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2024

From Merchants to Quants: The Digital Revolution in Retail*original ↗
6 Apr 2024
What I said about the inflation outlook a year ago and what actually happenedoriginal ↗
30 Mar 2024
An Inflation Pressure Index for the US economyoriginal ↗
25 Feb 2024
We feared it would be a return to the 70s, but it might be the return of the booming 90soriginal ↗
3 Feb 2024
Unleashing the Creative Spark: AI, Entrepreneurs, and the Future of Contentoriginal ↗
21 Jan 2024
Did Jay Powell just deliver a near-perfect soft landing? Get the surprising answer from a new weekly NGDP indicator.original ↗
19 Jan 2024
Why Soaring Rates Have Failed to Kill US Growthoriginal ↗
19 Jan 2024

2023

2024: The Productivity Boom is Comingoriginal ↗
29 Dec 2023
China’s New Economic Narrative: No Room for Pessimismoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2023
AI-Powered Insights into Monetary Policy: Unraveling the Fed’s Latest Movesoriginal ↗
15 Dec 2023
Estimating and Evaluating a Fed Policy Rule with ChatGPToriginal ↗
3 Dec 2023
Where is inflation going?original ↗
2 Dec 2023
New book: “The Free Enterprise Welfare State: A History of Denmark’s Unique Economic Model”original ↗
19 Nov 2023
Are interest rates moving up or down? – a long-term vieworiginal ↗
8 Aug 2023
This is why inflation is ALWAYS and EVERYWHERE a monetary phenomenonoriginal ↗
24 Jul 2023
From excessively easy to excessive tight US monetary policyoriginal ↗
29 Mar 2023
Re-visited: Firefighter Arsonists – the myth of the central bankers as ‘good’ crisis managersoriginal ↗
21 Mar 2023
US monetary policy has become too TIGHT – the Fed risks significantly UNDERSHOOTING it’s 2% inflation targetoriginal ↗
20 Mar 2023
ChatGPT, Python, FRED and some NGDP gapsoriginal ↗
20 Feb 2023
Re-visiting R*: Close to the end of the hiking cycle for the Fedoriginal ↗
30 Jan 2023
US inflation set to fall sharply in the coming quartersoriginal ↗
25 Jan 2023

2022

Recession or not? Answering a question the Fed should not care aboutoriginal ↗
30 Jul 2022
Milton Friedman commented on Powell’s Fed in 1978original ↗
27 Jul 2022
Carl Bildt is puzzled – he should read an economics textbookoriginal ↗
9 Jul 2022
US domestic spending – a closer look at the 2021-22 dataoriginal ↗
2 Jul 2022
A simple model for inflation that Jerome Powell should understandoriginal ↗
29 Jun 2022
Interview with RIAInteloriginal ↗
9 May 2022
Hetzel on “Learning from the Pandemic Monetary Policy Experiment”original ↗
29 Apr 2022
The Fed is still way behind the curve – what an “implied NGDP level target” is telling usoriginal ↗
8 Apr 2022
The ruble has appreciated exactly BECAUSE the sanctions are workingoriginal ↗
3 Apr 2022
Ukrainian default risk drops BELOW Russian default riskoriginal ↗
29 Mar 2022
Russia: From crony capitalism to planned economy in three weeksoriginal ↗
15 Mar 2022
New Paper: Digital cash, the conduct of monetary policy and the monetary transmission mechanismoriginal ↗
3 Mar 2022
New paper: The financial sector, welfare gains and regulaton – A Danish Perspectiveoriginal ↗
3 Mar 2022

2021

Paper: Financial regulation, demand for ‘safe assets’, and monetary conditionsoriginal ↗
12 Oct 2021
10 years of Market Monetarist thinkingoriginal ↗
13 Sept 2021
The Fed’s Average Inflation Target (AIT) will soon tell the Fed to aim for DEFLATIONoriginal ↗
13 Jul 2021
Steve Horwitz, Mensch, economist and classical liberal scholar. A last farewell.original ↗
27 Jun 2021
Webinar: Too much money chasing too few goodsoriginal ↗
3 Jun 2021
Heading for double-digit US inflationoriginal ↗
29 Apr 2021
Post-Covid Recovery – fast, but inflationaryoriginal ↗
23 Apr 2021
R* strikes back: The Fed will hike sooner rather than lateroriginal ↗
26 Feb 2021
A model for US bond yields – the Twitter versionoriginal ↗
21 Jan 2021
Tweeting on Central Bank Digital Cashoriginal ↗
1 Jan 2021

