54,302 blogs · [ { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38ba191fb", "title": "How should we analyse survey forecasts of AI timelines?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/how-should-we-analyse-survey-forecasts-of-ai-timelines/", "published_at": "2024-12-16T05:39:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38c0fab76", "title": "The purpose of philosophical AI will be: To orient ourselves in thinking", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/the-purpose-of-philosophical-ai-will-be-to-orient-ourselves-in-thinking/", "published_at": "2024-10-28T16:46:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38c82e35d", "title": "Machines and Moral Judgment", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/machines-and-moral-judgment/", "published_at": "2024-10-27T17:24:20+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38d2c46de", "title": "Towards the Operationalization of Philosophy & Wisdom", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/towards-the-operationalization-of-philosophy-wisdom/", "published_at": "2024-10-27T17:21:02+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38da06b81", "title": "Some Preliminary Notes on the Promise of a Wisdom Explosion", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/some-preliminary-notes-on-the-promise-of-a-wisdom-explosion/", "published_at": "2024-10-27T17:08:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38e0e5136", "title": "An Overview of “Obvious” Approaches to Training Wise AI Advisors", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/an-overview-of-obvious-approaches-to-training-wise-ai-advisors/", "published_at": "2024-10-25T02:53:57+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38e7b89f8", "title": "AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Jan-Mar 2023", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/ai-impacts-quarterly-newsletter-jan-mar-2023/", "published_at": "2023-04-17T22:02:42+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c38f3d3eff", "title": "What we’ve learned so far from our technological temptations project", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/what-weve-learned-so-far-from-our-technological-temptations-project/", "published_at": "2023-04-14T00:04:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c39015d025", "title": "Superintelligence Is Not Omniscience", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/superintelligence-is-not-omniscience/", "published_at": "2023-04-07T16:25:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca0-1f06-71f0-aa34-41c3903c4f54", "title": "A policy guaranteed to increase AI timelines", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/a-policy-guaranteed-to-increase-ai-timelines/", "published_at": "2023-04-01T20:41:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadb3f3c0f", "title": "You Can’t Predict a Game of Pinball", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/you-cant-predict-a-game-of-pinball/", "published_at": "2023-03-30T00:39:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadbf8fb72", "title": "How bad a future do ML researchers expect?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/how-bad-a-future-do-ml-researchers-expect/", "published_at": "2023-03-09T04:49:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadc5e13cb", "title": "How popular is ChatGPT? Part 2: slower growth than Pokémon GO", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/how-popular-is-chatgpt-part-2-slower-growth-than-pokemon-go/", "published_at": "2023-03-03T23:36:46+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadd3e61c0", "title": "Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/scoring-forecasts-from-the-2016-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/", "published_at": "2023-03-02T00:37:23+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadded8e0e", "title": "How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/how-popular-is-chatgpt-part-1-more-popular-than-taylor-swift/", "published_at": "2023-02-24T02:47:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04caddefdee7", "title": "The public supports regulating AI for safety", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/the-public-supports-regulating-ai-for-safety/", "published_at": "2023-02-17T04:00:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04caded6323a", "title": "Whole Bird Emulation requires Quantum Mechanics", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/whole-bird-emulation-requires-quantum-mechanics/", "published_at": "2023-02-14T23:47:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cadfb4c462", "title": "Framing AI strategy", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/framing-ai-strategy/", "published_at": "2023-02-06T19:00:27+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cae02bc598", "title": "Product safety is a poor model for AI governance", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/product-safety-is-a-poor-model-for-ai-governance/", "published_at": "2023-02-01T22:38:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dca8-5bf9-70f2-b2d2-04cae0ce6e66", "title": "We don’t trade with ants", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/we-dont-trade-with-ants/", "published_at": "2023-01-10T23:52:13+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add625c2d7e7", "title": "Let’s think about slowing down AI", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/lets-think-about-slowing-down-ai/", "published_at": "2022-12-22T17:30:40+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add626591853", "title": "December 2022 updates and fundraising", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/december-2022-updates-and-fundraising/", "published_at": "2022-12-22T17:11:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add62754f7dc", "title": "Against a General Factor of Doom", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/against-a-general-factor-of-doom/", "published_at": "2022-11-23T16:45:49+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add6277c94cb", "title": "Notes on an Experiment with Markets", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/notes-on-an-experiment-with-markets/", "published_at": "2022-11-23T16:07:11+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add62799b666", "title": "Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/counterarguments-to-the-basic-ai-x-risk-case/", "published_at": "2022-10-14T12:58:58+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add6287211f3", "title": "Outcomes of inducement prizes", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/outcomes-of-inducement-prizes/", "published_at": "2022-08-30T01:34:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add628ab3064", "title": "Will Superhuman AI be created?