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Why I don't think AGI is imminent

dlants.me · published 15 February 2026

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1blogs citing
First cited
26 Jul 2025
Most recent
26 Jul 2025
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35
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4,797

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Sean's Blog
Popping the AGI Bubble Read at the source ↗
26 Jul 2025

Links from this post

Link
Host
https://dlants.me/about.html
dlants.me
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39932126/
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-64396-8
nature.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.05229
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.12288
arxiv.org
https://harvardlds.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SpelkeKinzler07-1.pdf
harvardlds.org
Why Today’s Humanoids Won’t Learn Dexterity Read at the source ↗
rodneybrooks.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.04797
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.24527
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.20937
arxiv.org
https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/01/22/1131661/yann-lecuns-new-venture-ami-labs/
technologyreview.com
https://openreview.net/pdf?id=BZ5a1r-kVsf
openreview.net
https://arcprize.org/
arcprize.org
Announcing ARC-AGI-2 and ARC Prize 2025 Read at the source ↗
arcprize.org
ARC Prize 2025 Results and Analysis Read at the source ↗
arcprize.org
https://poetiq.ai/posts/arcagi_verified/
poetiq.ai
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10904
arxiv.org
https://arcprize.org/competitions/2025/
arcprize.org
https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-3-deep-think/
blog.google
https://www.offconvex.org/2016/12/20/backprop/
offconvex.org
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3864796/
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
https://direct.mit.edu/tacl/article/doi/10.1162/tacl_a_00663/120983
direct.mit.edu
https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.00729
arxiv.org
https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.06177
arxiv.org
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47030078
news.ycombinator.com
https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.07923
arxiv.org
https://www.wired.com/story/ai-agents-math-doesnt-add-up/
wired.com
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2507.07505
arxiv.org
https://openai.com/index/reflections/
openai.com
https://darioamodei.com/machines-of-loving-grace
darioamodei.com
https://aaai.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/AAAI-2025-PresPanel-Report-FINAL.pdf
aaai.org
AI 2027 (2025) Read at the source ↗
ai-2027.com
https://www.aifuturesmodel.com/
aifuturesmodel.com
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
metr.org
https://dlants.me//ai-mid.html
dlants.me