corpus.blog
41554 blogs · [ { "id": "01a08736-cc7e-72be-9f5f-91b4b1350f83", "title": "Some principles for teaching", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/teaching-principles.html", "published_at": "2026-02-03T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c4323e3f4681", "title": "How much of Chinese growth is TFP growth vs. merely Solow catch-up growth?", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/china-growth.html", "published_at": "2024-07-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c4323f050581", "title": "The Solow Model is overrated (for explaining catch-up growth)", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/solow-model-is-overrated.html", "published_at": "2024-07-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c4323f6e27af", "title": "Miscellaneous things I learned in [econ] grad school", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/grad-school.html", "published_at": "2024-06-07T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c4323ff47fe4", "title": "AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/agi-vs-emh.html", "published_at": "2023-01-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c43240462531", "title": "Against using stock prices to forecast AI timelines", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/stocks-forecasting-timelines.html", "published_at": "2023-01-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc81-708f-96bc-c43240e95dbf", "title": "Explaining Tyler Cowen’s Third Law", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/cowens-third-law.html", "published_at": "2023-01-10T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda4af8df0", "title": "Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculus", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/metaculus-monetary-policy.html", "published_at": "2022-04-26T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda54b6c40", "title": "Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/newcomb.html", "published_at": "2022-03-31T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda5ca7fc2", "title": "Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policy", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/recessions-are-always-everywhere-caused-by-monetary-policy.html", "published_at": "2021-10-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda6c05afc", "title": "School and teen suicide", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/school-and-teen-suicide.html", "published_at": "2021-08-11T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda6cfd869", "title": "It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage models", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/sticky-prices-vs-sticky-wages.html", "published_at": "2021-06-16T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda7ac7f21", "title": "What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/why-percentage-growth.html", "published_at": "2020-12-16T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda7d6713e", "title": "The real problem is also nominal", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/real-problem-is-also-nominal.html", "published_at": "2020-03-15T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda8574268", "title": "The \"Efficient Restaurant Hypothesis\": a mental model for finance (and food)", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/efficient-restaurant-hypothesis-mental-model-finance-food.html", "published_at": "2018-06-05T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda8e7e435", "title": "Behavioral biases don't affect stock prices", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/behavioral-biases-dont-affect-stock-prices.html", "published_at": "2017-08-15T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5eda9d71893", "title": "Yes, markets are efficient – *and* yes, stock prices are predictable", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/yes-markets-efficient-yes-stock-prices-predictable.html", "published_at": "2017-07-18T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edaa4fc401", "title": "NGDP targeting and the Friedman Rule", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/ngdp-targeting-friedman-rule.html", "published_at": "2017-04-09T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edaa6f7e19", "title": "Monetary misperceptions, food banks, and NGDP targeting", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/monetary-misperceptions-food-banks-ngdp-targeting.html", "published_at": "2016-12-21T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edaaa94476", "title": "Loss aversion is not what you think it is", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/loss-aversion-is-not-what-you-think-it-is.html", "published_at": "2015-12-16T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edaafb6107", "title": "The Fed's preferred model says that now is not the time to raise rates", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/new-keynesian-model-fed-should-not-raise-rates.html", "published_at": "2015-09-15T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edab8a1c39", "title": "A practical critique of NGDP targeting", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/practical-critique-ngdp-targeting.html", "published_at": "2015-01-06T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edabeed4a3", "title": "Updated Romer and Romer (2008): Or, the FOMC is Still Bad at Forecasting – In One Chart", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/updated-romer-romer-2008.html", "published_at": "2013-12-28T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edacc49b8b", "title": "Updated Romer and Romer (2004) Measure of Monetary Policy Shocks", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/updated-romer-romer-2004-measure-monetary-policy-shocks.html", "published_at": "2013-12-21T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc82-705f-bdf1-b5edacce8cff", "title": "About: Confidence levels", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/about-confidence-levels.html", "published_at": "2000-01-01T00:00:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a08736-cc85-70c2-8a24-320e535a03ea", "title": "Best essays", "url": "https://basilhalperin.com/essays/best-essays.html", "published_at": "2000-01-01T00:00:00+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog
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basilhalperin.com

2026

Some principles for teachingoriginal ↗
3 Feb 2026

2024

How much of Chinese growth is TFP growth vs. merely Solow catch-up growth?original ↗
26 Jul 2024
The Solow Model is overrated (for explaining catch-up growth)original ↗
10 Jul 2024
Miscellaneous things I learned in [econ] grad schooloriginal ↗
7 Jun 2024

2023

AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 yearsoriginal ↗
10 Jan 2023
Against using stock prices to forecast AI timelinesoriginal ↗
10 Jan 2023
Explaining Tyler Cowen’s Third Laworiginal ↗
10 Jan 2023

2022

Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculusoriginal ↗
26 Apr 2022
Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problemoriginal ↗
31 Mar 2022

2021

Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policyoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2021
School and teen suicideoriginal ↗
11 Aug 2021
It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage modelsoriginal ↗
16 Jun 2021

2020

What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?original ↗
16 Dec 2020
The real problem is also nominaloriginal ↗
15 Mar 2020

2018

The "Efficient Restaurant Hypothesis": a mental model for finance (and food)original ↗
5 Jun 2018

2017

Behavioral biases don't affect stock pricesoriginal ↗
15 Aug 2017
Yes, markets are efficient – *and* yes, stock prices are predictableoriginal ↗
18 Jul 2017
NGDP targeting and the Friedman Ruleoriginal ↗
9 Apr 2017

2016

Monetary misperceptions, food banks, and NGDP targetingoriginal ↗
21 Dec 2016

2015

Loss aversion is not what you think it isoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2015
The Fed's preferred model says that now is not the time to raise ratesoriginal ↗
15 Sept 2015
A practical critique of NGDP targetingoriginal ↗
6 Jan 2015

2013

Updated Romer and Romer (2008): Or, the FOMC is Still Bad at Forecasting – In One Chartoriginal ↗
28 Dec 2013
Updated Romer and Romer (2004) Measure of Monetary Policy Shocksoriginal ↗
21 Dec 2013

2000

About: Confidence levelsoriginal ↗
1 Jan 2000
Best essaysoriginal ↗
1 Jan 2000