corpus.blog
56,966 blogs · [ { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628bc69d02", "title": "New Publication: Time-smoothed counterfactual curves in Lifetime Data Analysis", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/counterfactual-curves-lida/", "published_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628bfd139e", "title": "Presentation: Non-overlap bounds at ACIC 2026", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/acic-2026/", "published_at": "2026-05-14T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628c1b2015", "title": "New Publication: Causal Distributional Random Forests in AISTATS", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/causal-drf/", "published_at": "2026-05-02T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628c94ef73", "title": "New Publication: Penalized estimation for causal parameters in The Annals of Applied Statistics", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/penalized-causal-parameters-aoas/", "published_at": "2026-03-21T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628d6a0096", "title": "New Preprint: Causal inference for sports player evaluation", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/counterfactual-combine/", "published_at": "2026-02-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628dbece5c", "title": "Presentation: Non-overlap bounds at the Online Causal Inference Seminar", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/ocis-2026/", "published_at": "2026-02-03T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628dd73254", "title": "New Publication: Refugee/asylum seeker population projections in Demography", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/refugees-demography/", "published_at": "2025-12-05T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628e5dd323", "title": "Presentation: Migration projections at the Wittgenstein Center Conference, Vienna", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/wittgenstein-2025/", "published_at": "2025-11-20T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628f42bc5c", "title": "Invited talk: Longitudinal Causal Inference at the Center for Advanced Studies, LMU Munich", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/lmu-2025/", "published_at": "2025-11-12T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628f9ce63d", "title": "Invited talk: Non-overlap bounds at UMass Amherst", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/umass-2025/", "published_at": "2025-10-30T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41628fd1b1ff", "title": "Invited talk: Emerging Leaders in Research Lecture Series at the Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/dph-2025/", "published_at": "2025-10-22T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-4162907022f5", "title": "New Publication: Targeted Provider Profiling in JRSS-A", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/targeted-provider-profiling-jrss-a/", "published_at": "2025-10-09T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629077eed4", "title": "New Preprint: Time-smoothed counterfactual curves", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/counterfactual-curves/", "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416290c65262", "title": "New Preprint: Non-overlap Average Treatment Effect Bounds", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/non-overlap-bounds/", "published_at": "2025-09-25T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-4162910d102a", "title": "New Publication: Treatment Effect Bounds under Left-censoring in Journal of Applied Statistics: Environmental Statistics and Data Science", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/left-censoring/", "published_at": "2025-09-03T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629182d135", "title": "Historical notes on semi-parametric theory and estimation", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2025/08/29/semi-parametric-history/", "published_at": "2025-08-29T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629205ffa3", "title": "Invited Talk: Generalized ATTs at JSM 2025", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/jsm-2025/", "published_at": "2025-08-07T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416292f3a5a1", "title": "New Publication: Quantile Super Learner in CSDA", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/quantile-super-learner/", "published_at": "2025-05-13T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416293e5babc", "title": "New Preprint: Penalized Shrinkage Estimation for Causal Parameters", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/penalized-causal-parameters/", "published_at": "2025-05-12T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-4162949a9f5d", "title": "New Publication: B-splines Transition Models in JRSS-C", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/splines-jrss-c/", "published_at": "2025-04-14T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416294a17d9d", "title": "Presentations at PAA 2025", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/paa-2025/", "published_at": "2025-04-13T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416294b3049e", "title": "Invited Talk: Generalized ATTs at ENAR 2025", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/enar-2025/", "published_at": "2025-03-25T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-4162957c23c3", "title": "New Publication: Probabilistic Predictions of Emergency Department Arrivals", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/emergency-predictions/", "published_at": "2024-12-09T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629652a3ef", "title": "New Preprints: Family Planning Estimation Model and Shrinkage Data Models", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/family-planning-preprints/", "published_at": "2024-11-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416296e6053e", "title": "New Preprint: Causal Distributional Random Forests", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/2024-11-14-causal-drf/", "published_at": "2024-11-14T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416297b2c80b", "title": "Resources for Learning Semi-parametric Theory", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2024/11/05/resources-for-learning-semi-parametric-theory/", "published_at": "2024-11-05T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-4162982f85cf", "title": "New Preprint: Flexibly Modeling Shocks in Demographic and Health Indicators", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/flexibly-modeling-shocks/", "published_at": "2024-10-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-416298d67a5a", "title": "New Preprint: Targeted