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Fact-Check: have actuaries predicted that billions will die beyond 2 degrees?

climatetippingpoints.info · published 11 August 2026

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuary
en.wikipedia.org
https://bsky.app/profile/rogerhallam.com/search?q=4+billion
bsky.app
https://bsky.app/profile/rogerhallam.com/post/3mnwmahyqwv2w
bsky.app
https://rogerhallam.com/makerfield-and-the-myth-of-the-moderate-left/
rogerhallam.com
https://juststopoil.org/2025/08/28/eight-just-stop-oil-supporters-acquitted-of-public-nuisance-while-three-found-guilty-for-disabling-petrol-pumps/
juststopoil.org
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Q93ZE54yaE
youtube.com
https://medialens.substack.com/p/4-billion-dead-there-are-no-words?utm_id=97758_v0_s00_e0_tv0
medialens.substack.com
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/unfccc-ipcc-discredited-corrupted-jonathon-porritt-s4qfe/
linkedin.com
https://rogerhallam.com/the-all-system-iterative-approach/
rogerhallam.com
https://4billiondead.org/
4billiondead.org
https://worldcrunch.com/focus/green-or-gone/global-warming-at-3c-by-2050-what-s-behind-the-new-german-climate-warning/
worldcrunch.com
https://actuaries.org.uk/planetary-solvency
actuaries.org.uk
https://actuaries.org.uk/media/ni4erlna/planetary-solvency.pdf
actuaries.org.uk
https://global-tipping-points.org/planetary-solvency/
global-tipping-points.org
https://actuaries.org.uk/media/r3cporjb/planetary-solvency-climate-change-supplementary-material.pdf
actuaries.org.uk
https://safeclimate.org.au/article/could-four-billion-people-die-at-3c/
safeclimate.org.au
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2108146119
pnas.org
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/16/economic-growth-could-fall-50-over-20-years-from-climate-shocks-say-actuaries
theguardian.com
https://archive.nytimes.com/dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/13/scientist-warming-could-cut-population-to-1-billion/
archive.nytimes.com
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/may/18/climate-crisis-heat-is-on-global-heating-four-degrees-2100-change-way-we-live
theguardian.com
https://science.feedback.org/review/prediction-extinction-rebellion-climate-change-will-kill-6-billion-people-unsupported-roger-hallam-bbc/
science.feedback.org
A billion deaths at two degrees? Why climate activists should make a special effort to get the science right Read at the source ↗
marklynas.org
https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/climate-change-and-health
who.int
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/29/rising-heat-kills-one-person-a-minute-worldwide-lancet-countdown
theguardian.com
https://www.who.int/news/item/29-10-2025-climate-inaction-is-claiming-millions-of-lives-every-year--warns-new-lancet-countdown-report
who.int
http://www.davidarmstrongmckay.com
davidarmstrongmckay.com