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Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2012

Incredibly strange spamoriginal ↗
11 Nov 2012
I don’t like this cartoonoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2012
The anti-Bayesian moment and its passingoriginal ↗
9 Nov 2012
Poll aggregation and election forecastingoriginal ↗
8 Nov 2012
30/30/40 Nationoriginal ↗
8 Nov 2012
A question about voting systems—unrelated to U.S. elections!original ↗
8 Nov 2012
Election reportsoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2012
That last satisfaction at the end of the careeroriginal ↗
7 Nov 2012
Choose your default, or your default will choose you (election forecasting edition)original ↗
6 Nov 2012
Why it can be rational to voteoriginal ↗
6 Nov 2012
Someone is wrong on the internet, part 2original ↗
5 Nov 2012
Let’s try this: Instead of saying, “The probability is 75%,” say “There’s a 25% chance I’m wrong”original ↗
5 Nov 2012
Someone is wrong on the internetoriginal ↗
4 Nov 2012
Statistical methods that work in some settings but not othersoriginal ↗
3 Nov 2012
Not so fast on levees and seawalls for NY harbor?original ↗
2 Nov 2012
‘Researcher Degrees of Freedom’original ↗
1 Nov 2012
Recently in the sister blogs: special pre-election edition!original ↗
1 Nov 2012
It not necessary that Bayesian methods conform to the likelihood principleoriginal ↗
31 Oct 2012
Social scientists who use medical analogies to explain causal inference are, I think, implicitly trying to borrow some of the scientific and cultural authority of that field for our own purposesoriginal ↗
31 Oct 2012
Real rothko, fake rothkooriginal ↗
30 Oct 2012
“Communication is a central task of statistics, and ideally a state-of-the-art data analysis can have state-of-the-art displays to match”original ↗
29 Oct 2012
A convenience sample and selected treatmentsoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2012
My talk at the Larchmont public library this Sundayoriginal ↗
26 Oct 2012
Steven Levitt says that he has a “good indicator” that Aaron Edlin, Noah Kaplan, Nate Silver, and I are “not so smart”original ↗
26 Oct 2012
College football, voting, and the law of large numbersoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2012
Health disparities are associated with low life expectancyoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2012
Hey—has anybody done this study yet?original ↗
24 Oct 2012
Two postdoc opportunities to work with our research group!! (apply by 15 Nov 2012)original ↗
23 Oct 2012
Is it meaningful to talk about a probability of “65.7%” that Obama will win the election?original ↗
22 Oct 2012
Model complexity as a function of sample sizeoriginal ↗
21 Oct 2012
A statistical model for underdispersionoriginal ↗
20 Oct 2012
Statistical discrimination againoriginal ↗
19 Oct 2012
“Intrade to the 57th power”original ↗
19 Oct 2012
IRB nightmaresoriginal ↗
18 Oct 2012
Rustoriginal ↗
17 Oct 2012
100!original ↗
17 Oct 2012
Using economics to reduce bike theftoriginal ↗
16 Oct 2012
Bayesian analogue to stepwise regression?original ↗
16 Oct 2012
The strange reappearance of Matthew Klamoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2012
If x is correlated with y, then y is correlated with xoriginal ↗
14 Oct 2012
A real-life dollar auction game!original ↗
13 Oct 2012
Elderpediaoriginal ↗
12 Oct 2012
Bayesian brains?original ↗
11 Oct 2012
My talk at MIT on Thurs 11 Octoriginal ↗
10 Oct 2012
Another reason why you can get good inferences from a bad modeloriginal ↗
10 Oct 2012
Little Data: How traditional statistical ideas remain relevant in a big-data worldoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2012
Ethical standards in different data communitiesoriginal ↗
8 Oct 2012
An (impressive) increase in survival rate from 50% to 60% corresponds to an R-squared of (only) 1%. Counterintuitive, huh?original ↗
