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Andrew Gelman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2022

Kim Philby (3) vs. A. A. Milne; Gygax advancesoriginal ↗
16 Nov 2022
How good are election prediction markets?original ↗
16 Nov 2022
Boutros Boutros-Ghali (4) vs. E. Gary Gygax; Tolkien advancesoriginal ↗
15 Nov 2022
Circling back to an old Bayesian “counterexample”original ↗
15 Nov 2022
In research, when should you tie yourself to the mast?original ↗
15 Nov 2022
J. R. R. Tolkien (1) vs. K. D. Langoriginal ↗
14 Nov 2022
Which one of these will be the biggest “unicorn” failure ever?original ↗
14 Nov 2022
On the Republicans’ decision to choose extremist candidates in high-profile close racesoriginal ↗
13 Nov 2022
Stan and Tensorflow for fast parallel Bayesian inferenceoriginal ↗
13 Nov 2022
History of time series forecasting competitionsoriginal ↗
12 Nov 2022
And here it is . . . the bracket for our new Greatest Seminar Speaker contest!original ↗
11 Nov 2022
postdoc in communicating statistics at the Alan Alda Center in Stony Brook, New Yorkoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2022
How did NPR’s pre-election poll get things so so so wrong? The friends/family/coworkers questionoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2022
Simulation-based calibration checking (SBC) is stronger than you thought! (and the SBC package in R)original ↗
9 Nov 2022
Balanced.original ↗
9 Nov 2022
Dying children and post-publication review (rectal suppositories edition)original ↗
8 Nov 2022
The discount cost paradox?original ↗
7 Nov 2022
Stoner.original ↗
6 Nov 2022
What continues to stun me is how something can be clear and unambiguous, and it still takes years or even decades to resolveoriginal ↗
5 Nov 2022
New version of Posteriordb: a database of posterior distributions for evaluating Bayesian computation algorithmsoriginal ↗
4 Nov 2022
Important questionsoriginal ↗
4 Nov 2022
Concreteness vs faithfulness in visual summariesoriginal ↗
3 Nov 2022
“Banned from presenting research to the organization for the next two years” . . . how does that happen?original ↗
3 Nov 2022
Cherry-picking during pumpkin-picking season? (the effects of the Jan. 6th hearings)original ↗
2 Nov 2022
“Rankings offer no sense of scale”original ↗
2 Nov 2022
Hiring at Flatiron Institute (NYC): research scientists, postdoctoral fellows, interns, and software engineers at Flatiron Instituteoriginal ↗
1 Nov 2022
Another book about pokeroriginal ↗
1 Nov 2022
Here’s a fun intro lesson on how to read a graph!original ↗
31 Oct 2022
Tigers need your help.original ↗
30 Oct 2022
Distrust in scienceoriginal ↗
30 Oct 2022
Update on the fake story about the river laborers paying people to whip themoriginal ↗
29 Oct 2022
“Graphs do not lead people to infer causation from correlation”original ↗
28 Oct 2022
You can read for free but comments cost money . . . or is it the other way around?original ↗
27 Oct 2022
Speculating about assigning probabilities to speculative theories: Lots of problems here.original ↗
26 Oct 2022
Wandering through Sforza castleoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2022
Best letter-to-the-editor ever (Tocqueville and Algeria)original ↗
25 Oct 2022
Funny NYT correctionsoriginal ↗
24 Oct 2022
Last post on that $100,000 Uber paperoriginal ↗
23 Oct 2022
Best Meetup swag: OVHcloudoriginal ↗
22 Oct 2022
Statistical methods that only work if you don’t use them (more precisely, they only work well if you avoid using them in the cases where they will fail)original ↗
22 Oct 2022
From soup to Bayes: Make inferences using strong assumptions not because you “believe” your model but because you don’t believe it.original ↗
21 Oct 2022
The psychology of thinking discretelyoriginal ↗
20 Oct 2022
Newton’s Third Law of Reputationsoriginal ↗
19 Oct 2022
David Blackwell storiesoriginal ↗
18 Oct 2022
Hey! It’s time for another Greatest Seminar Speaker contest!original ↗
18 Oct 2022
Cheating in sports vs. cheating in journalism vs. cheating in scienceoriginal ↗
17 Oct 2022
“MIT Built a Theranos for Plants” updateoriginal ↗
16 Oct 2022
How should Bayesian methods for the social sciences differ from Bayesian methods for the physical sciences? (my talk at the Bayesian Methods for the Social Sciences workshop, 21 Oct 2022, Paris)original ↗
15 Oct 2022
Hey! Here’s a surprisingly fascinating discussion of copyright of transformed images!original ↗
14 Oct 2022
How did Bill James get this one wrong on regression to the mean? Here are 6 reasons:original ↗
13 Oct 2022
0 to 100K users in 10 years: how Stan got to where it isoriginal ↗
12 Oct 2022
Blogs > Twitter againoriginal ↗
12 Oct 2022
“Depressingly unbothered”original ↗
11 Oct 2022
