41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b30188045d3d", "title": "Writings hosted elsewhere", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2025/01/25/writings-hosted-at-breakthrough/", "published_at": "2025-01-25T18:19:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b301883ff151", "title": "The Potential for Fuel Reduction to Offset Climate Warming Impacts on Wildfire Intensity in CA", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2025/01/25/the-potential-for-fuel-reduction-to-offset-climate-warming-impacts-on-wildfire-intensity-in-ca/", "published_at": "2025-01-25T16:00:16+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b30188496b7d", "title": "The Social Feedback Loop that Puts Blinders on Climate Science", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2024/01/07/the-social-feedback-loop-that-puts-blinders-on-climate-science/", "published_at": "2024-01-08T07:11:05+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b301886eb688", "title": "Correcting the Record Regarding My Essay in The Free Press", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2023/09/12/correcting-the-record-regarding-my-essay-in-the-free-press/", "published_at": "2023-09-12T20:16:36+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b30189511e11", "title": "The Not-so-Secret Formula for Publishing a High-Profile Climate Change Research Paper.", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2023/09/05/the-not-so-secret-formula-for-publishing-a-high-profile-climate-change-research-paper/", "published_at": "2023-09-05T10:48:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b30189662fa5", "title": "New Article highlighting a conceptual error in the peer-reviewed literature that leads to major exaggerations of the influence of climate change on extreme weather impacts", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2023/08/09/new-peer-reviewed-paper-highlighting-a-conceptual-error-in-the-peer-reviewed-literature-that-leads-to-major-exaggerations-of-the-influence-of-climate-change-on-extreme-weather-impacts/", "published_at": "2023-08-09T13:15:07+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b3018988d4f9", "title": "Overestimating the Human Influence on the Economic Costs of Extreme Weather Events", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2022/02/14/overestimating-the-human-influence-on-the-economic-costs-of-extreme-weather-events/", "published_at": "2022-02-14T13:49:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b30189be1be2", "title": "Meteorology and Climatology of Wind and Solar Droughts", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2021/09/28/meteorology-and-climatology-of-wind-and-solar-droughts/", "published_at": "2021-09-28T15:08:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b3018a846527", "title": "Claims in “How Climate Migration Will Reshape America” vs. observational data", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2020/10/03/claims-in-how-climate-migration-will-reshape-america-vs-data/", "published_at": "2020-10-04T01:02:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087bd-92c4-726f-a3d7-b3018afda301", "title": "Tipping Points in the Climate System", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2020/04/13/tipping-points-in-the-climate-system/", "published_at": "2020-04-13T14:36:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6c888fea", "title": "Seasonal Prediction of Particularly-Impactful Hot Days", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2020/01/03/seasonal-prediction-of-particularly-impactful-hot-days/", "published_at": "2020-01-03T19:50:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6d2343ea", "title": "Net Economic Impact of UN Global Warming Mitigation Targets", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/11/24/net-economic-impact-of-un-global-warming-mitigation-targets/", "published_at": "2019-11-24T20:33:18+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6db8ec7a", "title": "This video is a visual explanation of meteorological Skew-T, Log-P sounding diagrams (aka thermodynamic diagrams)", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/09/19/this-video-is-a-visual-explanation-of-meteorological-skew-t-log-p-sounding-diagrams-aka-thermodynamic-diagrams/", "published_at": "2019-09-20T01:33:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6e2462e6", "title": "Why is concern about global warming so politically polarized?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/07/17/why-is-concern-about-climate-change-so-politically-polarized/", "published_at": "2019-07-18T04:40:01+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6f113c27", "title": "Daily, Seasonal, Annual and Decadal Temperature Variability on a Single Graph", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/06/22/daily-seasonal-annual-and-decadal-temperature-variability-on-a-single-graph/", "published_at": "2019-06-22T16:14:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b6faefaa3", "title": "El Nino’s influence the upcoming season’s global land temperatures", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/05/21/el-ninos-influence-the-upcoming-seasons-global-land-temperatures/", "published_at": "2019-05-21T15:24:07+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b7027cac7", "title": "Does the IPCC say we have until 2030 to avoid catastrophic global warming?