41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba8fe22cee6", "title": "Correlation Implies Causation", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2026-08-08-correlation-implies-causation.html", "published_at": "2026-08-08T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba8fe7d49b8", "title": "Definitions of Recursive Self-Improvement", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2026-06-05-rsi-definitions.html", "published_at": "2026-06-05T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba8fefd4e60", "title": "An Apple-Picking Model of AI R&D", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2026-03-13-apple-picking-ai.html", "published_at": "2026-04-07T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba8ffb985e8", "title": "When You Overtake More Runners than You’re Overtaken by", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-08-13-runner-percentile.html", "published_at": "2026-03-07T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba8ffe8f4e0", "title": "Knowledge-Creating LLMs", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2026-01-29-knowledge-creating-llms.html", "published_at": "2026-02-06T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90032542f", "title": "LLM verification", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2025-12-30-llm-verification.html", "published_at": "2025-12-30T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9007875ef", "title": "Forecasts of AI & Economic Growth", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2025-10-19-forecasts-of-AI-growth.html", "published_at": "2025-11-06T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90091b733", "title": "Economics and Transformative AI", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2025-09-19-transformative-AI-notes.html", "published_at": "2025-10-02T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90187f2b7", "title": "On Deriving Things", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2020-10-02-on-deriving-things.html", "published_at": "2025-01-30T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba901b69af8", "title": "Too Much Good News is Bad News", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2024-12-26-heavy-tailed-noise.html", "published_at": "2024-12-26T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90224d2a2", "title": "Premature Optimization and the Valley of Confusion", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2024-05-10-premature-optimization.html", "published_at": "2024-05-10T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9026d2492", "title": "Peer Effects, Culture, and Taxes", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-01-23-peer-effects-norms-culture-sin-taxes.html", "published_at": "2024-04-28T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba902cf50dc", "title": "Bloodhounds and Bulldogs", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-10-24-manifesto-perception-judgment-decision-making.html", "published_at": "2024-04-27T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba903abf13c", "title": "The Influence of AI on Content Moderation and Communication", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-06-06-effect-of-ai-on-communication.html", "published_at": "2023-12-11T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9049ffa2d", "title": "The History of Automated Text Moderation", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-11-18-history-automated-text-moderation.html", "published_at": "2023-11-18T08:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90582dd6c", "title": "Thinking About Tradeoffs? Draw an Ellipse", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-10-23-pareto-frontiers-experiments-ranking.html", "published_at": "2023-10-25T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9065d9572", "title": "Experiment Interpretation and Extrapolation", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-04-18-experiment-interpretation-extrapolation.html", "published_at": "2023-10-17T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9073f3f4d", "title": "An AI Which Imitates Humans Can Beat Humans", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-09-05-model-of-ai-imitation.html", "published_at": "2023-10-06T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba90803fe9d", "title": "Sushi-Roll Model of Online Media", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-03-06-social-media-business-models-sushi-roll.html", "published_at": "2023-09-08T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087ea-e948-7333-9de7-5ba9084fdc71", "title": "How Much has Social Media affected Polarization?", "url": "https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2023-07-27-meta-2020-elections-experiments.html", "published_at": "2023-08-07T07:00:00+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog

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2026

Correlation Implies Causation original ↗

8 Aug 2026

Definitions of Recursive Self-Improvement original ↗

5 Jun 2026

An Apple-Picking Model of AI R&D original ↗

7 Apr 2026

When You Overtake More Runners than You’re Overtaken by original ↗

7 Mar 2026

Knowledge-Creating LLMs original ↗

6 Feb 2026

2025

LLM verification original ↗

30 Dec 2025

Forecasts of AI & Economic Growth original ↗

6 Nov 2025

Economics and Transformative AI original ↗

2 Oct 2025

On Deriving Things original ↗

30 Jan 2025

2024

Too Much Good News is Bad News original ↗

26 Dec 2024

Premature Optimization and the Valley of Confusion original ↗

10 May 2024

Peer Effects, Culture, and Taxes original ↗

28 Apr 2024

Bloodhounds and Bulldogs original ↗

27 Apr 2024

2023

The Influence of AI on Content Moderation and Communication original ↗

11 Dec 2023

The History of Automated Text Moderation original ↗

18 Nov 2023

Thinking About Tradeoffs? Draw an Ellipse original ↗

25 Oct 2023

Experiment Interpretation and Extrapolation original ↗

17 Oct 2023

An AI Which Imitates Humans Can Beat Humans original ↗

6 Oct 2023

Sushi-Roll Model of Online Media original ↗

8 Sept 2023

How Much has Social Media affected Polarization?original ↗

7 Aug 2023