corpus.blog
41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58941a39f64", "title": "Grow vs stay small for startup nonprofits", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2026/03/04/grow-vs-lean/", "published_at": "2026-03-04T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a5894284a1e9", "title": "For less capable people He wrote the Mahābhārata", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2026/03/03/bhagavad-gita/", "published_at": "2026-03-03T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58943120a24", "title": "When rich Americans fail", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2026/02/16/ills-of-the-rich/", "published_at": "2026-02-16T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58943b1ba42", "title": "Dear forecaster", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2025/07/07/dear-forecaster/", "published_at": "2025-07-07T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58943fcf208", "title": "Memo on the grain of truth problem", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/12/04/grain-of-truth-memo/", "published_at": "2024-12-04T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58944b9d51c", "title": "What is a dollar", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/12/01/what-is-a-dollar/", "published_at": "2024-12-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a5894557c6ad", "title": "The share of the surface of the earth in very urban areas is roughly ~0.3%", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/10/16/urban-share/", "published_at": "2024-10-16T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a589460887ad", "title": "What's the chance your startup will succeed?", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/09/10/chance-your-startup-will-succeed/", "published_at": "2024-09-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a589468791c6", "title": "No, the country of \"no taxation without representation\" doesn’t take a 30% tax on payments to foreigners", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/08/30/us-taxation/", "published_at": "2024-08-30T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a589468993de", "title": "Simple electoral college simulation", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/06/02/simple-electoral-college-simulation/", "published_at": "2024-06-02T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58946b2a4a5", "title": "Unflattering aspects of Effective Altruism", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/03/05/unflattering-aspects-of-ea/", "published_at": "2024-03-05T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a5894740d725", "title": "A Bayesian Nerd-Snipe", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/02/25/bayesian-nerd-snipe/", "published_at": "2024-02-25T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58947b8a322", "title": "Alternative Visions of Effective Altruism", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/12/27/alternative-visions-of-ea/", "published_at": "2023-12-27T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58948191d59", "title": "AI safety forecasting questions", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/12/06/long-list-ai-questions/", "published_at": "2023-12-06T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58948382f4b", "title": "Auftragstaktik", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/11/30/auftragstaktik/", "published_at": "2023-11-30T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58948ae888f", "title": "Hurdles of using forecasting as a tool for making sense of AI progress", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/11/07/hurdles-forecasting-ai/", "published_at": "2023-11-07T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1a-71c0-a045-a58948b85314", "title": "Brief thoughts on CEA's stewardship of the EA Forum", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/10/15/ea-forum-stewardship/", "published_at": "2023-10-15T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac11197a5c8", "title": "Count words in", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/09/15/wc/", "published_at": "2023-09-15T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac111bc93ab", "title": "Quick thoughts on Manifund's application to Open Philanthropy", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/09/05/manifund-open-philanthropy/", "published_at": "2023-09-05T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac111e7f684", "title": "Incorporate keeping track of accuracy into X (previously Twitter)", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/08/19/keep-track-of-accuracy-on-twitter/", "published_at": "2023-08-19T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac1121d279b", "title": "Webpages I am making available to my corner of the internet", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/08/14/software-i-am-hosting/", "published_at": "2023-08-14T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac1122fb7a2", "title": "squiggle.c", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/08/01/squiggle.c/", "published_at": "2023-08-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac112e752ee", "title": "Why are we not harder, better, faster, stronger?", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/07/19/better-harder-faster-stronger/", "published_at": "2023-07-19T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac1130f2c9a", "title": "Some melancholy about the value of my work depending on decisions by others beyond my control", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/07/13/melancholy/", "published_at": "2023-07-13T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac11339b2e8", "title": "Betting and consent", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/06/26/betting-consent/", "published_at": "2023-06-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac113cedb29", "title": "People's choices determine a partial ordering over people's desirability", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/06/17/ordering-romance/", "published_at": "2023-06-17T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac113f724de", "title": "Relative values for animal suffering and ACE Top Charities", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/05/29/relative-value-animals/", "published_at": "2023-05-29T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac11488274f", "title": "Updating in the face of anthropic effects is possible", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/05/11/updating-under-anthropic-effects/", "published_at": "2023-05-11T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac114a929fa", "title": "Review of Epoch's *Scaling transformative autoregressive models*", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/04/28/expert-review-epoch-direct-approach/", "published_at": "2023-04-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac1150d4866", "title": "A flaw in a simple version of worldview diversification", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/04/25/worldview-diversification/", "published_at": "2023-04-25T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac11552e9e2", "title": "A Soothing Frontend for the Effective Altruism Forum", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/04/18/forum-frontend/", "published_at": "2023-04-18T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087b3-fe1b-72b2-ad5c-dac1155dd5e7", "title": "General discussion thread", "url": "https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/04/08/general-discussion-april/", "published_at": "2023-04-08T00:00:00+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
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2026

Grow vs stay small for startup nonprofitsoriginal ↗
4 Mar 2026
For less capable people He wrote the Mahābhārataoriginal ↗
3 Mar 2026
When rich Americans failoriginal ↗
16 Feb 2026

2025

Dear forecasteroriginal ↗
7 Jul 2025

2024

Memo on the grain of truth problemoriginal ↗
4 Dec 2024
What is a dollaroriginal ↗
1 Dec 2024
The share of the surface of the earth in very urban areas is roughly ~0.3%original ↗
16 Oct 2024
What's the chance your startup will succeed?original ↗
10 Sept 2024
No, the country of "no taxation without representation" doesn’t take a 30% tax on payments to foreignersoriginal ↗
30 Aug 2024
Simple electoral college simulationoriginal ↗
2 Jun 2024
Unflattering aspects of Effective Altruismoriginal ↗
5 Mar 2024
A Bayesian Nerd-Snipeoriginal ↗
25 Feb 2024

2023

Alternative Visions of Effective Altruismoriginal ↗
27 Dec 2023
AI safety forecasting questionsoriginal ↗
6 Dec 2023
Auftragstaktikoriginal ↗
30 Nov 2023
Hurdles of using forecasting as a tool for making sense of AI progressoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2023
Brief thoughts on CEA's stewardship of the EA Forumoriginal ↗
15 Oct 2023
Count words inoriginal ↗
15 Sept 2023
Quick thoughts on Manifund's application to Open Philanthropyoriginal ↗
5 Sept 2023
Incorporate keeping track of accuracy into X (previously Twitter)original ↗
19 Aug 2023
Webpages I am making available to my corner of the internetoriginal ↗
14 Aug 2023
squiggle.coriginal ↗
1 Aug 2023
Why are we not harder, better, faster, stronger?original ↗
19 Jul 2023
Some melancholy about the value of my work depending on decisions by others beyond my controloriginal ↗
13 Jul 2023
Betting and consentoriginal ↗
26 Jun 2023
People's choices determine a partial ordering over people's desirabilityoriginal ↗
17 Jun 2023
Relative values for animal suffering and ACE Top Charitiesoriginal ↗
29 May 2023
Updating in the face of anthropic effects is possibleoriginal ↗
11 May 2023
Review of Epoch's *Scaling transformative autoregressive models*original ↗
28 Apr 2023
A flaw in a simple version of worldview diversificationoriginal ↗
25 Apr 2023
A Soothing Frontend for the Effective Altruism Forumoriginal ↗
18 Apr 2023
General discussion threadoriginal ↗
8 Apr 2023