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Confusions about inference, prediction, and “probability of superiority”

Andrew Gelman · published 16 August 2023

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https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2302491120
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https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3313831.3376454
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Uncertainty and variation as distinct concepts Read at the source ↗
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[98] Evidence of Fraud in an Influential Field Experiment About Dishonesty Read at the source ↗
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https://doi.org/10.1145/3313831.3376454
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https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466609990168
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https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00031305.1992.10475881
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https://twitter.com/dggoldst/status/1534661852776603649
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https://crystalprisonzone.blogspot.com/2017/06/overestimation-of-violent-game-effects.html
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https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2302491120
pnas.org
https://doi.org/10.1080/00273171.2012.658329
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https://doi.org/10.1037/1082-989x.13.1.19
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