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Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2014

Sailing between the Scylla of hyping of sexy research and the Charybdis of reflexive skepticismoriginal ↗
22 Oct 2014
Try a spaghetti plotoriginal ↗
21 Oct 2014
Three ways to present a probability forecast, and I only like one of themoriginal ↗
20 Oct 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
20 Oct 2014
“Your Paper Makes SSRN Top Ten List”original ↗
19 Oct 2014
Hoe noem je?original ↗
18 Oct 2014
How do companies use Bayesian methods?original ↗
17 Oct 2014
Prediction Market Project for the Reproducibility of Psychological Scienceoriginal ↗
16 Oct 2014
Statistical Communication and Graphics Manifestooriginal ↗
15 Oct 2014
My course on Statistical Communication and Graphicsoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2014
The Fault in Our Stars: It’s even worse than they sayoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2014
I didn’t say that! Part 2original ↗
14 Oct 2014
In one of life’s horrible ironies, I wrote a paper “Why we (usually) don’t have to worry about multiple comparisons” but now I spend lots of time worrying about multiple comparisonsoriginal ↗
14 Oct 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
14 Oct 2014
10th anniversary of “Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science”original ↗
12 Oct 2014
“Illinois chancellor who fired Salaita accused of serial self-plagiarism.”original ↗
12 Oct 2014
Science tells us that fast food lovers are more likely to marry other fast food loversoriginal ↗
11 Oct 2014
When am I a conservative and when am I a liberal (when it comes to statistics, that is)?original ↗
10 Oct 2014
Varieties of description in political scienceoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2014
“Science does not advance by guessing”original ↗
9 Oct 2014
When there’s a lot of variation, it can be a mistake to make statements about “typical” attitudesoriginal ↗
8 Oct 2014
Rational != Self-interestedoriginal ↗
7 Oct 2014
“We have used Stan to study dead dolphins”original ↗
6 Oct 2014
“Regular Customer: It was so much easier when I was a bum. I didn’t have to wake up at 4am to go to work, didn’t have all these bills and girlfriends.”original ↗
6 Oct 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2014
On deck this monthoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2014
Anova is great—if you interpret it as a way of structuring a model, not if you focus on F testsoriginal ↗
5 Oct 2014
Carrie McLaren was way out in front of the anti-Gladwell bandwagonoriginal ↗
4 Oct 2014
65% of principals say that at least 30% of students . . . wha??original ↗
3 Oct 2014
International Journal of Epidemiology versus Hivemind and the Datagoroundoriginal ↗
2 Oct 2014
In defense of stories and classroom activities, from a resubmission letter from 1999original ↗
1 Oct 2014
Can anyone guess what went wrong here?original ↗
1 Oct 2014
Are Ivy League schools overrated?original ↗
30 Sept 2014
No, I didn’t say that!original ↗
30 Sept 2014
Some general principles of Bayesian data analysis, arising from a Stan analysis of John Lee Anderson’s heightoriginal ↗
29 Sept 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
29 Sept 2014
People used to send me ugly graphs, now I get these thingsoriginal ↗
28 Sept 2014
“An exact fishy test”original ↗
27 Sept 2014
MA206 Program Director’s Memorandumoriginal ↗
26 Sept 2014
Free Stan T-shirt to the first “little twerp” who does a (good) Bayesian analysis of Jon Lee Anderson’s heightoriginal ↗
25 Sept 2014
“Derek Jeter was OK”original ↗
25 Sept 2014
Waic for time seriesoriginal ↗
25 Sept 2014
Study published in 2011, followed by successful replication in 2003 [sic]original ↗
24 Sept 2014
Why I’m still not persuaded by the claim that subliminal smiley-faces can have big effects on political attitudesoriginal ↗
23 Sept 2014
“How to disrupt the multi-billion dollar survey research industry”original ↗
22 Sept 2014
Some will spam you with a six-gun and some with a fountain penoriginal ↗
22 Sept 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
22 Sept 2014
