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You should delay engineering-heavy research in light of R&D automation

newsletter.danielpaleka.com · published 6 January 2025

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1blogs citing
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3 Nov 2025
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3 Nov 2025
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randomfeatures.substack.com
Why I am writing 30 posts in 30 days Read at the source ↗
3 Nov 2025

Links from this post

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https://metr.org/blog/2024-11-22-evaluating-r-d-capabilities-of-llms/
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https://www.swebench.com/
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https://x.com/dpaleka/status/1874227045397598426
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https://gwern.net/doc/statistics/decision/2013-kennedy.pdf
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https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6log!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4c0d3cd3-40d9-451d-b478-87057b77d639_1504x904.png
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https://newsletter.danielpaleka.com/i/148252513/can-ai-scaling-continue-through
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https://epoch.ai/blog/the-longest-training-run
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06634
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Why I attack Read at the source ↗
nicholas.carlini.com
https://github.com/dpaleka/stealing-part-lm-supplementary
github.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.09932
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.07954
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.01011
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.11717
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https://huggingface.co/models?search=abliterat
huggingface.co
https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.20089
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.18544
arxiv.org
https://github.com/dpaleka/consistency-forecasting/tree/main/src
github.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.09539
arxiv.org
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ChDH335ckdvpxXaXX/model-organisms-of-misalignment-the-case-for-a-new-pillar-of-1
lesswrong.com
https://www.safe.ai/work/research
safe.ai
https://nikolajurkovic.com/
nikolajurkovic.com
Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines Read at the source ↗
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https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/gwern-branwen
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