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The shape of AGI: Cartoons and back of envelope

Windows on Theory · published 17 July 2023

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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bku9odAYPyQwHqzCo/the-shape-of-agi-cartoons-and-back-of-envelope

lesswrong.com

https://windowsontheory.org/category/philosophizing/

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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KrJfoZzpSDpnrv9va/draft-report-on-ai-timelines

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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AfH2oPHCApdKicM4m/two-year-update-on-my-personal-ai-timelines

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https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/what-a-compute-centric-framework-says-about-takeoff-speeds/

openphilanthropy.org

https://takeoffspeeds.com/playground.html

takeoffspeeds.com

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1r-WxW4JeNoi_gCMc5y2iTlJQnan_LLCF5s_V4ZDDMkI/edit

docs.google.com

What will GPT-2030 look like? Read at the source ↗

bounded-regret.ghost.io

https://epochai.org/blog/trends-in-gpu-price-performance

epochai.org

https://epochai.org/mlinputs/visualization

epochai.org

https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.08774

arxiv.org

https://shakkednoy.com/Noy%20Zhang%20NBER%20SI.pdf

shakkednoy.com

https://www.understandingai.org/p/how-human-translators-are-coping

understandingai.org

https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/how-computer-automation-affects-occupations-technology-jobs-and-skills

cepr.org

https://www.understandingai.org/p/software-didnt-eat-the-world

understandingai.org

https://a16z.com/2011/08/20/why-software-is-eating-the-world/

a16z.com

https://www.understandingai.org/p/the-death-of-self-driving-cars-is

understandingai.org

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zB3ukZJqt3pQDw9jz/ai-will-change-the-world-but-won-t-take-it-over-by-playing-3

lesswrong.com

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1IJ6Sr-gPeXdSJugFulwIpvavc0atjHGM82QjIfUSBGQ/edit

docs.google.com

Injecting some numbers into the AGI debate Read at the source ↗

windowsontheory.org