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/argument-for-likelihood-of-superhuman-ai/", "published_at": "2022-08-08T09:07:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add628fb5743", "title": "List of sources arguing against existential risk from AI", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/list-of-sources-arguing-against-existential-risk-from-ai/", "published_at": "2022-08-07T00:05:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add62929c021", "title": "List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/list-of-sources-arguing-for-existential-risk-from-ai/", "published_at": "2022-08-06T23:45:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcb1-a6f2-72d8-99a3-add629ea0e58", "title": "Incentives to create AI systems known to pose extinction risks", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/incentives-to-create-x-risky-ai-systems/", "published_at": "2022-08-06T19:30:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2cf787790", "title": "What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/what-do-ml-researchers-think-about-ai-in-2022/", "published_at": "2022-08-04T15:37:41+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d01889cf", "title": "2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/", "published_at": "2022-08-04T13:25:21+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d113f12d", "title": "Why work at AI Impacts?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/why-work-at-ai-impacts/", "published_at": "2022-03-06T22:07:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d11647d4", "title": "Observed patterns around major technological advancements", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/observed-patterns-around-major-technological-advancements/", "published_at": "2022-02-03T00:22:53+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d1f61ae4", "title": "Do neural networks learn human concepts?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/do-neural-networks-learn-human-concepts/", "published_at": "2021-12-06T18:40:20+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d2027028", "title": "AI Vignettes Project", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/ai-vignettes-project/", "published_at": "2021-10-13T04:58:10+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d2b5bcfd", "title": "Argument for AI x-risk from large impacts", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/argument-from-large-impacts/", "published_at": "2021-09-28T18:32:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d35fc465", "title": "Beyond fire alarms: freeing the groupstruck", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/beyond-fire-alarms-freeing-the-groupstruck/", "published_at": "2021-09-26T09:09:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d369d2ed", "title": "Vignettes workshop", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/vignettes-workshop/", "published_at": "2021-06-15T10:56:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbb-56bd-72cc-8ef1-29d2d38c7e71", "title": "Fiction relevant to AI futurism", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/partially-plausible-fictional-ai-futures/", "published_at": "2021-04-13T00:51:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2e-7158-80b8-8020fc6a71ef", "title": "What do coherence arguments imply about the behavior of advanced AI?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/what-do-coherence-arguments-imply-about-the-behavior-of-advanced-ai/", "published_at": "2021-04-08T21:28:28+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1dab9441e", "title": "April files", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/april-drafts/", "published_at": "2021-04-01T18:07:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1db1e7a94", "title": "Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/coherence-arguments-imply-a-force-for-goal-directed-behavior/", "published_at": "2021-03-26T16:06:45+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1dbc3880b", "title": "AI Impacts 2020 review", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/ai-impacts-2020-review/", "published_at": "2020-12-22T06:24:04+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1dc6caec8", "title": "AI Impacts key questions of interest", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/ai-impacts-key-questions-of-interest/", "published_at": "2020-12-17T19:10:43+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1dcb3aedc", "title": "How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/are-human-engineered-flight-designs-better-or-worse-than-natural-ones/", "published_at": "2020-12-10T22:48:00+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1dd7233bf", "title": "Energy efficiency of monarch butterfly flight", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-monarch-butterfly-flight/", "published_at": "2020-11-26T06:30:47+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1de14a12c", "title": "Energy efficiency of wandering albatross flight", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-wandering-albatross-flight/", "published_at": "2020-11-25T00:13:13+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1df05fdbf", "title": "Energy efficiency of paramotors", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-paramotors/", "published_at": "2020-11-24T21:11:22+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcbf-ae2f-73c1-a78b-dce1df61f6af", "title": "Misalignment and misuse: whose values are manifest?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/misalignment-and-misuse-whose-values-are-manifest/", "published_at": "2020-11-19T00:06:34+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727d8efb6c", "title": "Energy efficiency of The Spirit of Butt’s Farm", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-the-spirit-of-butts-farm/", "published_at": "2020-11-18T23:53:25+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727dc5b628", "title": "Was the industrial revolution a drastic departure from historic trends?", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/was-the-industrial-revolution-a-drastic-departure-from-historic-trends/", "published_at": "2020-11-17T22:14:30+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727e438e27", "title": "Energy efficiency of MacCready Gossamer Albatross", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/maccready-gossamer-albatross/", "published_at": "2020-11-10T02:15:26+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727e45ee41", "title": "Energy efficiency of Boeing 747-400", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-boeing-747-400/", "published_at": "2020-11-06T05:10:05+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727ec1da58", "title": "Energy efficiency of Airbus A320", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-airbus-a320/", "published_at": "2020-11-06T04:44:03+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727f30c959", "title": "Energy efficiency of North American P-51 Mustang", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-north-american-p-51-mustang/", "published_at": "2020-11-06T01:04:24+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3727fedcc66", "title": "Energy efficiency of Vickers Vimy plane", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-vickers-vimy-plane/", "published_at": "2020-11-05T20:54:31+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3728025658f", "title": "Energy efficiency of Wright model B", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-wright-model-b/", "published_at": "2020-11-05T20:09:52+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f3728031dacb", "title": "Energy efficiency of Wright Flyer", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-wright-flyer/", "published_at": "2020-11-04T18:58:55+00:00" }, { "id": "01a0dcc1-43f6-70d6-ad01-f37280dec88f", "title": "Automated intelligence is not AI", "url": "https://aiimpacts.org/automated-intelligence-is-not-ai/", "published_at": "2020-11-01T23:38:44+00:00" } ] posts Claim your blog