Provider Profiling", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/targeted-provider-profiling/", "published_at": "2024-10-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629991a884", "title": "Updated Preprint: Longitudinal Average Treatment Effects on the Treated", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/longitudinal-average-treatment-effects-on-the-treated/", "published_at": "2024-10-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae4f-7060-b633-41629a5a6a35", "title": "New Publication: Adaptive Conformal Inference in COMPUTO", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/computo-aci/", "published_at": "2024-08-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7dd5f2ed", "title": "Invited Talk: Bayesian Targeted Learning at ISBA 2024", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/news/isba-2024-bayesian-targeted-learning/", "published_at": "2024-07-08T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7e89a5dc", "title": "Setting up simple simulation studies in R", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2024/06/13/setting-up-simple-simulation-studies-in-r/", "published_at": "2024-06-13T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7ec5dac0", "title": "Derivative Gaussian Processes in Stan", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2020/12/11/derivative-gaussian-processes-in-stan/", "published_at": "2020-12-11T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7f03fc93", "title": "Conditioning on Gaussian Process Derivative Observations", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2020/12/01/conditioning-on-gaussian-process-derivative-observations/", "published_at": "2020-12-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7f7e5845", "title": "How Many Words Do You Need to Know to Watch Friends?", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2020/08/04/friends/", "published_at": "2020-08-04T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7f9a7da6", "title": "Derivatives of a Gaussian Process", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2020/07/06/gaussian-process-derivatives/", "published_at": "2020-07-06T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d7fda81a6", "title": "Firearm Background Check Timeseries Modeling", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2020/02/01/firearm-background-check-timeseries-modeling/", "published_at": "2020-02-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d807c456e", "title": "Presidential Primary Polling Analysis in Stan", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2019/08/10/presidential-primary-polling-analysis-in-stan/", "published_at": "2019-08-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d8111d279", "title": "Autoregressive Processes are Gaussian Processes", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2019/08/09/autoregressive-processes-are-gaussian-processes/", "published_at": "2019-08-09T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d81805d5f", "title": "Using R formulas to pass data to Stan", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2019/07/22/r-formulas-stan/", "published_at": "2019-07-22T18:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d82036001", "title": "Smartphone interface for reporting research results to study participants", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2019/04/08/smartphone-interface-for-reporting-research-results-to-study-participants/", "published_at": "2019-04-08T18:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d82e256a7", "title": "What Poisons Are in Your Body? - Nick Kristof", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2018/02/25/what-poisons-are-in-your-body-nick-kristof/", "published_at": "2018-02-25T18:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d838abda7", "title": "They're all good dogs", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2018/02/04/theyre-all-good-dogs/", "published_at": "2018-02-04T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d838af5d3", "title": "Fastest way to see 17 Boston breweries (and one cider house)", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2017/10/09/fastest-way-to-see-17-boston-breweries-and-one-cider-house/", "published_at": "2017-10-09T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d845115ed", "title": "Bananagrams Probabilities", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2017/07/30/bananagrams-probabilities/", "published_at": "2017-07-31T02:13:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d849a16d5", "title": "Build a Crystal Radio", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2016/11/28/build-a-crystal-radio/", "published_at": "2016-11-28T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d84e772b0", "title": "Raytracing in Bash", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/2014/04/04/raytracing-in-bash/", "published_at": "2014-04-05T02:13:14+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d85776814", "title": "About", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/about/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d860db2da", "title": "Curve Fitting with B-Splines", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/b-splines/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d86111c8f", "title": "Dirichlet Distribution", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/dirichlet-distribution/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d86678327", "title": "Gaussian Process Playground", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/gaussian-process-playground/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d86df2c1c", "title": "Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlo", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/hamiltonian-monte-carlo/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d876175fe", "title": "One-step Estimators and Pathwise Derivatives", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/one-step-estimators/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d88162cae", "title": "Research", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/research/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d8847955e", "title": "Sampling from Multi-Modal Densities", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/multimodal-densities/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d88b464ce", "title": "Software", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/software/", "published_at": null }, { "id": "01a08782-ae50-7195-9a2a-c77d898ff9ba", "title": "Yes Yes No: Collider Bias", "url": "http://herbsusmann.com/notebooks/collider-bias/", "published_at": null } ] posts Claim your blog
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herbsusmann.com

