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"2023-11-16T17:16:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190da88b08e", "title": "Disentangling Our Terminal and Instrumental Values", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/10/13/disentangling-our-terminal-and-instrumental-values/", "published_at": "2023-10-14T02:08:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190db58d03f", "title": "Provably Safe AI", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/10/05/provably-safe-ai/", "published_at": "2023-10-05T22:08:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190dc33731e", "title": "The Coming Wave", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/09/28/the-coming-wave/", "published_at": "2023-09-28T21:07:50+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190dc9c6dd2", "title": "Require AGI to be Explainable", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/09/20/require-agi-to-be-explainable/", "published_at": "2023-09-21T02:52:48+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190dd8460be", "title": "Outlive", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/09/13/outlive/", "published_at": "2023-09-14T04:05:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190de4d0c5a", "title": "Will an Overconfident AGI Mistakenly Expect to Conquer the World?", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/08/25/will-an-overconfident-agi-mistakenly-expect-to-conquer-the-world/", "published_at": "2023-08-25T23:12:45+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190dea67b4c", "title": "Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/07/17/existential-risk-persuasion-tournament/", "published_at": "2023-07-17T16:32:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190df3a8c98", "title": "Foom Liability", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/06/29/foom-liability/", "published_at": "2023-06-29T22:48:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190dff0dde7", "title": "Two Approaches to Lowering Cholesterol", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/06/20/two-approaches-to-lowering-cholesterol/", "published_at": "2023-06-21T02:50:56+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e482-26fe-70aa-a183-9190e0e4390d", "title": "How the World Became Rich", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/06/14/how-the-world-became-rich/", "published_at": "2023-06-15T01:24:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b5546c36a35", "title": "How to Slow AI Development", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/06/06/how-to-slow-ai-development/", "published_at": "2023-06-06T23:20:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b5546ec83e5", "title": "Four Battlegrounds", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/05/21/four-battlegrounds/", "published_at": "2023-05-21T20:08:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b55472f5efb", "title": "OpenAI’s GPT-4 Safety Goals", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/22/openais-gpt-4-safety-goals/", "published_at": "2023-04-22T17:02:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b5547f082ee", "title": "On Caring about our AI Progeny", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/14/on-caring-about-our-ai-progeny/", "published_at": "2023-04-14T17:04:32+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b55482523a8", "title": "Pause AI Development?", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/04/05/pause-ai-development/", "published_at": "2023-04-06T03:40:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b554885255d", "title": "Bank Failures", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/03/12/bank-failures/", "published_at": "2023-03-12T23:59:22+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b5548cea412", "title": "5 Year Predictions", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/02/24/5-year-predictions/", "published_at": "2023-02-25T04:09:12+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b554948c8e0", "title": "How Social Science Got Better", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/02/14/how-social-science-got-better/", "published_at": "2023-02-15T05:32:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b5549ea8674", "title": "Review of AI Alignment Progress", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/02/06/review-of-ai-alignment-progress/", "published_at": "2023-02-07T05:28:39+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e491-7610-726b-8f48-9b554abf2229", "title": "Evidence under Adversarial Conditions", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/01/08/evidence-under-adversarial-conditions/", "published_at": "2023-01-09T04:05:59+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da1384de9", "title": "Investing for a World Transformed by AI", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/12/30/investing-for-a-world-transformed-by-ai/", "published_at": "2022-12-31T03:20:44+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da17a8b75", "title": "BioVie", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/12/21/biovie/", "published_at": "2022-12-22T03:35:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da1ef294f", "title": "Investing Amid Low Expected Returns", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/12/07/investing-amid-low-expected-returns/", "published_at": "2022-12-08T02:44:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da26c9251", "title": "Review: LOVE in a simbox", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/11/26/review-love-in-a-simbox/", "published_at": "2022-11-27T05:02:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da2e8c8bc", "title": "Cold War II", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/10/13/cold-war-ii/", "published_at": "2022-10-14T03:54:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da333874c", "title": "Blood Tests", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/09/27/blood-tests/", "published_at": "2022-09-28T01:38:35+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da34d4f6f", "title": "What We Owe the Future", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/09/23/what-we-owe-the-future/", "published_at": "2022-09-24T03:39:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da36ad873", "title": "True Age", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/09/10/true-age/", "published_at": "2022-09-11T00:22:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da385f53c", "title": "Drexler’s Nanotech Forecast", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/07/29/drexlers-nanotech-forecast/", "published_at": "2022-07-29T19:56:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0e4a3-f386-72e2-af74-940da43d2524", "title": "The Manhattan Project", "url": "https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2022/07/20/the-manhattan-project/", "published_at": "2022-07-20T18:31:28+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog

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2026

A Selfish Case for AI Welfare original ↗

22 Sept 2026

AI Regulatory Capture original ↗

16 Sept 2026

Donations original ↗

15 Sept 2026

Rising Interest Rates original ↗

25 Aug 2026

Plan A, by AI-2040 original ↗

26 Jul 2026

Compute Tax original ↗

19 Jul 2026

Weak Links and Limits to Economic Growth original ↗

10 Jul 2026

The God Test original ↗

5 Jul 2026

Should You Honor an AI’s Picket Line?original ↗

25 Jun 2026

Financial Costs of an AI Pause?original ↗

31 May 2026

Progress Toward an AI Stock Bubble original ↗

14 May 2026

The Infinity Machine original ↗

29 Apr 2026

FRI’s Forecast of AI Impacts original ↗

6 Apr 2026

War Claude original ↗

2 Mar 2026

Claude’s Constitution original ↗

12 Feb 2026

Defending the Rule of Law original ↗

26 Jan 2026

Corrigibility Scales To Value Alignment original ↗

14 Jan 2026

The Thinking Machine original ↗

4 Jan 2026

2025

Safety Net When AIs Take Our Jobs original ↗

31 Dec 2025

What’s the Current Stock Market Bubble?original ↗

21 Dec 2025

Beating China to ASI original ↗

3 Dec 2025

Red Heart original ↗

3 Nov 2025

Food Tidbits 2 original ↗

28 Oct 2025

IABIED: Paradigm Confusion and Overconfidence original ↗

8 Oct 2025

If Anyone Builds It original ↗

26 Sept 2025

Comments on MIRI’s The Problem original ↗

6 Sept 2025

A Business Model for AI original ↗

28 Aug 2025

AI Near-Term Productivity Increases original ↗

21 Aug 2025

The Death of Cancer original ↗

1 Aug 2025

Future-Generation Government original ↗

21 Jul 2025

AI-Oriented Investments original ↗

20 Jul 2025

An Optimistic Scenario for Taiwan original ↗

16 Jul 2025

Further Thoughts on AI Ethics original ↗

10 Jul 2025

Waking up to AGI original ↗

30 Jun 2025

Super Agers original ↗

27 Jun 2025

Are Intelligent Agents More Ethical?original ↗

20 Jun 2025

Insider Trading on Nuclear Regulation?original ↗

27 May 2025

The Ageless Brain original ↗

1 May 2025

AI 2027 Thoughts original ↗

25 Apr 2025

Should AIs be Encouraged to Cooperate?original ↗

15 Apr 2025

Rain of Tariffs original ↗

8 Apr 2025

Notes from the TRIIM-X Clinical Trial original ↗

19 Mar 2025

AI Markets on Manifold original ↗

14 Mar 2025

Retrospective on my Investing Advice original ↗

17 Feb 2025

Medical Windfall Prizes original ↗

6 Feb 2025

Curb: A GLP-1 Supplement original ↗

4 Feb 2025

Uncontrollable original ↗

23 Jan 2025

Openwater’s Cancer Treatment original ↗

14 Jan 2025

2024

Genesis original ↗

31 Dec 2024

Corrigibility should be an AI’s Only Goal original ↗

29 Dec 2024

Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnation original ↗

18 Dec 2024

Drexler’s Nanotech Software original ↗

2 Dec 2024

Markets and the Election original ↗

10 Nov 2024

Criteria for Voting original ↗

29 Oct 2024

AI Prejudices: Practical Implications original ↗

18 Oct 2024

Peak Human Capital original ↗

30 Sept 2024

On the Edge original ↗

30 Aug 2024

Recession Watch 2024 original ↗

6 Aug 2024

The Cancer Resolution?original ↗

24 Jul 2024

Situational Awareness original ↗

27 Jun 2024

Boycott OpenAI original ↗

18 Jun 2024

Everything Is Predictable original ↗

27 May 2024

Deep Utopia original ↗

23 Apr 2024

Exploring Whole Brain Emulation original ↗

6 Apr 2024

Self-Resolving Prediction Markets original ↗

2 Mar 2024

Manifold Markets original ↗

2 Feb 2024

A Theory of Everyone original ↗

12 Jan 2024

2023

Dark Skies original ↗

29 Dec 2023

The Accidental Superpower original ↗

12 Dec 2023

When Will AIs Develop Long-Term Planning?original ↗

16 Nov 2023

Disentangling Our Terminal and Instrumental Values original ↗

14 Oct 2023

Provably Safe AI original ↗

5 Oct 2023

The Coming Wave original ↗

28 Sept 2023

Require AGI to be Explainable original ↗

21 Sept 2023

Outlive original ↗

14 Sept 2023

Will an Overconfident AGI Mistakenly Expect to Conquer the World?original ↗

25 Aug 2023

Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament original ↗

17 Jul 2023

Foom Liability original ↗

29 Jun 2023

Two Approaches to Lowering Cholesterol original ↗

21 Jun 2023

How the World Became Rich original ↗

15 Jun 2023

How to Slow AI Development original ↗

6 Jun 2023

Four Battlegrounds original ↗

21 May 2023

OpenAI’s GPT-4 Safety Goals original ↗

22 Apr 2023

On Caring about our AI Progeny original ↗

14 Apr 2023

Pause AI Development?original ↗

6 Apr 2023

Bank Failures original ↗

12 Mar 2023

5 Year Predictions original ↗

25 Feb 2023

How Social Science Got Better original ↗

15 Feb 2023

Review of AI Alignment Progress original ↗

7 Feb 2023

Evidence under Adversarial Conditions original ↗

9 Jan 2023

2022

Investing for a World Transformed by AI original ↗

31 Dec 2022

BioVie original ↗

22 Dec 2022

Investing Amid Low Expected Returns original ↗

8 Dec 2022

Review: LOVE in a simbox original ↗

27 Nov 2022

Cold War II original ↗

14 Oct 2022

Blood Tests original ↗

28 Sept 2022

What We Owe the Future original ↗

24 Sept 2022

True Age original ↗

11 Sept 2022

Drexler’s Nanotech Forecast original ↗

29 Jul 2022

The Manhattan Project original ↗

20 Jul 2022