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2019/01/04/does-the-ipcc-say-we-have-until-2030-to-avoid-catastrophic-global-warming/", "published_at": "2019-01-04T17:07:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b70c65ced", "title": "California fires and Global Warming’s influence on lack of moisture", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/11/12/california-fires-and-global-warmings-influence-on-lack-of-moisture/", "published_at": "2018-11-12T20:45:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b716727b4", "title": "Revisiting a Claim of Reduced Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/10/31/revisiting-a-claim-of-reduced-climate-sensitivity-uncertainty/", "published_at": "2018-10-31T18:09:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdcc-3052-714f-ad1b-dd4b71d25b3e", "title": "Signal, Noise and Global Warming’s Influence on Weather", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/09/11/signal-noise-and-global-warmings-influence-on-weather/", "published_at": "2018-09-11T18:52:41+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954e922a29e", "title": "The leverage of the current moment on the long-term trajectory of the climate", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/09/01/the-leverage-of-the-current-moment-on-the-long-term-trajectory-of-the-climate/", "published_at": "2018-09-01T15:16:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954e9639e31", "title": "Contemporary Global Warming placed in geological context", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/08/19/contemporary-global-warming-placed-in-geological-context/", "published_at": "2018-08-20T05:33:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954e9db1299", "title": "Fundamental economics and the costs and benefits of addressing climate change", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/08/15/fundamental-economics-and-the-costs-and-benefits-of-addressing-climate-change/", "published_at": "2018-08-15T16:14:22+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954ead33db4", "title": "Combining Physical and Statistical Models in Order to Narrow Uncertainty in Projected Global Warming", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2018/01/19/combining-physical-and-statistical-models-in-order-to-narrow-uncertainty-in-projected-global-warming/", "published_at": "2018-01-19T14:35:42+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954eb975e42", "title": "AGU Talk on potential changes in temperature variability with warming", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/12/21/agu-talk-on-potential-changes-in-temperature-variability-with-warming/", "published_at": "2017-12-21T19:26:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954ebc9f2cd", "title": "Greater future global warming (still) inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/12/21/greater-future-global-warming-still-inferred-from-earths-recent-energy-budget/", "published_at": "2017-12-21T16:01:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954ebf13c09", "title": "Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/11/29/greater-future-global-warming-inferred-from-earths-recent-energy-budget/", "published_at": "2017-11-29T14:39:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954ecb17e6d", "title": "Reducing greenhouse gas emissions helps the economy", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/09/28/reducing-greenhouse-gas-emissions-helps-the-economy/", "published_at": "2017-09-28T15:04:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954ecdb2505", "title": "Math Models and Climate Change: S.T.E.M. Day talk at Quarry Lane School", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/09/23/math-models-and-climate-change-s-t-e-m-day-talk-at-quarry-lane-school/", "published_at": "2017-09-24T06:30:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd2-2326-709f-9e06-c954edafcceb", "title": "The effect of population growth on climate change impacts", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/09/15/the-effect-of-population-growth-on-climate-change-impacts/", "published_at": "2017-09-15T14:54:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffa9ed4f3e", "title": "Can humanity maintain perpetual economic growth?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/09/09/can-humanity-maintain-perpetual-economic-growth/", "published_at": "2017-09-10T05:43:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffaa66fe30", "title": "Change in temperature variability with warming", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/09/04/change-in-temperature-variability-with-warming/", "published_at": "2017-09-04T19:59:36+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffaad13c35", "title": "Credibility through honesty about uncertainty", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/08/01/credibility-through-honesty-about-uncertainty/", "published_at": "2017-08-01T23:38:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffaae1effe", "title": "The fact illusion: Objective truth is elusive in (climate) science", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/07/28/the-fact-illusion-objective-truth-is-elusive-in-climate-science/", "published_at": "2017-07-28T17:03:16+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffab4aeefa", "title": "Climate Science for People Really in a Hurry 2 – Economics", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/07/13/climate-science-for-people-really-in-a-hurry-2-economics/", "published_at": "2017-07-13T13:49:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffac2c4bf3", "title": "Modeled vs. observed global temperature: with and without ‘makeup’", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/07/10/modeled-vs-observed-global-temperature-with-and-without-makeup/", "published_at": "2017-07-10T17:58:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffac2cc1af", "title": "Defending science at the People’s Climate March", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/05/04/my-talk-at-the-peoples-climate-march/", "published_at": "2017-05-04T23:59:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49fface40684", "title": "Climate Science for People Really in a Hurry", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/05/02/climate-science-for-people-really-in-a-hurry/", "published_at": "2017-05-03T01:44:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffad84fd2e", "title": "2016 Update to our ’empirical unforced noise’ analysis", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/02/07/2016-update-to-our-empirical-unforced-noise-analysis/", "published_at": "2017-02-07T16:59:49+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdd5-c95a-72df-a8db-49ffae16dea0", "title": "Do ‘propagation of error’ calculations invalidate climate model projections of global warming?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/01/25/do-propagation-of-error-calculations-invalidate-climate-model-projections-of-global-warming/", "published_at": "2017-01-25T21:03:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caacf9c65c", "title": "2016 Global Temperature Update to Hansen’s 1981 Projection", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/01/18/2016-global-temperature-update-to-hansens-1981-projection/", "published_at": "2017-01-18T18:45:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caad53f1e2", "title": "2016 update of modeled vs. observed global temperature", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2017/01/18/2016-update-of-modelled-vs-observed-global-temperature/", "published_at": "2017-01-18T16:27:06+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caad79499f", "title": "Why do climate models disagree on the size of global temperature variability?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/12/05/why-do-climate-models-disagree-on-the-size-of-global-temperature-variability/", "published_at": "2016-12-05T03:38:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caae35b936", "title": "Video Summary of my PhD Dissertation", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/11/02/video-summary-of-my-phd-dissertation/", "published_at": "2016-11-02T16:01:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caaee53a4a", "title": "What do historical temperature records tell us about natural variability in global temperature?", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/08/30/what-do-historical-temperature-records-tell-us-about-natural-variability-in-global-temperature/", "published_at": "2016-08-30T12:51:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caaf3a9749", "title": "Cloud feedback necessary for a basin-scale AMO", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/04/11/cloud-feedback-necessary-for-the-amo-as-we-know-it/", "published_at": "2016-04-11T23:52:22+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6caafd38ad6", "title": "The stability of unforced global temperature – In plain english", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/02/05/the-stability-of-unforced-global-temperature-in-plain-english/", "published_at": "2016-02-05T12:57:15+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6cab09cb8ec", "title": "The stability of unforced global temperature – Technical Discussion", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/01/31/the-stability-of-unforced-global-temperature/", "published_at": "2016-01-31T01:50:06+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6cab109ee7e", "title": "2015 Record Warmth: Update to Our Recent Analysis", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/01/25/2015-record-warmth-and-empirical-unforced-noise-paper/", "published_at": "2016-01-25T18:27:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bdda-12e2-726f-819d-d6cab1f2c593", "title": "2015 Global Temperature vs. Models", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/01/20/2015-global-temperature-vs-models/", "published_at": "2016-01-20T01:51:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c4355ead", "title": "Heat waves: How much can be blamed on global warming depends on how you ask the question.", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2016/01/05/heat-waves-how-much-can-be-blamed-on-global-warming-depends-on-how-you-ask-the-question/", "published_at": "2016-01-05T19:27:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c502a744", "title": "AGU Poster: Unforced Surface Air Temperature Anomalies and their Opposite Relationship with the TOA Energy Imbalance at Local and Global Scales", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2015/12/30/agu-poster-unforced-surface-air-temperature-anomalies-and-their-opposite-relationship-with-the-toa-energy-imbalance-at-local-and-global-scales/", "published_at": "2015-12-30T14:40:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c50c04e3", "title": "Response to Robert Tracinski’s