Quantitative science is (indirectly) relevant to the real world, also some comments on a book called The Case Against Educationoriginal ↗
10 Oct 2022
Pathfinder, Causality, and SARS-CoV-2 talks in Paris this weekoriginal ↗
10 Oct 2022
Who rotated my cookie? The all-too-common mistake when presenting Bayesian inference to strain at the gnat of the prior while swallowing the camel of the likelihoodoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2022
It’s . . . doxtastic!original ↗
8 Oct 2022
Mira magic—a probabilistic card trickoriginal ↗
7 Oct 2022
Les Distributions a Priori pour l’Inférence Causale (my talk in Paris Tues 11 Oct 14h)original ↗
7 Oct 2022
Chess cheating: how to detect it (other than catching someone with a shoe phone)original ↗
6 Oct 2022
Numb3d by Numbers—a must see kid’s science exhibition about measurement, counting, and statsoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2022
(One of) the hardest things about differential privacy could also be seen as opportunity original ↗
6 Oct 2022
A baseball analytics job using Stan!original ↗
6 Oct 2022
(Now that faculty aren’t coming into the office anymore) Will universities ever recover?original ↗
6 Oct 2022
What Nested R-hat teaches us about the classical R-hatoriginal ↗
5 Oct 2022
Not frequentist enough.original ↗
5 Oct 2022
Rich guys and their dumb graphs: The visual equivalents of “Dow 36,000”original ↗
4 Oct 2022
Some things are more difficult than you might think (literary interviewing edition)original ↗
3 Oct 2022
Praising with Faint Damnationoriginal ↗
3 Oct 2022
Ecologists push for more reliable researchoriginal ↗
2 Oct 2022
Wow, this classic research article from 1955 on betting and probability has a really high math-to-conceptual-content ratio!original ↗
1 Oct 2022
Bayesian inference for discrete parameters and Bayesian inference for continuous parameters: Are these two completely different forms of inference?original ↗
30 Sept 2022
Stock prices, a notorious New York Times article, and that method from 1998 that was going to cure cancer in 2 yearsoriginal ↗
29 Sept 2022
OK, I know you were all waiting for this one: My review of the 1995 album, Saturday Morning: Cartoons’ Greatest Hitsoriginal ↗
28 Sept 2022
Elicitation from different perspectivesoriginal ↗
27 Sept 2022
Why she teaches her students about scientific failureoriginal ↗
27 Sept 2022
“Dangerous messaging around a recent SIDS study”: This time, don’t blame the news media.original ↗
26 Sept 2022
Progress in post-publication review: error is found, author will correct it without getting mad at the people who pointed out the errororiginal ↗
25 Sept 2022
Is Martha (Smith) still with us?original ↗
24 Sept 2022
Axios II: Attack of the Clonesoriginal ↗
24 Sept 2022
Hey—what’s up with that method from 1998 that was going to cure cancer in 2 years??original ↗
23 Sept 2022
“Fill in the Blank Leads to More Citations”: Junk science and unavailable data at the European Heart Journaloriginal ↗
22 Sept 2022
Calling all epidemiology-ish methodology-ish folks!original ↗
21 Sept 2022
Ted-talk attitudes reach New Mexico county commissionoriginal ↗
21 Sept 2022
The “You’re only allowed to publish 2 or 3 journal articles per year” ruleoriginal ↗
20 Sept 2022
Some thoughts on academic research and advocacyoriginal ↗
19 Sept 2022
What’s the origin of “Two truths and a lie”?original ↗
18 Sept 2022
The Economic Pit and the Political Pendulum: Predicting Midterm Electionsoriginal ↗
17 Sept 2022
Some things, like cubes, tetrahedrons, and Venn diagrams, seem so simple and natural that it’s kind of a surprise when you learn that their supply is very limited.original ↗
16 Sept 2022
“The distinction between exploratory and confirmatory research cannot be important per se, because it implies that the time at which things are said is important”original ↗
15 Sept 2022
NBC TV series: The Irrationaloriginal ↗
15 Sept 2022
Why do Dickens novels have all those coincidences?original ↗
14 Sept 2022
Geoff Dyer Kazuo Ishiguro Owen Sheers David Leavitt Veronica Gengoriginal ↗
13 Sept 2022
What’s the difference between Derek Jeter and preregistration?original ↗
12 Sept 2022
“Merchants of doubt” operating within organized scienceoriginal ↗
11 Sept 2022
Benford goes to Hollywoodoriginal ↗
10 Sept 2022
“Vanishing Voices: An Assessment of Diverse Participation in NYC Government and Why it Matters for Communities”original ↗
10 Sept 2022
Seth Roberts and political polarizationoriginal ↗
9 Sept 2022
“You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”original ↗
8 Sept 2022
Programmer position with our research group—at the University of Michigan!original ↗
7 Sept 2022
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