.com
https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1q36tiq/venezuela_maduro_prediction_markets/ Who cites this page
reddit.com
manifold.markets
manifold.markets
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/new-covid-virus-with-furin-cleavage-site-found-in-wild-braz/ Who cites this page
telegraph.co.uk
manifold.markets
https://nypost.com/2026/01/09/business/fellow-google-co-founder-joins-larry-page-in-cutting-california-ties-ahead-of-billionaire-tax/ Who cites this page
nypost.com
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/16553/ai-blackmail-for-material-gain-by-eoy-2028/ Who cites this page
metaculus.com
polymarket.com
https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-coding-on-march-31 Who cites this page
polymarket.com
polymarket.com
agi-timelines-dashboard.vercel.app
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/is-polymarket-legal-politics-betting-shayne-coplan.html Who cites this page
nymag.com
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
s3.amazonaws.com
forecastingresearch.substack.com
manifold.markets
Elsewhere on astralcodexten.com (3)
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