2020

The clash of two Chicago school ideasoriginal ↗
11 Dec 2020
Covid-policies should focus on ‘health fundamentals’original ↗
2 Dec 2020
Recovery and inflation scenarios in the USA for 2021original ↗
1 Dec 2020
Swedish mortality in 2020 – It’s a lot better than you might thinkoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2020
The Czechs and the Swedes – the tale of two Covid-strategiesoriginal ↗
17 Oct 2020
ONE factor explains most of the differences in Covid19 deaths across US statesoriginal ↗
22 Sept 2020
The Fed just de facto increased its inflation target to 2.5%original ↗
27 Aug 2020
Presentation: Getting practical about data and analytics in basketballoriginal ↗
13 Aug 2020
Presentation: Will the Covid-19 crisis be inflationary?original ↗
11 Aug 2020
The shortest recession ever – unemployment will be below 6% in Novemberoriginal ↗
5 Jun 2020
Why have epidemiological forecasts been so wrong and what to do about itoriginal ↗
19 May 2020
Presentation on the US economy and markets (in Danish)original ↗
12 May 2020
When Americans vote in November unemployment will be below 6%original ↗
10 May 2020
The Corona Crisis – a Scandinavian perspective.original ↗
28 Apr 2020
ONE factor explains most of the differences in Covid19 deaths across countriesoriginal ↗
20 Apr 2020
All set for a fast recovery after the ‘Great Lockdown’original ↗
18 Apr 2020
A talk with the Icelandic Minister of Finance on the corona crisisoriginal ↗
6 Apr 2020
Well done! Decisive actions from global central banksoriginal ↗
15 Mar 2020
A (Keynesian-Monetarist) proposal to shock the euro zone out of the crisisoriginal ↗
4 Mar 2020
Robert Hetzel on the monetary response to Covid19original ↗
3 Mar 2020
The monetary response to the ‘corona shock’ is (hopefully) underwayoriginal ↗
2 Mar 2020
The statement the Federal Reserve should publish ASAPoriginal ↗
28 Feb 2020
The scary risk that central banks will turn the ‘corona shock’ into a global recessionoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2020
Quants should pay a lot more attention to monetary matters – a tale of two Chicago traditionsoriginal ↗
17 Jan 2020

2019

Revisiting the P-star modeloriginal ↗
20 Dec 2019
The McCallum rule is back – and so am Ioriginal ↗
8 Dec 2019

2017

MTB Cast #3: Inflation worries hitting the markets?original ↗
22 Mar 2017
Reflections on the Fed hikeoriginal ↗
16 Mar 2017
FOMC preview – please hike, but be careful going forwardoriginal ↗
15 Mar 2017
MTB cast #2: Icelandic currency controls, the Fed and European central bankersoriginal ↗
14 Mar 2017
MTB cast #1: Czech inflation to rise above 3%original ↗
9 Mar 2017
Another look at our Global Monetary Conditions Monitor – the case of Hungaryoriginal ↗
28 Feb 2017
Our Global Monetary Conditions Monitor – what we write about Bank of Israeloriginal ↗
27 Feb 2017
Did you book your speaker? Book meoriginal ↗
22 Feb 2017
The economic suffering of the Greek people is horrendous and it has to stop – interview on TRT Worldoriginal ↗
21 Feb 2017
Greece’s continued sufferingoriginal ↗
10 Feb 2017
Decision time for the Russian central bank: To cut or not tooriginal ↗
3 Feb 2017
When will Trump accuse Denmark of being a ‘currency manipulator’?original ↗
31 Jan 2017
If anything the Bank of Canada should ease monetary conditionsoriginal ↗
17 Jan 2017
We are launching a Youtube channeloriginal ↗
15 Jan 2017
Looking forward to 2017 – plans for M&M Advisoryoriginal ↗
1 Jan 2017

2016

The end of the Trump rally?original ↗
6 Dec 2016
John Allison just endorsed NGDP targetingoriginal ↗
29 Nov 2016
Themes and Scenario for 2017original ↗
29 Nov 2016
Stephen Bannon – Nationalist Keynesianoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2016
The Trump-Yellen policy mix is the perfect excuse for Trump’s protectionismoriginal ↗
18 Nov 2016
We miss you Uncle Miltyoriginal ↗
16 Nov 2016
Lessons for today: The conflict between Reagan and Volckeroriginal ↗
15 Nov 2016
Donald Trump will replace Janet Yellen with a DOVE in 2018original ↗
14 Nov 2016
“Make America Keynesian Again” part 2original ↗
10 Nov 2016
“Make America Keynesian Again”original ↗
9 Nov 2016
Belongia and Ireland on the Fed’s Romanace with the Phillips curveoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2016
Egypt floats the pound – now it is time to implement a rule-based monetary policy frameworkoriginal ↗
3 Nov 2016
Swedish monetary conditions are becoming too easyoriginal ↗
1 Nov 2016
Venezuela can’t defy gravityoriginal ↗
25 Oct 2016
It’s time to rediscover ECB’s reference value for M3 growthoriginal ↗
23 Oct 2016
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