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Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2021

Answers to your questions about polling and elections.original ↗
17 Mar 2021
Postdoctoral opportunity with Sarah Cowan and Jennifer Hill: causal inference for Universal Basic Income (UBI)original ↗
16 Mar 2021
The garden of forking paths: Why multiple comparisons can be a problem, even when there is no “fishing expedition” or “p-hacking” and the research hypothesis was posited ahead of timeoriginal ↗
16 Mar 2021
How much granularity do you need in your Mister P?original ↗
16 Mar 2021
PhD student and postdoc positions in Norway for doing Bayesian causal inference using Stan!original ↗
16 Mar 2021
Webinar: On Bayesian workfloworiginal ↗
15 Mar 2021
A Bayesian state-space model for the German federal election 2021 with Stanoriginal ↗
15 Mar 2021
The 5-sigma rule in physicsoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2021
No, I don’t like talk of false positive false negative etc but it can still be useful to warn people about systematic biases in meta-analysisoriginal ↗
13 Mar 2021
The social sciences are useless. So why do we study them? Here’s a good reason:original ↗
12 Mar 2021
Regression discontinuity analysis is often a disaster. So what should you do instead? Here’s my recommendation:original ↗
11 Mar 2021
It was a year ago today . . .original ↗
11 Mar 2021
“The presumption of wisdom and/or virtue causes intellectuals to personalize situations where contending ideas are involved.”original ↗
10 Mar 2021
“From Socrates to Darwin and beyond: What children can teach us about the human mind”original ↗
9 Mar 2021
Ahhhh, Cornell!original ↗
9 Mar 2021
Yes, there is such a thing as Eurocentric science (Gremlins edition)original ↗
8 Mar 2021
What is the landscape of uncertainty outside the clinical trial’s methods?original ↗
7 Mar 2021
Bayesian methods and what they offer compared to classical econometricsoriginal ↗
7 Mar 2021
My talk’s on April Fool’s but it’s not actually a jokeoriginal ↗
7 Mar 2021
This one pushes all my buttonsoriginal ↗
6 Mar 2021
Alan Sokal on exponential growth and coronavirus reboundoriginal ↗
6 Mar 2021
Earliest Known Uses of Some of the Words of Mathematicsoriginal ↗
5 Mar 2021
Marshmallow updateoriginal ↗
5 Mar 2021
A new approach to pandemic control by informing people of their social distance from exposureoriginal ↗
4 Mar 2021
Statistical fallacies as they arise in political science (from Bob Jervis)original ↗
3 Mar 2021
Drew Bailey on backward causal questions and forward causal inferenceoriginal ↗
3 Mar 2021
What’s the best novel ever written by an 85-year-old?original ↗
2 Mar 2021
Summer research jobs at Flatiron Instituteoriginal ↗
1 Mar 2021
Here is how you should title the next book you write.original ↗
1 Mar 2021
“I looked for questions on the polio vaccine and saw one in 1954 that asked if you wanted to get it—60% said yes and 31% no.”original ↗
28 Feb 2021
Meg Wolitzer and George V. Higginsoriginal ↗
27 Feb 2021
The Mets are hiringoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2021
Multivariate missing data software updateoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2021
Stanford prison experimentoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2021
Science reform can get so personaloriginal ↗
25 Feb 2021
“Men Appear Twice as Often as Women in News Photos on Facebook”original ↗
25 Feb 2021
Should we judge pundits based on their demonstrated willingness to learn from their mistakes?original ↗
24 Feb 2021
What is the relevance of “bad science” to our understanding of “good science”?original ↗
23 Feb 2021
Postdoc in precision medicine at Johns Hopkins using Bayesian methodsoriginal ↗
22 Feb 2021
Rapid prepublication peer revieworiginal ↗
22 Feb 2021
Luc Sante reviews books by Nick Hornby and Geoffrey O’Brien on pop musicoriginal ↗
22 Feb 2021
Ethics washing, ethics bashingoriginal ↗
21 Feb 2021
Statisticians don’t use statistical evidence to decide what statistical methods to use. Also, The Way of the Physicist.original ↗
21 Feb 2021
Is sqrt(2) a normal number?original ↗
20 Feb 2021
Simulated-data experimentation: Why does it work so well?original ↗
19 Feb 2021
Postdoc in Paris for Bayesian models in genetics . . . differential equation models in Stanoriginal ↗
18 Feb 2021
Jordana Cepelewicz on “The Hard Lessons of Modeling the Coronavirus Pandemic”original ↗
18 Feb 2021
“Smell the Data”original ↗
18 Feb 2021
Computation+Journalism 2021 this Fridayoriginal ↗
18 Feb 2021
COVID and Vitamin D…and some other things too.original ↗