I can’t think of a good title for this one.original ↗
21 Sept 2014
Estimating discontinuity in slope of a response functionoriginal ↗
20 Sept 2014
What does CNN have in common with Carmen Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff, and Richard Tol: They all made foolish, embarrassing errors that would never have happened had they been using R Markdownoriginal ↗
19 Sept 2014
Shamer shamingoriginal ↗
18 Sept 2014
Palko’s on a rolloriginal ↗
18 Sept 2014
What do you do to visualize uncertainty?original ↗
17 Sept 2014
They know my email but they don’t know meoriginal ↗
16 Sept 2014
More bad news for the buggy-whip manufacturersoriginal ↗
15 Sept 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
15 Sept 2014
Six quotes from Kaiser Fungoriginal ↗
14 Sept 2014
He just ordered a translation from Diederik Stapeloriginal ↗
13 Sept 2014
What is the purpose of a poem?original ↗
12 Sept 2014
mysterious shiny thingsoriginal ↗
12 Sept 2014
Bayesian Cognitive Modeling  Examples Ported to Stanoriginal ↗
11 Sept 2014
One-tailed or two-tailedoriginal ↗
11 Sept 2014
“It’s as if you went into a bathroom in a bar and saw a guy pissing on his shoes, and instead of thinking he has some problem with his aim, you suppose he has a positive utility for getting his shoes wet”original ↗
10 Sept 2014
Suspiciously vague graph purporting to show “percentage of slaves or serfs in the world”original ↗
9 Sept 2014
My talk at the Simons Foundation this Wed 5pmoriginal ↗
8 Sept 2014
My talk with David Schiminovich this Wed noon: “The Birth of the Universe and the Fate of the Earth: One Trillion UV Photons Meet Stan”original ↗
8 Sept 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
8 Sept 2014
Likelihood from quantiles?original ↗
7 Sept 2014
Some time in the past 200 years the neighborhood has changedoriginal ↗
7 Sept 2014
How does inference for next year’s data differ from inference for unobserved data from the current year?original ↗
6 Sept 2014
Confirmationist and falsificationist paradigms of scienceoriginal ↗
5 Sept 2014
Why isn’t replication required before publication in top journals?original ↗
4 Sept 2014
I disagree with Alan Turing and Daniel Kahneman regarding the strength of statistical evidenceoriginal ↗
3 Sept 2014
Questions about “Too Good to Be True”original ↗
2 Sept 2014
Bad Statistics: Ignore or Call Out?original ↗
1 Sept 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
1 Sept 2014
On deck this monthoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2014
Avoiding model selection in Bayesian social researchoriginal ↗
29 Aug 2014
When we talk about the “file drawer,” let’s not assume that an experiment can easily be characterized as producing strong, mixed, or weak resultsoriginal ↗
28 Aug 2014
Pre-election survey methodology: details from nine polling organizations, 1988 and 1992original ↗
28 Aug 2014
One of the worst infographics ever, but people don’t care?original ↗
28 Aug 2014
Discussion of “A probabilistic model for the spatial distribution of party support in multiparty elections”original ↗
27 Aug 2014
Dave Blei course on Foundations of Graphical Modelsoriginal ↗
26 Aug 2014
Review of “Forecasting Elections”original ↗
26 Aug 2014
Discussion of “Maximum entropy and the nearly black object”original ↗
25 Aug 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
25 Aug 2014
Poker math showdown!original ↗
25 Aug 2014
How Many Mic’s Do We Riporiginal ↗
23 Aug 2014
Recently in the sister blogoriginal ↗
22 Aug 2014
Replication Wiki for economicsoriginal ↗
22 Aug 2014
The field is a fractaloriginal ↗
21 Aug 2014
“A hard case for Mister P”original ↗
20 Aug 2014
Stroopy namesoriginal ↗
19 Aug 2014
Some quick disorganized tips on classroom teachingoriginal ↗
18 Aug 2014
On deck this weekoriginal ↗
18 Aug 2014
My courses this fall at Columbiaoriginal ↗
16 Aug 2014
“Psychohistory” and the hype paradoxoriginal ↗
15 Aug 2014
Luck vs. skill in pokeroriginal ↗
14 Aug 2014
Updike and O’Haraoriginal ↗
13 Aug 2014
How do you interpret standard errors from a regression fit to the entire population?original ↗
12 Aug 2014
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