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2026 (III): Herman Wouk’s ‘Trap’ vs. Graham Allison’s and a Japanese Wikipedia Perspective

gaodawei.wordpress.com · published 24 May 2026

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https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1162965
news.ycombinator.com
https://www.jstor.org/stable/44642100?seq=1
jstor.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thucydides_Trap
en.wikipedia.org
https://www.informationphilosopher.com/solutions/scientists/einstein/Method_of_Theoretical_Physics.pdf
informationphilosopher.com
https://chatgpt.com/share/6a123fa7-b694-83ea-b82a-a3b905e923dd
chatgpt.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%88%E3%82%A5%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A5%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%87%E3%82%B9%E3%81%AE%E7%BD%A0
ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%88%E3%82%A5%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A5%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%87%E3%82%B9
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%83%A1%E3%83%AA%E3%82%AB%E5%90%88%E8%A1%86%E5%9B%BD
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belfer%20Center%20for%20Science%20and%20International%20Affairs
en.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%B1%B3%E4%B8%AD%E9%96%A2%E4%BF%82
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%AA%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%83%80%E5%85%B1%E5%92%8C%E5%9B%BD
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%B0%E3%83%AC%E3%83%BC%E3%83%88%E3%83%96%E3%83%AA%E3%83%86%E3%83%B3%E5%8F%8A%E3%81%B3%E3%82%A2%E3%82%A4%E3%83%AB%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%83%89%E9%80%A3%E5%90%88%E7%8E%8B%E5%9B%BD
ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%95%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%82%B9
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael%20Beckley%20(political%20scientist
en.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%8B%B1%E5%9B%BD%E6%94%BE%E9%80%81%E5%8D%94%E4%BC%9A
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E5%85%B1%E7%94%A3%E5%85%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%A4%AE%E5%A7%94%E5%93%A1%E4%BC%9A%E7%B7%8F%E6%9B%B8%E8%A8%98
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%83%A1%E3%83%AA%E3%82%AB%E5%90%88%E8%A1%86%E5%9B%BD%E5%A4%A7%E7%B5%B1%E9%A0%98
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%9C%9D%E9%AE%AE%E6%B0%91%E4%B8%BB%E4%B8%BB%E7%BE%A9%E4%BA%BA%E6%B0%91%E5%85%B1%E5%92%8C%E5%9B%BD
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arthur%20Waldron
en.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A4%E3%82%A2%E3%83%B3%E3%83%BB%E3%83%96%E3%83%AB%E3%83%9E
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kindleberger%20Trap
en.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victor%20Davis%20Hanson
en.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A4%E3%82%A7%E3%83%BC%E3%83%AB%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power%20transition%20theory
en.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%AB%89%E5%A6%AC
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://web.archive.org/web/20200101130952/https://daily.jstor.org/can-the-u-s-and-china-avoid-the-thucydides-trap/
web.archive.org
https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/06/09/the-thucydides-trap/
foreignpolicy.com
https://www.ft.com/content/0e4ddcf4-fc78-11e8-aebf-99e208d3e521
ft.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_Times
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.newstatesman.com/international-politics/geopolitics/2022/01/what-the-thucydides-trap-gets-wrong-about-china
newstatesman.com
https://newrepublic.com/article/170954/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap
newrepublic.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISSN_(%E8%AD%98%E5%88%A5%E5%AD%90
ja.wikipedia.org
https://search.worldcat.org/issn/0028-6583
search.worldcat.org
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap/406756/
theatlantic.com
https://www.cambriapress.com/pub.cfm?bid=770
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https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09636412.2018.1508634
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https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doi_(%E8%AD%98%E5%88%A5%E5%AD%90
ja.wikipedia.org
https://doi.org/10.1080%2F09636412.2018.1508634
doi.org
https://search.worldcat.org/issn/0963-6412
search.worldcat.org
https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3158816/us-and-china-war-why-thucydides-trap-or-cold-war-analogies-are
scmp.com
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nytimes.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Times
ja.wikipedia.org
http://classics.mit.edu/Thucydides/pelopwar.1.first.html
classics.mit.edu
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massachusetts_Institute_of_Technology
ja.wikipedia.org
https://web.archive.org/web/20200407122012/http://classics.mit.edu/Thucydides/pelopwar.1.first.html
web.archive.org
https://www.ft.com/content/5d695b5a-ead3-11e1-984b-00144feab49a
ft.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Atlantic
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.belfercenter.org/thucydides-trap/case-file
belfercenter.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%99%E3%83%AB%E3%83%95%E3%82%A1%E3%83%BC%E7%A7%91%E5%AD%A6%E3%83%BB%E5%9B%BD%E9%9A%9B%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E6%89%80?action=edit&redlink=1
ja.wikipedia.org
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ja.wikipedia.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%89%B9%E5%88%A5:%E6%96%87%E7%8C%AE%E8%B3%87%E6%96%99/978-1328915382
ja.wikipedia.org
https://web.archive.org/web/20200525225459/https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202005/11/WS5eb88e00a310a8b2411549ab.html
web.archive.org
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Daily
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202005/11/WS5eb88e00a310a8b2411549ab.html
chinadaily.com.cn
https://inss.ndu.edu/Media/News/Article/1866042/thucydides-other-traps-the-united-states-china-and-the-prospect-of-inevitable-w/
inss.ndu.edu
https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/09/24/china-great-power-united-states/
foreignpolicy.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_Policy
ja.wikipedia.org
https://web.archive.org/web/20210928114634/https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/09/24/china-great-power-united-states/
web.archive.org
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-47613416
bbc.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1422780/china-needs-patience-achieve-peaceful-rise?page=all
scmp.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_China_Morning_Post
ja.wikipedia.org
https://asiatimes.com/2020/02/the-21st-century-thucydides-trap/
asiatimes.com
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%82%B8%E3%82%A2%E3%83%BB%E3%82%BF%E3%82%A4%E3%83%A0%E3%82%BA%E3%83%BB%E3%82%AA%E3%83%B3%E3%83%A9%E3%82%A4%E3%83%B3
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2017/10/10/commentary/world-commentary/can-avoid-thucydides-trap/
japantimes.co.jp
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_Times
ja.wikipedia.org
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidyu/2020/02/21/can-us-and-china-escape-the-thucydides-trap/
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https://books.google.com/books?id=WTO-zQEACAAJ
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