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41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a0bb95-415c-7114-a293-2b658c85165e", "title": "LLM Classification Is Feature Engineering", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/llm-classification-is-feature-extraction/", "published_at": "2026-09-13T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e13bb68ed", "title": "How Much Data Does a Win-Probability Model Need?", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/nfl-learning-curve/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e13bca390", "title": "Inside the Simulation Model", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/nfl-simulation-model/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e13eb0b66", "title": "Is It Any Good? Evaluating the Model", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/nfl-model-evaluation/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e14a60ded", "title": "Simulating NFL Win Probability", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/nfl-win-probability/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e15719cbc", "title": "Watermarking runif", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/watermarking-runif/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e164809a5", "title": "Win Probability from Fully Synthetic Data", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/nfl-synthetic-data/", "published_at": "2026-08-20T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1675a0c2", "title": "Pokemon Individual Recourse", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/pokemon-individual-recourse/", "published_at": "2026-08-15T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e171e664e", "title": "Assessing Distributions with SIMEX", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/simex-polymarket/", "published_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e177b065d", "title": "Permutation Feature Importance Doesn't Make Sense", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/feature-importance-doesnt-make-sense/", "published_at": "2026-07-12T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e183475a8", "title": "Neural Bradley Terry Models", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/neural-bradley-terry/", "published_at": "2026-07-02T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e18910337", "title": "Non-Transitive Bradley Terry Models", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/non-transitive-bradley-terry/", "published_at": "2026-06-17T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e196a2f85", "title": "Fun with Player Ratings", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/fun-with-player-ratings/", "published_at": "2026-06-12T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e19d0c3d7", "title": "LLM AB Tests", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/llm-ab-tests/", "published_at": "2026-05-19T07:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1a213a39", "title": "Solving Pipes Puzzles with Constraint Propagation", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/pipes/", "published_at": "2026-03-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1a4af1ec", "title": "Estimating Prevalence using Imperfect Classifiers", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/ppi/", "published_at": "2025-09-08T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1b1a8a63", "title": "Well-calibrated predictions are not enough", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/well-calibrated-predictions-are-not-enough/", "published_at": "2018-08-21T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1b590518", "title": "Diagnosing Bad Hypothesis Tests", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/diagnosing-bad-hypothesis-tests/", "published_at": "2017-06-18T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1c31cd97", "title": "The Fastest Poisson(1) in the West", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/fastest-poisson1-in-the-west/", "published_at": "2016-07-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1c3ef7c2", "title": "Correlation Chains", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/correlation-chains/", "published_at": "2016-05-22T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1d138de6", "title": "When high variance strategies win", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/when-high-variance-strategies-win/", "published_at": "2016-01-17T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1db32c1d", "title": "Reservoir Sampling", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/reservoir-sampling/", "published_at": "2015-08-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1e24082b", "title": "March Madness Prediction", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/march-madness-predictions/", "published_at": "2015-03-21T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a087a6-d696-715f-a0ec-df1e1f228abc", "title": "Data Splitting", "url": "https://minimallysufficient.com/posts/data-splitting/", "published_at": "2015-01-01T00:00:00+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
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minimallysufficient.com

minimallysufficient.com

2026

LLM Classification Is Feature Engineeringoriginal ↗
13 Sept 2026
How Much Data Does a Win-Probability Model Need?original ↗
20 Aug 2026
Inside the Simulation Modeloriginal ↗
20 Aug 2026
Is It Any Good? Evaluating the Modeloriginal ↗
20 Aug 2026
Simulating NFL Win Probabilityoriginal ↗
20 Aug 2026
Watermarking runiforiginal ↗
20 Aug 2026
Win Probability from Fully Synthetic Dataoriginal ↗
20 Aug 2026
Pokemon Individual Recourseoriginal ↗
15 Aug 2026
Assessing Distributions with SIMEXoriginal ↗
24 Jul 2026
Permutation Feature Importance Doesn't Make Senseoriginal ↗
12 Jul 2026
Neural Bradley Terry Modelsoriginal ↗
2 Jul 2026
Non-Transitive Bradley Terry Modelsoriginal ↗
17 Jun 2026
Fun with Player Ratingsoriginal ↗
12 Jun 2026
LLM AB Testsoriginal ↗
19 May 2026
Solving Pipes Puzzles with Constraint Propagationoriginal ↗
26 Mar 2026

2025

Estimating Prevalence using Imperfect Classifiersoriginal ↗
8 Sept 2025

2018

Well-calibrated predictions are not enoughoriginal ↗
21 Aug 2018

2017

Diagnosing Bad Hypothesis Testsoriginal ↗
18 Jun 2017

2016

The Fastest Poisson(1) in the Westoriginal ↗
28 Jul 2016
Correlation Chainsoriginal ↗
22 May 2016
When high variance strategies winoriginal ↗
17 Jan 2016

2015

Reservoir Samplingoriginal ↗
1 Aug 2015
March Madness Predictionoriginal ↗
21 Mar 2015
Data Splittingoriginal ↗
1 Jan 2015