2026

New Publication: Time-smoothed counterfactual curves in Lifetime Data Analysisoriginal ↗
18 Aug 2026
Presentation: Non-overlap bounds at ACIC 2026original ↗
14 May 2026
New Publication: Causal Distributional Random Forests in AISTATSoriginal ↗
2 May 2026
New Publication: Penalized estimation for causal parameters in The Annals of Applied Statisticsoriginal ↗
21 Mar 2026
New Preprint: Causal inference for sports player evaluationoriginal ↗
26 Feb 2026
Presentation: Non-overlap bounds at the Online Causal Inference Seminaroriginal ↗
3 Feb 2026

2025

New Publication: Refugee/asylum seeker population projections in Demographyoriginal ↗
5 Dec 2025
Presentation: Migration projections at the Wittgenstein Center Conference, Viennaoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2025
Invited talk: Longitudinal Causal Inference at the Center for Advanced Studies, LMU Munichoriginal ↗
12 Nov 2025
Invited talk: Non-overlap bounds at UMass Amherstoriginal ↗
30 Oct 2025
Invited talk: Emerging Leaders in Research Lecture Series at the Department of Population Health, NYU Grossmanoriginal ↗
22 Oct 2025
New Publication: Targeted Provider Profiling in JRSS-Aoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2025
New Preprint: Time-smoothed counterfactual curvesoriginal ↗
1 Oct 2025
New Preprint: Non-overlap Average Treatment Effect Boundsoriginal ↗
25 Sept 2025
New Publication: Treatment Effect Bounds under Left-censoring in Journal of Applied Statistics: Environmental Statistics and Data Scienceoriginal ↗
3 Sept 2025
Historical notes on semi-parametric theory and estimationoriginal ↗
29 Aug 2025
Invited Talk: Generalized ATTs at JSM 2025original ↗
7 Aug 2025
New Publication: Quantile Super Learner in CSDAoriginal ↗
13 May 2025
New Preprint: Penalized Shrinkage Estimation for Causal Parametersoriginal ↗
12 May 2025
New Publication: B-splines Transition Models in JRSS-Coriginal ↗
14 Apr 2025
Presentations at PAA 2025original ↗
13 Apr 2025
Invited Talk: Generalized ATTs at ENAR 2025original ↗
25 Mar 2025

2024

New Publication: Probabilistic Predictions of Emergency Department Arrivalsoriginal ↗
9 Dec 2024
New Preprints: Family Planning Estimation Model and Shrinkage Data Modelsoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2024
New Preprint: Causal Distributional Random Forestsoriginal ↗
14 Nov 2024
Resources for Learning Semi-parametric Theoryoriginal ↗
5 Nov 2024
New Preprint: Flexibly Modeling Shocks in Demographic and Health Indicatorsoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2024
New Preprint: Targeted Provider Profilingoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2024
Updated Preprint: Longitudinal Average Treatment Effects on the Treatedoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2024
New Publication: Adaptive Conformal Inference in COMPUTOoriginal ↗
26 Aug 2024
Invited Talk: Bayesian Targeted Learning at ISBA 2024original ↗
8 Jul 2024
Setting up simple simulation studies in Roriginal ↗
13 Jun 2024

2020

Derivative Gaussian Processes in Stanoriginal ↗
11 Dec 2020
Conditioning on Gaussian Process Derivative Observationsoriginal ↗
1 Dec 2020
How Many Words Do You Need to Know to Watch Friends?original ↗
4 Aug 2020
Derivatives of a Gaussian Processoriginal ↗
6 Jul 2020
Firearm Background Check Timeseries Modelingoriginal ↗
1 Feb 2020

2019

Presidential Primary Polling Analysis in Stanoriginal ↗
10 Aug 2019
Autoregressive Processes are Gaussian Processesoriginal ↗
9 Aug 2019
Using R formulas to pass data to Stanoriginal ↗
22 Jul 2019
Smartphone interface for reporting research results to study participantsoriginal ↗
8 Apr 2019

2018

What Poisons Are in Your Body? - Nick Kristoforiginal ↗
25 Feb 2018
They're all good dogsoriginal ↗
4 Feb 2018

2017

Fastest way to see 17 Boston breweries (and one cider house)original ↗
9 Oct 2017
Bananagrams Probabilitiesoriginal ↗
31 Jul 2017

2016

Build a Crystal Radiooriginal ↗
28 Nov 2016

2014

Raytracing in Bashoriginal ↗
5 Apr 2014

Undated

Aboutoriginal ↗
—
Curve Fitting with B-Splinesoriginal ↗
—
Dirichlet Distributionoriginal ↗
—
Gaussian Process Playgroundoriginal ↗
—
Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlooriginal ↗
—
One-step Estimators and Pathwise Derivativesoriginal ↗
—
Researchoriginal ↗
—
Sampling from Multi-Modal Densitiesoriginal ↗
—
Softwareoriginal ↗
—
Yes Yes No: Collider Biasoriginal ↗
—