article: “What It Would Take to Prove Global Warming”", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2015/08/11/response-to-robert-tracinskis-article-what-it-would-take-to-prove-global-warming/", "published_at": "2015-08-11T21:10:01+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c586d3f8", "title": "Climate Model Primer", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2015/05/24/climate-model-primer/", "published_at": "2015-05-24T16:57:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c5b4cd27", "title": "Global Warming and unforced variability: Clarifications on our recent study", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2015/04/28/global-warming-and-unforced-variability-clarifications-on-our-recent-study/", "published_at": "2015-04-28T15:27:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c6aee6bb", "title": "Research highlighted in the media", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2015/01/26/climate-models-disagree-on-why-temperature-wiggles-occur/", "published_at": "2015-01-26T19:19:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c75ebe25", "title": "Top-of-atmosphere contribution to unforced variability in global temperature", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2014/07/23/top-of-atmosphere-contribution-to-unforced-variability-in-global-temperature/", "published_at": "2014-07-23T12:41:38+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c78e3a4e", "title": "Making a case vs. analyzing data in the climate change debate", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2014/03/29/making-a-case-vs-analyzing-data-in-the-climate-change-debate/", "published_at": "2014-03-29T18:10:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c87e6ee0", "title": "Probabilities of various records for the 2013 Wisconsin Badgers", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/08/27/probabilities-of-various-records-for-the-2013-wisconsin-badgers/", "published_at": "2013-08-27T14:03:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddd-1209-7153-905c-fab3c912e33b", "title": "Unforced Variability and the Global Warming Slow Down", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/07/10/unforced-variability-and-the-global-warming-slow-down/", "published_at": "2013-07-10T17:10:17+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd9274f0da9", "title": "The State of Climate Science 2010 (Part 3 of 3)", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/05/30/the-state-of-climate-science-2010-part-3-of-3/", "published_at": "2013-05-30T02:45:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd927543224", "title": "THE STATE OF CLIMATE SCIENCE 2010 (PART 2 OF 3)", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/05/30/the-state-of-climate-science-2010-part-2-of-3/", "published_at": "2013-05-30T02:43:49+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd927d619a4", "title": "The State of Climate Science 2010 (Part 1 of 3)", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/05/30/the-state-of-climate-science-2010-part-1-of-3/", "published_at": "2013-05-30T02:39:08+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd92842ee2c", "title": "Greenhouse Effect and the Earth’s Energy Budget", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/05/30/greenhouse-effect-and-the-earths-energy-budget/", "published_at": "2013-05-30T02:27:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd9287d8f47", "title": "Cumulative Connections Performance during the NCAA Tournament", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/04/09/cumulative-connections-performance-during-the-ncaa-tournament/", "published_at": "2013-04-09T23:54:37+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd9296c4672", "title": "Response to David Evans Opinion Piece on Climate Science", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/29/response-to-david-evans-opinion-piece-on-climate-science/", "published_at": "2013-03-29T19:36:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd929b6987a", "title": "Point Spread Calculation", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/28/point-spread-calculation/", "published_at": "2013-03-28T21:02:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd929d8b168", "title": "Cumulative Connections Ranking Takes Early Lead", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/21/cumulative-connections-ranking-takes-early-lead/", "published_at": "2013-03-21T07:33:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd92a713e97", "title": "Pre-tourney Cumulative Connections NCAA Basketball Rankings", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/20/pre-tourney-cumulative-connections-ncaa-basketball-rankings/", "published_at": "2013-03-20T01:36:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bddf-d18e-7175-8e7f-7fd92b4d6d30", "title": "College Basketball Cumulative Connections Ranking 3/4/2013", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/06/ranking-sports-teams-according-to-cumulative-connections/", "published_at": "2013-03-06T00:07:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde2-51c4-7228-aec8-d2a7198206ed", "title": "Data Contradicts Connection Between Earth’s Tilt and the Seasons", "url": "https://patricktbrown.org/2013/03/01/data-contradicts-connection-between-earths-tilt-and-the-seasons/", "published_at": "2013-03-01T17:54:23+00:00" } ] posts Claim your 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