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2009

Manufacturing slump may be slowly easingoriginal ↗
2 Feb 2009
Deflation risk is disappearing -- extremely positiveoriginal ↗
30 Jan 2009
The silver lining to the faux-stimulus billoriginal ↗
30 Jan 2009
Japanese industrial production collapsesoriginal ↗
30 Jan 2009
Window closing on sub-5% mortgagesoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Bond yields are doing an about faceoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Treasury yields are turning up -- a very positive signoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Unemployment claims appear to be peakingoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Capital spending has slumped only mildlyoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Spreads and yields continue to declineoriginal ↗
29 Jan 2009
Economists to Obama: more government spending is NOT what we needoriginal ↗
28 Jan 2009
Thoughts on the marketoriginal ↗
28 Jan 2009
The economic stimulus plan is a gigantic boondoggleoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2009
Update on falling home pricesoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2009
Geithner very wrong re China's "currency manipulation"original ↗
27 Jan 2009
Early sign of global recoveryoriginal ↗
27 Jan 2009
TIPS are a steal (4)original ↗
26 Jan 2009
Real estate market is stabilizingoriginal ↗
26 Jan 2009
Dollar up, gold uporiginal ↗
23 Jan 2009
Housing starts are still falling, but the bottom is nearoriginal ↗
22 Jan 2009
Bond yields are bouncingoriginal ↗
22 Jan 2009
British Pound plungesoriginal ↗
21 Jan 2009
Commodities are bouncing (2)original ↗
21 Jan 2009
Large cap stocks are set to outperform (2)original ↗
21 Jan 2009
No relief from Obama's speechoriginal ↗
20 Jan 2009
The question IS whether government is too big or too smalloriginal ↗
20 Jan 2009
Calafia sunsetoriginal ↗
20 Jan 2009
No shortage of money (7)original ↗
16 Jan 2009
Industrial production hits air pocket all over the worldoriginal ↗
16 Jan 2009
Most of the deflation is behind usoriginal ↗
16 Jan 2009
Why I like Appleoriginal ↗
15 Jan 2009
These guys are going to save us?original ↗
15 Jan 2009
Producer Price Inflation not dead (2)original ↗
15 Jan 2009
Unemployment claims still look toppyoriginal ↗
15 Jan 2009
Less uncertainty puts a floor under pricesoriginal ↗
14 Jan 2009
Retail sales hit air pocketoriginal ↗
14 Jan 2009
Calafia morningoriginal ↗
14 Jan 2009
Trade hits an air pocket, but will likely surviveoriginal ↗
13 Jan 2009
Huge decline in mortgage yields and spreadsoriginal ↗
12 Jan 2009
The crisis is passing (5)original ↗
12 Jan 2009
Obama's fatal conceit (2)original ↗
11 Jan 2009
Ayn Rand deja vuoriginal ↗
10 Jan 2009
Jobs are a lagging indicator (2)original ↗
10 Jan 2009
Job losses were horrible, but jobs are a lagging indicatororiginal ↗
9 Jan 2009
Obama's fatal conceitoriginal ↗
8 Jan 2009
Fear and uncertainty are subsidingoriginal ↗
8 Jan 2009
Commodities are bouncingoriginal ↗
8 Jan 2009
Central banks race to zerooriginal ↗
8 Jan 2009
Unemployment claims drop 20%original ↗
8 Jan 2009
Today's selloff is not worrisomeoriginal ↗
7 Jan 2009
Swap spreads correctly forecast improvement in corporate bonds (2)original ↗
7 Jan 2009
The stimulus plan starts to stinkoriginal ↗
7 Jan 2009
Corporate layoffs aren't as bad as headlines suggestoriginal ↗
7 Jan 2009
The price of safety is falling -- excellent newsoriginal ↗
6 Jan 2009
Another thing almost back to normaloriginal ↗
6 Jan 2009
Volatile energy pricesoriginal ↗
6 Jan 2009
Auto sales have likely bottomedoriginal ↗
6 Jan 2009
Construction spending not collapsingoriginal ↗
5 Jan 2009
Emerging markets are bouncingoriginal ↗
5 Jan 2009
The potential for a panic rally (2)original ↗
5 Jan 2009
Obama's stimulus plan could be worse, but won't be very stimulativeoriginal ↗
5 Jan 2009
Plus ça change, plus c'est la même choseoriginal ↗
3 Jan 2009
No shortage of money (6)original ↗
2 Jan 2009
If manufacturing is so bad, why is the market up?original ↗
2 Jan 2009

2008

Predictions for 2009original ↗
31 Dec 2008
Swap spreads correctly forecast improvement in corporate bondsoriginal ↗
31 Dec 2008
Intrinsic value of goldoriginal ↗
31 Dec 2008
Logos after the crashoriginal ↗
30 Dec 2008
The potential for a panic rallyoriginal ↗
30 Dec 2008
Housing prices continue to fall (2)original ↗
30 Dec 2008
The crisis is passing (4)original ↗
30 Dec 2008
It's always darkest before dawn -- why a panic rally can't be ruled outoriginal ↗
29 Dec 2008
Calafia Beach morningoriginal ↗
29 Dec 2008
No household debt crisisoriginal ↗
29 Dec 2008
Another refinancing boomoriginal ↗
24 Dec 2008
The crisis is passing (3)original ↗
23 Dec 2008
The crisis is passing (2)original ↗
23 Dec 2008
Bonds beat stocks (3)original ↗
23 Dec 2008
Government spending is not stimulative (2)original ↗
22 Dec 2008
The crisis is passingoriginal ↗
22 Dec 2008
Bonds beat stocks (2)original ↗
19 Dec 2008
Bonds beat stocksoriginal ↗
19 Dec 2008
No shortage of money (5)original ↗
18 Dec 2008
High yield bonds rallyoriginal ↗
18 Dec 2008
Has the carry trade been unwound? (2) -- yesoriginal ↗
17 Dec 2008
The importance of innovationoriginal ↗
17 Dec 2008
The coming cash conundrum and the return of the carry tradeoriginal ↗
17 Dec 2008
Lots of things are getting better (2)original ↗
17 Dec 2008
Government spending is not stimulativeoriginal ↗
17 Dec 2008
Lots of things are getting betteroriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
Fed will do whatever it takesoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
Deflating the deflation talkoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
Fed funds rate is essentially irrelevantoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
CPI plunges -- good news for TIPSoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
Housing starts plunge -- good newsoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2008
Commodity price collapse may be endingoriginal ↗
15 Dec 2008
TED spread slowly shrinksoriginal ↗
15 Dec 2008
$1,000,000,000,000 of stimulus?original ↗
14 Dec 2008
Producer Price Inflation not deadoriginal ↗
12 Dec 2008
Mortgage rates are collapsing (2)original ↗
11 Dec 2008
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