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"https://numbernomics.com/the-feds-surprise/", "published_at": "2025-10-31T17:43:49+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde1-3801-7073-b472-154b608dea3f", "title": "2026 Economic Outlook Conference", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/51947-2/", "published_at": "2025-10-31T16:20:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-184163f5e2db", "title": "Solid Growth Without Jobs – How Can That Be?", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/solid-growth-without-jobs-how-can-that-be/", "published_at": "2025-10-24T16:54:09+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-184164f0b1f2", "title": "The Labor Market is not as Weak as it Appears", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/the-labor-market-is-not-as-weak-as-it-appears/", "published_at": "2025-10-17T17:25:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-184165a1f43f", "title": "Inflation is a Big Problem For Lower Income Families", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/inflation-is-a-big-problem-for-lower-income-families/", "published_at": "2025-10-10T17:51:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-184165fb45c1", "title": "Away This Week", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/away-this-week-6/", "published_at": "2025-10-03T13:23:44+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-18416610a12f", "title": "Away This Week", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/away-this-week-5/", "published_at": "2025-09-26T12:24:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-1841665510c7", "title": "On Track to Lower Rates – Regardless", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/on-track-to-lower-rates-regardless/", "published_at": "2025-09-19T16:14:33+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-184166780cfe", "title": "Confusion at the Fed, But Rate Cuts Coming", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/confusion-at-the-fed-but-rate-cuts-coming/", "published_at": "2025-09-12T15:26:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-1841672f9256", "title": "Employment Continues to Soften", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/employment-continues-to-soften/", "published_at": "2025-09-05T17:50:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-1841673e143f", "title": "Fed Policy Has Become Political", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/fed-policy-has-become-political/", "published_at": "2025-08-29T17:13:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde3-a416-73d0-acce-18416754a4b1", "title": "Despite Flaws, the Fed is Doing a Good Job", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/despite-flaws-the-fed-is-doing-a-good-job/", "published_at": "2025-08-22T17:36:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054be9b43b9d", "title": "All Data Can Get Revised. Welcome to the Real World", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/all-data-can-get-revised-welcome-to-the-real-world/", "published_at": "2025-08-15T17:55:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054bea510ed1", "title": "An Unlikely Stagflation Scenario", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/an-unlikely-stagflation-scenario/", "published_at": "2025-08-08T15:52:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054beb0e93ea", "title": "Employment Softens — Fewer Workers Available", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/employment-softens-fewer-workers-available/", "published_at": "2025-08-01T17:46:45+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054beb8880cd", "title": "The Potential for Change?", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/the-potential-for-change/", "published_at": "2025-07-25T16:26:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054bebdea5c3", "title": "Feeling Gloomy But Willing to Spend", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/feeling-gloomy-but-willing-to-spend/", "published_at": "2025-07-18T16:36:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054bec52744c", "title": "Housing Market Is Poised to Improve", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/housing-market-is-poised-to-improve/", "published_at": "2025-07-11T16:42:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054bec7efe81", "title": "Crosscurrents Galore", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/crosscurrents-galore/", "published_at": "2025-07-04T16:52:07+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054bec8bbfff", "title": "Consumer Spending Solid Despite May Drop", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/consumer-spending-solid-despite-may-drop/", "published_at": "2025-06-27T16:13:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0bde6-15f5-7107-9f10-054beca7459f", "title": "Predicting the Unpredictable", "url": "https://numbernomics.com/predicting-the-unpredictable/", "published_at": "2025-06-20T15:53:36+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog

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2026

Growth Accelerating, Not Overheating original ↗

25 Sept 2026

We Do Not Need “Forward Guidance”original ↗

18 Sept 2026

Housing Starts original ↗

17 Sept 2026

Homebuilder Confidence original ↗

16 Sept 2026

Retail Sales original ↗

16 Sept 2026

On The Way to a 2.0% Inflation Rate original ↗

11 Sept 2026

GDP, Inflation, and Interest Rate Forecasts original ↗

11 Sept 2026

Consumer Sentiment original ↗

11 Sept 2026

Producer Price Index original ↗

10 Sept 2026

Initial Unemployment Claims original ↗

10 Sept 2026

Employment Surges – Fed Poised to Raise Rates original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Payroll Employment original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Private Employment original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Unemployment Rate original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Nonfarm Workweek original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Average Hourly Earnings original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Average Duration of Unemployment original ↗

