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2025

Personal socioeconomic status and support for increasing the minimum wageoriginal ↗
15 May 2025
An Update on White Racial Attitude Trends in 2024original ↗
7 Apr 2025

2024

Historical Context for 2024 State Polling Error (Updated Analysis)original ↗
18 Nov 2024
Thoughts + resources on understanding the 2024 electionoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2024
2024 State Polling Error in (Recent) Historical Contextoriginal ↗
6 Nov 2024
Does panel data from 2020-2022 show signs of a partisan realignment?original ↗
3 Jun 2024
Racial Identification Change among the American Public, 2020-2022original ↗
27 May 2024
Tracking Hispanic Presidential Vote Intentions a Year Out from the 2024 Electionoriginal ↗
6 Jan 2024

2023

EPL Team Performance Relative to Expected Goals Through 20 Matches in 2023-24 Seasonoriginal ↗
31 Dec 2023
Polling error by days out from 2020 electionoriginal ↗
21 Nov 2023
How Generic Ballot Results and Biden Approval Ratings Correlateoriginal ↗
11 Nov 2023
Partisan Public Opinion Trends around Israel/Palestineoriginal ↗
28 Oct 2023
Public Opinion Often Moves against a President’s Ideology Before He Even Assumes Poweroriginal ↗
21 Jul 2023
Precinct Lopsidedness across Statesoriginal ↗
19 Jun 2023
Boston Celtics Three-Point Shooting Woes in Contextoriginal ↗
31 May 2023
Boston Celtics Three-Point Shooting During 2022-23 Seasonoriginal ↗
28 May 2023
Abortion Attitudes Did not Correlate Much More Strongly with US House Voting in 2022 Compared to 2018original ↗
19 May 2023
Star Guard and Wing Shooting Efficiency over Course of 2022-23 NBA Seasonoriginal ↗
16 May 2023
Partisanship Trends by Hispanic Originoriginal ↗
13 May 2023
Household and personal gun ownership trends among all Americans and by partyoriginal ↗
29 Mar 2023
An Update on White Racial Attitude Trends in 2022original ↗
22 Mar 2023
Does 1st Round Performance in Men’s NCAA March Madness Predict Future Success?original ↗
18 Mar 2023
NCAA Men’s Tournament 1st Round Upsets in Historical Perspectiveoriginal ↗
12 Mar 2023
Comparing Actual and Expected Match Outcomes in the EPL Through 1/24/23original ↗
25 Jan 2023
Partisanship Trends by Age, Generation, and Raceoriginal ↗
2 Jan 2023

2022

Expected Goals Add (Some) Value for Predicting Future Performanceoriginal ↗
21 Dec 2022
World Cup Final Appearances over Timeoriginal ↗
16 Dec 2022
Gender Attitudes by Party over Timeoriginal ↗
14 Dec 2022
Expected vs. Actual Goal Margin through First 28 Games of World Cup 2022original ↗
28 Nov 2022
Goalless World Cup Matches in Historical Contextoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2022
An Updated Look at Polling Error in the 2022 Midterm Electionoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2022
Gender Political Differences among Youth over Timeoriginal ↗
20 Nov 2022
Trump Favorability among Republicans Declines after 2022 Midtermsoriginal ↗
17 Nov 2022
How Does 2022 Midterm Polling Error Vary by Poll Characteristics?original ↗
12 Nov 2022
Does Affective Polarization Increase Leading up to the 2022 Election?original ↗
11 Nov 2022
A Preliminary Look at Polling Error in the 2022 Midterm Electionoriginal ↗
10 Nov 2022
Public Opinion Stability across Different Spans of Timeoriginal ↗
10 Oct 2022
Presidential Voting among Rich White Americansoriginal ↗
7 Jun 2022
English Premier League Goal-Scoring Over/Under Performanceoriginal ↗
17 May 2022
USMNT 2022 World Cup Qualifying Progress Through Jan/Feb Window, In Contextoriginal ↗
3 Feb 2022
Does Ideological Constraint Matter for Political Engagement?original ↗
2 Feb 2022
Among Americans with Hispanic Ancestry, what Predicts Not Identifying as Hispanic?original ↗
7 Jan 2022