17 Feb 2021
Is the right brain hemisphere more analog and Bayesian?original ↗
17 Feb 2021
Who are the culture heroes of today?original ↗
16 Feb 2021
Webinar: Some Outstanding Challenges when Solving ODEs in a Bayesian contextoriginal ↗
15 Feb 2021
Creatures of their time: Shirley Jackson and John Campbelloriginal ↗
15 Feb 2021
“Our underpowered trial provides no indication that X has a positive or negative effect on Y”original ↗
14 Feb 2021
What’s your “Mathematical Comfort Food”?original ↗
13 Feb 2021
Lakatos was a Stalinistoriginal ↗
12 Feb 2021
Come work with me and David Shor !original ↗
11 Feb 2021
Let them log scaleoriginal ↗
11 Feb 2021
Reflections on Lakatos’s “Proofs and Refutations”original ↗
11 Feb 2021
Scaling regression inputs by dividing by two standard deviationsoriginal ↗
10 Feb 2021
Further comments on “Assessing mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closure effects on the spread of COVID‐19”original ↗
10 Feb 2021
“Maybe we should’ve called it Arianna”original ↗
10 Feb 2021
How to track covid using hospital data collection and MRPoriginal ↗
9 Feb 2021
Toronto Data Workshop on Reproducibilityoriginal ↗
9 Feb 2021
My thoughts on “What’s Wrong with Social Science and How to Fix It: Reflections After Reading 2578 Papers”original ↗
8 Feb 2021
“Better Data Visualizations: A Guide for Scholars, Researchers, and Wonks”original ↗
7 Feb 2021
Nudgelords: Given their past track record, why should I trust them this time? (Don’t call me Stasi)original ↗
7 Feb 2021
How to incorporate new data into our understanding? Sturgis rally example.original ↗
6 Feb 2021
Justin Grimmer vs. the Hoover Institution commentersoriginal ↗
5 Feb 2021
“Where in your education were you taught about intellectual honesty?”original ↗
5 Feb 2021
The “story time” is to lull us in with a randomized controlled experiment and as we fall asleep, feed us less reliable conclusions that come from an embedded observational study.original ↗
4 Feb 2021
“There ya go: preregistered, within-subject, multilevel”original ↗
4 Feb 2021
New research suggests: “Targeting interventions – including transmission-blocking vaccines – to adults aged 20-49 is an important consideration in halting resurgent epidemics and preventing COVID-19-attributable deaths.”original ↗
3 Feb 2021
One more cartoon like this, and this blog will be obsolete.original ↗
2 Feb 2021
Will the pandemic cause a decline in births? We’ll be able to resolve this particular debate in about 9 months . . .original ↗
2 Feb 2021
The Data Detective, by Tim Harfordoriginal ↗
2 Feb 2021
Social penumbras predict political attitudesoriginal ↗
1 Feb 2021
About that claim that “SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived”original ↗
1 Feb 2021
Bayesian inference completely solves the multiple comparisons problemoriginal ↗
1 Feb 2021
“Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Updaters are Better Forecasters”original ↗
31 Jan 2021
Wombats sh*ttin brix in the tail . . .original ↗
30 Jan 2021
Kill the math in the intro stat course?original ↗
30 Jan 2021
“How We’re Duped by Data” and how we can do betteroriginal ↗
30 Jan 2021
Mortality data 2015-2020 around the worldoriginal ↗
30 Jan 2021
Summer training in statistical sampling at University of Michiganoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2021
I was drunk at the podium, and I knew my results weren’t strongoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2021
Scott Atlas, Team Stanford, and their friendsoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2021
There is only one reality (and we cannot demand consistency from any other)original ↗
28 Jan 2021
Tukeyian uphill battlesoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2021
The textbook paradox: “Textbooks more than a very few years old cannot even be given away, but new textbooks are mostly made by copying from former ones”original ↗
27 Jan 2021
Hierarchical stacking, part II: Voting and model averagingoriginal ↗
26 Jan 2021
Three coronavirus quickiesoriginal ↗
26 Jan 2021
Hierarchical stackingoriginal ↗
25 Jan 2021
The norm of entertainmentoriginal ↗
25 Jan 2021
Tessa Hadley on John Updikeoriginal ↗
24 Jan 2021
My reply: Three words. Fake. Data. Simulation.original ↗
23 Jan 2021
Hey! Here’s a cool new book of stories about the collection of social dataoriginal ↗
22 Jan 2021
New textbook, “Statistics for Health Data Science,” by Etzioni, Mandel, and Gulatioriginal ↗
21 Jan 2021
What about that new paper estimating the effects of lockdowns etc?original ↗
20 Jan 2021
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