Record · corpus.blog/posts/01a0b689-305f-728e-a87d-dbc4772b0f47

FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast

natesilver.net · published 18 September 2026

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6blogs citing

First cited: 18 Aug 2026
Most recent: 21 Sept 2026
Rank this month: not ranked
Links from this post: 15
Words captured: 335

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Date

slowboring.com

Is the blue wave forecast by polling real? Read at the source ↗

21 Sept 2026

theargumentmag.com

The election experts and the models can’t both be right Read at the source ↗

17 Sept 2026

newrepublic.com

Trump’s Epic Unpopularity Is Forcing His PAC to Spend in MAGA Country Read at the source ↗

17 Sept 2026

liberalcurrents.com

The Future of the Republican Party After Trump Is in Texas Read at the source ↗

17 Sept 2026

thenevadaindependent.com

Does Teresa Benitez-Thompson stand a chance in deep red Northern Nevada? Read at the source ↗

13 Sept 2026

Andrew Gelman

The improvement in political analysis in the past 25 years, as demonstrated by excellent demonstrations of statistical workflow from Elliott Morris, Nate Silver, and Eli Mckown-Dawson Read at the source ↗

18 Aug 2026

Links from this post

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https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGuu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c28a31e-2161-4f63-8e31-52dd061a5d99_1040x451.png

substackcdn.com

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/15/polls/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html

nytimes.com

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_ZmVljW6.pdf

d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net

September polling has been very good for Democrats Read at the source ↗

natesilver.net

Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? Read at the source ↗

natesilver.net

https://tinyurl.com/2e8tb3u8

tinyurl.com

https://www.natesilver.net/p/flipr-midterms-model-methodology

natesilver.net

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XSpy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F549a45ee-4c4f-4e59-9b9b-dcf81a5a364d_760x84.svg

substackcdn.com

https://www.natesilver.net/flipr-midterms-model-methodology

natesilver.net

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/calculating-house-effects-of-polling-firms/

fivethirtyeight.com

https://www.natesilver.net/p/pollster-ratings-silver-bulletin

natesilver.net

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/latest-polls.html

nytimes.com

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share

natesilver.net

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tyQZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee3e8011-02f9-4176-89bb-363c9d6cb2c5_1456x109.webp

substackcdn.com