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Exaggerating the risks (Part 20: AI 2027 timelines forecast, benchmarks and gaps)

reflectivealtruism.com · published 8 August 2025

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https://titotal.substack.com/p/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027s-bad-timeline

titotal.substack.com

https://reflectivealtruism.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/ExagRisks-Part20.mp3

reflectivealtruism.com

https://reflectivealtruism.com/category/exaggerating-the-risks/

reflectivealtruism.com

Exaggerating the risks (Part 1: Introduction) Read at the source ↗

reflectivealtruism.com

https://reflectivealtruism.com/category/exaggerating-the-risks/climate-risk/

reflectivealtruism.com

https://reflectivealtruism.com/category/exaggerating-the-risks/ai-risk/

reflectivealtruism.com

https://reflectivealtruism.com/category/exaggerating-the-risks/biorisk/

reflectivealtruism.com

Exaggerating the risks (Part 18: Introduction to AI 2027) Read at the source ↗

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Exaggerating the risks (Part 19: AI 2027 timelines forecast, time horizon extension) Read at the source ↗

reflectivealtruism.com

https://ai-2027.com/research/timelines-forecast

ai-2027.com

https://metr.org/AI_R_D_Evaluation_Report.pdf

metr.org

https://metr.org/

metr.org

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499

arxiv.org

https://futuresearch.ai/

futuresearch.ai

https://github.com/uvafan/timelines-takeoff-ai-2027/blob/main/timelines/forecasting_timelines.py

github.com

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KgejNns3ojrvCfFbi/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027-s-bad-timeline-models?commentId=hkKXzAqm5EBunDcmr

forum.effectivealtruism.org

https://open.substack.com/pub/titotal/p/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027s-bad-timeline?r=qjfcm&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=127395320

open.substack.com