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2024

How should we analyse survey forecasts of AI timelines?original ↗

16 Dec 2024

The purpose of philosophical AI will be: To orient ourselves in thinking original ↗

28 Oct 2024

Machines and Moral Judgment original ↗

27 Oct 2024

Towards the Operationalization of Philosophy & Wisdom original ↗

27 Oct 2024

Some Preliminary Notes on the Promise of a Wisdom Explosion original ↗

27 Oct 2024

An Overview of “Obvious” Approaches to Training Wise AI Advisors original ↗

25 Oct 2024

2023

AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Jan-Mar 2023 original ↗

17 Apr 2023

What we’ve learned so far from our technological temptations project original ↗

14 Apr 2023

Superintelligence Is Not Omniscience original ↗

7 Apr 2023

A policy guaranteed to increase AI timelines original ↗

1 Apr 2023

You Can’t Predict a Game of Pinball original ↗

30 Mar 2023

How bad a future do ML researchers expect?original ↗

9 Mar 2023

How popular is ChatGPT? Part 2: slower growth than Pokémon GO original ↗

3 Mar 2023

Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”original ↗

2 Mar 2023

How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift original ↗

24 Feb 2023

The public supports regulating AI for safety original ↗

17 Feb 2023

Whole Bird Emulation requires Quantum Mechanics original ↗

14 Feb 2023

Framing AI strategy original ↗

6 Feb 2023

Product safety is a poor model for AI governance original ↗

1 Feb 2023

We don’t trade with ants original ↗

10 Jan 2023

2022

Let’s think about slowing down AI original ↗

22 Dec 2022

December 2022 updates and fundraising original ↗

22 Dec 2022

Against a General Factor of Doom original ↗

23 Nov 2022

Notes on an Experiment with Markets original ↗

23 Nov 2022

Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case original ↗

14 Oct 2022

Outcomes of inducement prizes original ↗

30 Aug 2022

Will Superhuman AI be created?original ↗

8 Aug 2022

List of sources arguing against existential risk from AI original ↗

7 Aug 2022

List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI original ↗

6 Aug 2022

Incentives to create AI systems known to pose extinction risks original ↗

6 Aug 2022

What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?original ↗

4 Aug 2022

2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI original ↗

4 Aug 2022

Why work at AI Impacts?original ↗

6 Mar 2022

Observed patterns around major technological advancements original ↗

3 Feb 2022

2021

Do neural networks learn human concepts?original ↗

6 Dec 2021

AI Vignettes Project original ↗

13 Oct 2021

Argument for AI x-risk from large impacts original ↗

28 Sept 2021

Beyond fire alarms: freeing the groupstruck original ↗

26 Sept 2021

Vignettes workshop original ↗

15 Jun 2021

Fiction relevant to AI futurism original ↗

13 Apr 2021

What do coherence arguments imply about the behavior of advanced AI?original ↗

8 Apr 2021

April files original ↗

1 Apr 2021

Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior original ↗

26 Mar 2021

2020

AI Impacts 2020 review original ↗

22 Dec 2020

AI Impacts key questions of interest original ↗

17 Dec 2020

How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?original ↗

10 Dec 2020

Energy efficiency of monarch butterfly flight original ↗

26 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of wandering albatross flight original ↗

25 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of paramotors original ↗

24 Nov 2020

Misalignment and misuse: whose values are manifest?original ↗

19 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of The Spirit of Butt’s Farm original ↗

18 Nov 2020

Was the industrial revolution a drastic departure from historic trends?original ↗

17 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of MacCready Gossamer Albatross original ↗

10 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of Boeing 747-400 original ↗

6 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of Airbus A320 original ↗

6 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of North American P-51 Mustang original ↗

6 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of Vickers Vimy plane original ↗

5 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of Wright model B original ↗

5 Nov 2020

Energy efficiency of Wright Flyer original ↗

4 Nov 2020

Automated intelligence is not AI original ↗

1 Nov 2020