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Polling by asking people about their neighbors: When does this work? Should people be doing more of it? And the connection to that French dude who bet on Trump

Andrew Gelman · published 9 November 2024

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14 Nov 2024
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14 Nov 2024
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ericneyman.blog
Seven lessons I didn’t learn from election day Read at the source ↗
14 Nov 2024

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trump-whale-correctly-called-the-election-cb7eef1d
wsj.com
https://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/what_learned_in_2016_5.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/overdisp_final.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
How did NPR’s pre-election poll get things so so so wrong? The friends/family/coworkers question Read at the source ↗
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
https://stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/network_sampling.pdf
stat.columbia.edu
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0049089X89900033
sciencedirect.com
https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2012-34178-014
psycnet.apa.org
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378873316300454
sciencedirect.com