4 Sept 2026

Car and Truck Sales original ↗

3 Sept 2026

Long Rates Have Risen Sharply. The New Normal?original ↗

12 Aug 2026

Consumer Price Index original ↗

12 Aug 2026

Existing Home Sales original ↗

11 Aug 2026

Small Business Optimism original ↗

11 Aug 2026

Where Did All the Workers Go?original ↗

7 Aug 2026

Nonfarm Productivity original ↗

6 Aug 2026

Unit Labor Costs original ↗

6 Aug 2026

Hourly Compensation original ↗

6 Aug 2026

Purchasing Managers Index — Nonmanufacturing original ↗

5 Aug 2026

Job Openings original ↗

4 Aug 2026

Trade Deficit original ↗

4 Aug 2026

Construction Spending original ↗

3 Aug 2026

Purchasing Managers Index original ↗

3 Aug 2026

GDP Growth — Not as Soft as it Seems original ↗

31 Jul 2026

GDP original ↗

30 Jul 2026

Final Sales original ↗

30 Jul 2026

Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers original ↗

30 Jul 2026

Gross Domestic Purchases Deflator original ↗

30 Jul 2026

Personal Income and Consumption Expenditures — Monthly original ↗

30 Jul 2026

Consumer Confidence original ↗

28 Jul 2026

Case Shiller Index of Home Prices original ↗

28 Jul 2026

Durable Goods Orders original ↗

27 Jul 2026

New Home Sales original ↗

24 Jul 2026

Decision Time – What To Do?original ↗

22 Jul 2026

Housing – The Struggle Continues original ↗

17 Jul 2026

Industrial Production original ↗

17 Jul 2026

The Budget Deficit Remains Enormous (And Ignored)original ↗

10 Jul 2026

Trade Gap Widens, Second Quarter GDP Growth Softens original ↗

2 Jul 2026

Inflation Is Slowing – What Should the Fed Do?original ↗

26 Jun 2026

Personal Consumption Expenditures Deflator original ↗

25 Jun 2026

Corporate Profits original ↗

25 Jun 2026

The New Fed — Changes Coming original ↗

19 Jun 2026

Pending Home Sales original ↗

17 Jun 2026

Inflation — Not As Bad As You Think original ↗

12 Jun 2026

Hot, hot, hot!original ↗

5 Jun 2026

The War Takes Its Toll, but Relief Is in Sight original ↗

29 May 2026

A Change in Fed Leadership — A Change in Policy?original ↗

22 May 2026

Away This Week original ↗

1 May 2026

Something Is Still Not Right original ↗

24 Apr 2026

The End of the War original ↗

17 Apr 2026

The Rocky Road to Peace original ↗

10 Apr 2026

A Hint of Hope?original ↗

3 Apr 2026

ADP Employment original ↗

1 Apr 2026

Uncertainty Remains original ↗

27 Mar 2026

Away This Week original ↗

20 Mar 2026

It is All About Oil original ↗

13 Mar 2026

The War Can Change the Outlook. Will It?original ↗

6 Mar 2026

The Affordability Problem original ↗

27 Feb 2026

Government Shutdown Retards End of Year Growth original ↗

20 Feb 2026

Jobs Returning, GDP Humming original ↗

13 Feb 2026

Employment Cost Index original ↗

10 Feb 2026

Market Fears Rise original ↗

6 Feb 2026

Still Rolling original ↗

30 Jan 2026

Maintaining Momentum original ↗

16 Jan 2026

A Dream Cycle?original ↗

9 Jan 2026

2025

Despite Distortions, Inflation is Slowing original ↗

19 Dec 2025

The Fog is Beginning to Clear original ↗

12 Dec 2025

The Year Ahead – 2026 original ↗

5 Dec 2025

Are the Tariffs Working?original ↗

21 Nov 2025

The Dual Economy original ↗

14 Nov 2025

The Signs of Stress Are Mounting original ↗

7 Nov 2025

The Fed’s Surprise original ↗

31 Oct 2025

2026 Economic Outlook Conference original ↗

31 Oct 2025

Solid Growth Without Jobs – How Can That Be?original ↗

24 Oct 2025

The Labor Market is not as Weak as it Appears original ↗

17 Oct 2025

Inflation is a Big Problem For Lower Income Families original ↗

10 Oct 2025

Away This Week original ↗

3 Oct 2025

Away This Week original ↗

26 Sept 2025

On Track to Lower Rates – Regardless original ↗

19 Sept 2025

Confusion at the Fed, But Rate Cuts Coming original ↗

12 Sept 2025

Employment Continues to Soften original ↗

5 Sept 2025

Fed Policy Has Become Political original ↗

29 Aug 2025

Despite Flaws, the Fed is Doing a Good Job original ↗

22 Aug 2025

All Data Can Get Revised. Welcome to the Real World original ↗

15 Aug 2025

An Unlikely Stagflation Scenario original ↗

8 Aug 2025

Employment Softens — Fewer Workers Available original ↗

1 Aug 2025

The Potential for Change?original ↗

25 Jul 2025

Feeling Gloomy But Willing to Spend original ↗

18 Jul 2025

Housing Market Is Poised to Improve original ↗

11 Jul 2025

Crosscurrents Galore original ↗

4 Jul 2025

Consumer Spending Solid Despite May Drop original ↗

27 Jun 2025

Predicting the Unpredictable original ↗

20 Jun 2025