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Record · astralcodexten.com

The AI Superforecasters Are Here

Astral Codex Ten · 2 July 2026 · 22 min read

A post on astralcodexten.com, published 2 July 2026, is cited by 5 distinct blogs to date (corpus.blog, measured 11 October 2026).

A record is what was published and who pointed at it. The text of the post is not shown here: read it at the source, or at its Wayback capture.

5blogs citing

Citing blogs and links by period
Period Blogs Links
All time56
Last 90 days33
Last 30 days22
Last 7 days00
Figures for this page
First cited3 Jul 2026
Latest citation2 Oct 2026
Words blogs link it with4
Linked with its own title1 of 5 blogs
External links21
Length5,036
New citing blogs a weeksince Jul 2026
New citing blogs a week, since Jul 2026: 15 weeks, peak 3 a week, latest week 0

0 this week (still settling) · peak 3

Show as table
New citing blogs a week, week by week
Week of Value
29 Jun 20263
6 Jul 20260
13 Jul 20260
20 Jul 20260
27 Jul 20260
3 Aug 20260
10 Aug 20260
17 Aug 20260
24 Aug 20260
31 Aug 20260
7 Sept 20260
14 Sept 20260
21 Sept 20260
28 Sept 20262 (still settling)
5 Oct 20260 (still settling)

Each blog counts once, in the week of its first citation. A blog added to the index recently can bring old first citations in at once.

Who cited it

Cited by 5 blogs across 2 subjects: technology 4, arts and culture 1.

It crossed over: blogs in at least two subjects each make up 15% or more of its classified citers.

Words blogs link it with

The words blogs link this page with, by how many different blogs use them.

  • have become competitive with the best human forecasters on some benchmarks and forecasting tournaments,2 blogs
  • scott alexander: ai superforecasters are here1 blog
  • scott had said1 blog
  • the ai superforecasters are here1 blog

Cited by 5 blogs in 6 posts

One row per blog, the most recently citing first. Each shows the blog's newest citing post; open a row for the others.

Blog
Newest citing post
Date
LessWrong1 post
State of the Field: AI for Epistemics and Coordination

linked as “have become competitive with the best human forecasters on some benchmarks and forecasting tournamen…”

Read at lesswrong.com (opens in a new tab)
2 Oct 2026
EA Forum1 post
State of the Field: AI for Epistemics and Coordination

linked as “have become competitive with the best human forecasters on some benchmarks and forecasting tournamen…”

Read at forum.effectivealtruism.org (opens in a new tab)
2 Oct 2026
weekly reel

linked as “Scott Alexander: AI superforecasters are here”

Read at ronan.jouchet.fr (opens in a new tab)
5 Jul 2026

Links from this post

Link
Host
markets.futuresearch.ai
Elsewhere on astralcodexten.com (3)

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