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How much of “Mississippi’s education miracle” is an artifact of selection bias?

Andrew Gelman · published 1 December 2025

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2 Dec 2025
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2 Dec 2025
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larryferlazzo.edublogs.org
No, Virginia, It Appears That There May Not Be Any Miracles In Education, Including In Mississippi Read at the source ↗
2 Dec 2025

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S027277572400092X
sciencedirect.com
https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2023-07-03/how-mississippi-gamed-national-reading-test-to-produce-miracle-gains
latimes.com
https://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2012/11/the-real-reason-for-almost-all-big.html
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mississippi_Miracle
en.wikipedia.org
https://nypost.com/2025/09/30/opinion/mississippi-is-no-miracle-its-the-future-of-education/
nypost.com
https://excelined.org/2023/08/11/four-reasons-why-mississippis-reading-gains-are-neither-myth-nor-miracle/
excelined.org
https://www.mississippifirst.org/the-truth-about-mississippis-naep-gains/
mississippifirst.org
https://excelined.org/about/
excelined.org
https://www.chalkbeat.org/2023/7/18/23799124/mississippi-miracle-test-scores-naep-early-literacy-grade-retention-reading-phonics/
chalkbeat.org
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/education/kids-reading-scores-have-soared-in-mississippi-miracle
pbs.org
https://treasury.ms.gov/2025/10/20/the-mississippi-miracle-explained/
treasury.ms.gov
There Really Was a ‘Mississippi Miracle’ in Reading. States Should Learn From It
the74million.org
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S027277572400092X
sciencedirect.com
https://dianeravitch.net/2020/02/12/the-secret-to-mississippis-success-in-fourth-grade-reading-revealed-by-thomas-b-fordham-institute/
dianeravitch.net
https://fordhaminstitute.org/national/commentary/mississippi-didnt-cheat-its-reading-gains-are-real
fordhaminstitute.org
https://jabberwocking.com/mississippi-revisited-the-mississippi-reading-miracle-looks-to-be-real-after-all/
jabberwocking.com
https://www.nber.org/papers/w21509
nber.org
https://fordhaminstitute.org/ohio/commentary/more-evidence-time-ohio-third-grade-retention-works
fordhaminstitute.org
https://edworkingpapers.com/ai22-688
edworkingpapers.com
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/at-least-five-interesting-things
noahpinion.blog
https://statmodeling.substack.com/p/its-not-prior-data-conflict-its-a
statmodeling.substack.com
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