2021

Stability of Public Opinion (2016-2020)original ↗
27 Dec 2021
Immigration Opinions Continued to Liberalize into 2020 (Panel Data)original ↗
24 Dec 2021
Public Perceptions of where Presidential Candidates Stand across Various Issues (1972-2020)original ↗
22 Dec 2021
Racial Fluidity in the United States from 2016 to 2020original ↗
12 Nov 2021
Education Polarization in Party Identification by Race over Last 15 Yearsoriginal ↗
9 Oct 2021
Are Ticket Splitters More Likely to be Vote Switchers?original ↗
15 Jul 2021
Police Attitudes and Vote Choice in the 2020 Election: Evidence from Panel Dataoriginal ↗
14 Jun 2021
County-Level Voting vs. Vaccinations, by Stateoriginal ↗
14 Jun 2021
Researcher Degrees of Freedom and Systematically Approaching Robustness Checks: An Exampleoriginal ↗
7 Jun 2021
Tracking Attitude Change toward Police from 2016 to 2020original ↗
6 Jun 2021
Daily Air Travel Numbers Before and After the Start of the Pandemicoriginal ↗
29 May 2021
State Turnout Rate vs. Vaccination Rateoriginal ↗
12 May 2021
Thoughts on “Racial Equality Frames and Public Policy Support” Working Paperoriginal ↗
3 May 2021
Visualizing Demographic Vote Choice Trends from 2008 to 2020original ↗
25 Apr 2021
What Shapes the Different Ways in Which Survey Respondents can be Classified as “Hispanic”?original ↗
24 Apr 2021
Hispanic Voting Behavior Trends and How How We Code Who is “Hispanic”original ↗
23 Apr 2021
Public Opinion on Race-Targeted Vaccine Expansion and Racial Resentmentoriginal ↗
18 Apr 2021
Is the Relationship between Police Attitudes and Hispanics Shifting to Trump in 2020 Distinctively Strong?original ↗
28 Mar 2021
Liberalizing Racial Attitudes Continued into 2020original ↗
26 Mar 2021
Contextualizing Uncertainty in Joe Biden’s Early Presidential Approval Pollsoriginal ↗
28 Feb 2021
Public Opinion on Major Policy Before and During the Trump eraoriginal ↗
31 Jan 2021

2020

Political Views of Survey Respondents who Write in their Own Racial Identificationoriginal ↗
26 Dec 2020
2020 State Polling Volume and Quality along State Competitivenessoriginal ↗
26 Nov 2020
2020 Polling Error by Survey Modeoriginal ↗
19 Nov 2020
2020 National and State Polling Error Over the Course of Year before Election Dayoriginal ↗
19 Nov 2020
2020 State Polling Error in (Recent) Historical Contextoriginal ↗
16 Nov 2020
2020 Election Changes in Turnout along Vote Choice Distribution at County Leveloriginal ↗
16 Nov 2020
Probing the Relationship between Social Trust and Vote Choiceoriginal ↗
13 Nov 2020
County-Level Correlations between Democratic Vote Margins across Elections (2000-2020)original ↗
12 Nov 2020
How County-Level Voting Shifts Vary by Geography in 2020 Election Flip Statesoriginal ↗
7 Nov 2020
Shifts in Subgroup Voting Behavior in 2016 to 2020 Pre-Election Pollsoriginal ↗
31 Oct 2020
Is Vote Choice among Independents a Good Indicator of Election Outcomes?original ↗
30 Oct 2020
Why they follow: It’s not just Trump. Voters happily adopt their leaders’ views. (Washington Post)original ↗
29 Aug 2020
Biden’s VP Selection is Unlikely to Have Much of an Effect on the Dynamics of the Race (Mischiefs of Faction)original ↗
23 Jun 2020
Do People Grow Conservative as they Age?original ↗
9 May 2020
Have 65+ Old Voters Become More Democratic in Vote Choice So Far in 2020?original ↗
25 Apr 2020
Do Party Attachment Levels Change Around An Election?original ↗
16 Apr 2020
2016 State Polling Error Over Timeoriginal ↗
21 Mar 2020
Quantifying Micro-Level Partisanship Change into 2019original ↗
23 Jan 2020
Does Endogenous Partisanship Distort Trump Approval Numbers among Republicans? (Part 3)original ↗
23 Jan 2020
The Twitter Bot That Defies Polarization (New York Times)original ↗
20 Jan 2020
Partisanship and Ideology Distributions by Whether Leaners are Groupedoriginal ↗
10 Jan 2020
Survey Recall about Nonexistent Experiences: Non-Voters and Voting Wait Timeoriginal ↗
5 Jan 2020

2019

Comparing CCES Validated Turnout vs. Actual Turnout (Update)original ↗
31 Dec 2019
The Dartmouth Newspaper Survey Data (Spring 2016-Spring 2018) on GitHuboriginal ↗
31 Dec 2019
Has the Share of Americans Identifying as Republican Decreased during the Trump Era?original ↗
29 Dec 2019
Attitude Change and 2016 Primary Vote Choiceoriginal ↗
12 Dec 2019
Do Americans Think there will be a Citizenship Question on the 2020 Census?original ↗
11 Dec 2019
More on Democratic Leftward Turn Survey Experimentoriginal ↗
6 Oct 2019
What Democrats Could Lose With Their Left Turn (New York Times/The Upshot)original ↗
30 Sept 2019
Ground Truth Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting in Maryland 2018original ↗
26 Sept 2019
How Demographics, Identities, and Policy/Group Attitudes Divide 2020 Democratic Primary Vote Preferencesoriginal ↗
10 Aug 2019
Racial Resentment Data from 2016 CCES Modules on Githuboriginal ↗
30 Jul 2019
Are Trump Switchers More Similar to Regular Trump Voters or Clinton Voters?original ↗
22 Jul 2019
Sexual Harassment and Vote Choice in the Democratic Primaryoriginal ↗
21 Jul 2019
How Well Does DFP’s Progressive Issue Model Reflect Vote Choice? (Data for Progress)original ↗
13 Jun 2019
Partisan Sample Composition and Horserace Results in the 2018 Midterm Electionoriginal ↗
20 May 2019
Daily News Interest in the Run-Up to Electionsoriginal ↗
7 May 2019
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