7 Oct 2012
Comparing people from two surveys, one of which is a simple random sample and one of which is notoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2012
High temperatures cause violent crime and implications for climate change, also some suggestions about how to better summarize these claimsoriginal ↗
5 Oct 2012
Columbo does posterior predictive checksoriginal ↗
4 Oct 2012
Advice that’s so eminently sensible but so difficult to followoriginal ↗
3 Oct 2012
Job!original ↗
2 Oct 2012
Fighting a losing battleoriginal ↗
2 Oct 2012
“On Inspiring Students and Being Human”original ↗
1 Oct 2012
Computational problems with glm etc.original ↗
30 Sept 2012
Jost Haidtoriginal ↗
29 Sept 2012
AdviseStat 47% Campaign Adoriginal ↗
28 Sept 2012
A Non-random Walk Down Campaign Streetoriginal ↗
27 Sept 2012
Estimating seasonality with a data set that’s just 52 weeks longoriginal ↗
27 Sept 2012
What do statistical p-values mean when the sample = the population?original ↗
26 Sept 2012
Incoherence of Bayesian data analysisoriginal ↗
25 Sept 2012
Analyzing photon countsoriginal ↗
24 Sept 2012
Speaking franklyoriginal ↗
23 Sept 2012
Grade inflation: why weren’t the instructors all giving all A’s already??original ↗
22 Sept 2012
Building a regression model . . . with only 27 data pointsoriginal ↗
21 Sept 2012
Could someone please lock this guy and Niall Ferguson in a room together?original ↗
20 Sept 2012
“Joseph Anton”original ↗
20 Sept 2012
“Poor Smokers in New York State Spend 25% of Income on Cigarettes, Study Finds”original ↗
20 Sept 2012
Scalability in educationoriginal ↗
19 Sept 2012
More studies on the economic effects of climate changeoriginal ↗
18 Sept 2012
“2% per degree Celsius . . . the magic number for how worker productivity responds to warm/hot temperatures”original ↗
17 Sept 2012
Uri Simonsohn is speaking at Columbia tomorrow (Mon)original ↗
16 Sept 2012
Choices in graphing parallel time seriesoriginal ↗
16 Sept 2012
Our blog makes connections!original ↗
15 Sept 2012
Sides and Vavreck on the 2012 electionoriginal ↗
14 Sept 2012
Watching the sharks jumporiginal ↗
13 Sept 2012
Win $5000 in the Economist’s data visualization competitionoriginal ↗
13 Sept 2012
Niall Ferguson, the John Yoo line, and the paradox of influenceoriginal ↗
12 Sept 2012
Using the “instrumental variables” or “potential outcomes” approach to clarify causal thinkingoriginal ↗
11 Sept 2012
Update on Levitt paper on child car seatsoriginal ↗
10 Sept 2012
I’m still wondering . . .original ↗
9 Sept 2012
Commercial Bayesian inference software is popping up all overoriginal ↗
9 Sept 2012
Animated drought mapsoriginal ↗
8 Sept 2012
Annals of spamoriginal ↗
8 Sept 2012
Prior distributions for regression coefficientsoriginal ↗
7 Sept 2012
One reason New York isn’t as rich as it used to be: Redistribution of federal tax money to other statesoriginal ↗
6 Sept 2012
Two exciting movie ideas: “Second Chance U” and “The New Dirty Dozen”original ↗
5 Sept 2012
“Bestselling Author Caught Posting Positive Reviews of His Own Work on Amazon”original ↗
5 Sept 2012
Cool one-day miniconference at Columbia Fri 12 Oct on computational and online social scienceoriginal ↗
4 Sept 2012
Model checking and model understanding in machine learningoriginal ↗
4 Sept 2012
“If our product is harmful . . . we’ll stop making it.”original ↗
2 Sept 2012
Mothers and Momsoriginal ↗
1 Sept 2012
Watercolor regressionoriginal ↗
31 Aug 2012
Stan is fastoriginal ↗
31 Aug 2012
A Stan is Bornoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2012
Visualizing Distributions of Covariance Matricesoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2012
More on scaled-inverse Wishart and prior independenceoriginal ↗
29 Aug 2012
Turing chess run updateoriginal ↗
28 Aug 2012
Migrating from dot to underscoreoriginal ↗
28 Aug 2012
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