Blog · corpus.blog/blogs/statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/posts
Andrew Gelman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
2019
14 Oct 2019
12 Oct 2019
Glenn Shafer: “The Language of Betting as a Strategy for Statistical and Scientific Communication”original ↗
9 Oct 2019
8 Oct 2019
Are statistical nitpickers (e.g., Kaiser Fung and me) getting the way of progress or even serving the forces of evil?original ↗
7 Oct 2019
7 Oct 2019
More on that 4/20 road rage researcher: Dude could be a little less amused, a little more willing to realize he could be on the wrong track with a lot of his research.original ↗
6 Oct 2019
3 Oct 2019
Jeff Leek: “Data science education as an economic and public health intervention – how statisticians can lead change in the world”original ↗
2 Oct 2019
Schoolmarms and lightning bolts: Data faker meets Edge foundation in an unintentional reveal of problems with the Great Man model of scienceoriginal ↗
2 Oct 2019
2 Oct 2019
Many perspectives on Deborah Mayo’s “Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars”original ↗
30 Sept 2019
29 Sept 2019
Econ corner: A rational reason (beyond the usual “risk aversion” or concave utility function) for wanting to minimize future uncertainty in a decision-making settingoriginal ↗
27 Sept 2019
23 Sept 2019
22 Sept 2019
21 Sept 2019
Dan’s Paper Corner: Can we model scientific discovery and what can we learn from the process?original ↗
19 Sept 2019
19 Sept 2019
Brief summary notes on Statistical Thinking for enabling better review of clinical trials.original ↗
18 Sept 2019
17 Sept 2019
16 Sept 2019
“Boston Globe Columnist Suspended During Investigation Of Marathon Bombing Stories That Don’t Add Up”original ↗
15 Sept 2019
I think that science is mostly “Brezhnevs.” It’s rare to see a “Gorbachev” who will abandon a paradigm just because it doesn’t do the job. Also, moving beyond naive falsificationismoriginal ↗
14 Sept 2019
Deterministic thinking (“dichotomania”): a problem in how we think, not just in how we actoriginal ↗
13 Sept 2019
12 Sept 2019
12 Sept 2019
Let’s try this again: It is nonsense to say that we don’t know whether a specific weather event was affected by climate change. It’s not just wrong, it’s nonsensical.original ↗
11 Sept 2019
11 Sept 2019
Here’s a puzzle: Why did the U.S. doctor tell me to drink more wine and the French doctor tell me to drink less?original ↗
9 Sept 2019
8 Sept 2019
7 Sept 2019
A world of Wansinks in medical research: “So I guess what I’m trying to get at is I wonder how common it is for clinicians to rely on med students to do their data analysis for them, and how often this work then gets published”original ↗
7 Sept 2019
6 Sept 2019
5 Sept 2019
The ladder of social science reasoning, 4 statements in increasing order of generality, or Why didn’t they say they were sorry when it turned out they’d messed up?original ↗
5 Sept 2019
More golf putting, leading to a discussion of how prior information can be important for an out-of-sample prediction or causal inference problem, even if it’s not needed to fit existing dataoriginal ↗
4 Sept 2019
“There is no way to prove that [an extreme weather event] either was, or was not, affected by global warming.”original ↗
3 Sept 2019
3 Sept 2019
1 Sept 2019
Is the effect they found too large to believe? (the effect of breakfast macronutrients on social decisions)original ↗
31 Aug 2019
Seeking postdoc (or contractor) for next generation Stan language research and developmentoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2019
“I am a writer for our school newspaper, the BHS Blueprint, and I am writing an article about our school’s new growth mindset initiative.”original ↗
30 Aug 2019
What’s the origin of the term “chasing noise” as applying to overinterpreting noisy patterns in data?original ↗
30 Aug 2019
29 Aug 2019
How much of the change from 2016 was due to different people voting vs. the same people changing their vote choice?original ↗
29 Aug 2019
More on the piranha problem, the butterfly effect, unintended consequences, and the push-a-button, take-a-pill model of scienceoriginal ↗
26 Aug 2019
Forming a hyper-precise numerical summary during a research crisis can improve an article’s chance of achieving its publication goals.original ↗
25 Aug 2019
25 Aug 2019
More on why Cass Sunstein should be thanking, not smearing, people who ask for replicationsoriginal ↗
24 Aug 2019
Yes, you can include prior information on quantities of interest, not just on parameters in your modeloriginal ↗
23 Aug 2019
22 Aug 2019
22 Aug 2019
“The issue of how to report the statistics is one that we thought about deeply, and I am quite sure we reported them correctly.”original ↗
19 Aug 2019
“I feel like the really solid information therein comes from non or negative correlations”original ↗
18 Aug 2019
15 Aug 2019